07/01/2015 11:05AM

Mohawk: Thursday 7/2 Analysis

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Race 4 - $50,000 Guaranteed Pick Four Pool

EARLY PICK 4:

5,8/5,6,7/1,2,4,9/1,2,9 = $72

 

LATE PICK 4: 1,2,9/2,6/1,3,6,8,9/3,5 = $60

MEET STATS: 148 - 464 / $843.50 BEST BETS: 19 - 41 / $68.20

SPOT PLAYS: 6 - 39 / $53.20

Best Bet: WRANGLER MAGIC (3rd)

Spot Play: GET AROUND TOWN (6th)

Race 1

If you absolutely must bet a field of nine 2-year-old trotters making their pari-mutuel debuts, you might consider trying (7) SILKY FLASHY NFAST here in the opener. She's a half-sister to $390K winner Rockin With Dewey and a full sister to Cool Creek Magic, who won 11 of 31 starts and won early (in her 2nd lifetime start). This daughter of top sire Kadabra has flashed good late speed in both qualifiers. (4) READY ANY TIME was a $62K Harrisburg sale purchase and the trainer/driver combo of Norman/Zeron is doing well at this meet. (6) LIBERTY LANE is a full sister to one that took a mark of 1:56 4/5 in just his third start and Henry will have this one winging for as far as she will go.

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Race 2

(8) UNITALIANO BI trotted his last three-quarters in 1:25 flat on June 18 while making up a big deficit to win going away and followed that up with an even bigger win last week. He will be hard to deny with the late speed he has shown if he stays flat. (10) V FOR VICTORY also ripped off two huge qualifying wins and shouldn't have any problem with the 10-hole with the speed he has shown. (2) WILLYORWONTHE is out of a dam that was fast early, won 5 of her first 6 starts as a 2-year-old and went on to earn $246K lifetime. This son of Angus Hall wouldn't be the worst stab if the public ignores him in the wagering.

Race 3

(4) WRANGLER MAGIC comes into this OSS Gold dash fresh off a big win over open company in the Fan Hanover and will be hard to deny in her current form. (7) CAST NO SHADOW is 7 for 10 this year and races well on the lead or roughing it on the outside. The choice needs to be wary of this one's quick brush. (3) DELIGHTFUL HILL gets a better post than she had in her previous stakes engagements this year and can threaten from close range.

Race 4

(5) M G JADE showed improvement last time, makes her 3rd start for Auciello and gets a favorable pace scenario to chase here; top call at what should be a square price. (8) MILEYS BIG WORLD has won two straight and also should enjoy the early pace scenario with at least three of these figuring to leave hard. (2) C C CALLMEKELLY should also be closing late for a piece of this but her 0-53 record the past two seasons makes her very tough to use anywhere but underneath.

Race 5

(7) RAILEE PRITTI was full of trot when caught behind a dead one until she finally escaped mid-stretch last week. Once free she motored up but ran out of racetrack to fall just short. She should be tough here. (6) PISCEAN was out the route yet still closed to be a good 2nd to a hot horse that won easily for the second straight time. This Andover Hall filly is a top contender here. (5) ONEIDA qualified well at Vernon and goes for a hot trainer/driver combo that won both divisions of the Town Pro series last Friday.

Race 6

(9) GET AROUND TOWN raced against better out of town and has the looks of one that blasts off the gate and takes right down the road; price play. (2) CHOSEN HOMBRE looked like a winner last week but hung a bit very late to just lose out in a photo. That was a good effort and makes him a contender here. (4) FOREVER JUST should be up on or near the pace in this weak field and likely sticks around for a share.

Race 7

(9) CHEEKIE drops back into claimers where she was so effective before stepping up too high and facing some foes that were much too fast for her. This is more her level and the last two sound defeats may help her price; top call. (2) BET ON HILL drops into a claimer for the first time and should be the main foe. (1) TABOO SEELSTER took her first win in 19 last time at Grand River in her first start for a new barn off a claim. The way she destroyed that field suggests she can compete here; using.

Race 8

(2) SOLAR SISTER's third-place finish in the Fan Hanover final was more impressive than any of her 4 wins this season considering the brutal trip she overcame. She looks like one of two that could win this OSS Gold event, the other being (6) MS MAC N CHEESE, who continues to impress every time she steps foot on the racetrack. (1) EVAS GIRL usually sticks around for a check and should get a good following trip here.

Race 9

(1) MICHELLES HATTRICK is by a top sire out of a dam that won her first start in 1:53 4/5 at two and reeled off seven straight wins to begin her racing career. This filly roared home in her second qualifier and gets the nod here. (3) SHES LIGHTS OUT is out of a dam that won 14 times, earned $690K and took a mark of 1:49 3/5. She gave a hint of what she can do in an easy qualifying win Saturday. (8) ACTION BIG closed a big gap on a massively speed-favoring surface Saturday and is in with a chance here at a price.

Race 10

(3) GLAMOUR SEELSTER has looked good in both her wins and likely stays undefeated here with a reasonable trip. Price will be prohibitive, however. (5) COTTONWOOD CREEK set some big fractions for this class and almost lasted. She is better coming off a helmet and may revert to that style here. (8) ARTIAWITCHTOYOU was a closing second to a class-dropping winner that looked very tough to beat on paper, and was as it turned out. (4) SOUTHWIND GINGER makes her second start out of the Adams barn and should be prominent throughout. (2) WANDA BAYAMA has set the pace and tired late in all three Mohawk starts. Look for Filion to change tactics here, which would give her a chance to upset.

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