07/16/2014 10:30AM

Mohawk: Thursday 7/17 Analysis


Race 4 - $50,000 Guaranteed Pick Four Pool

Best Bet: DEMENTED (1st)

Spot Play: CALIPARI (2nd)


Race 1

(5) DEMENTED looks like the most logical option in here based on his recent success and remaining at this level. (9) NOBLE FLIGHT was timed in 1:53 4/5 in his latest and continues to hit the board in recent outings. (2) RAMZAM draws inside and comes from the Moreau barn. He enjoys leaving the gate and should benefit from an inside trip.

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Race 2

(1) CALIPARI gets the rail in his favor, has back class and is fresh off a winning effort at the Meadowlands. (4) NOWUCIT NOWUDONT also found the wire in his most recent, comes from a high percentage barn and is capable of the class jump. (7) ZEUS LIGHTNING has hit the board in four of his last five starts and is a top threat for the triactor in this short field.

Race 3

(3) TRUTH IS BIG drops out of the Canadian Breeders and should be a main threat in this lower class. (7) RAMBLIN ROSE closed from last-to-fourth in her most recent and that sets her up very well for this contest. Don't expect 85-1 on her like last week. (6) BIG TREAT has hit the board in four of her last five starts and has developed a patented late kick.

Race 4

(5) MAJOR HANGOVER enters the Puddy barn, draws inside and is overdue for a win. (1) VAL DI NOTO draws inside and has hit the board in each of her last two starts in this maiden class. (4) OK GODIVA is fresh off two wins, comes from the Steacy barn and very capable of moving onto this circuit.

Race 5

(3) MAJESTIC GINGER draws inside and has won three straight this season, including last week in this class. (5) HOME TURF has won back-to-back contests, comes from the Henriksen barn and certainly can lower his speed on this oval. (10) DAMFOOLRMILLIONAIR hasn't missed the board in three starts this season and has excellent gate speed to overcome post 10.

Race 6

(3) DOCS HOSS has been the king of this class for the past number of weeks as he's won three of his last four. (10) FOREGO THE CIGAR came from last-to-first in his most recent and may offer a fair price once again. (9) BEACH BUFF put forth a big effort last week and should offer a high price again to spice up the triactor.

Race 7

(8) SI SEMALU debuted for trainer Fletcher last week and found the wire at first asking. I'll back him again in this same level. (3) SUMMONS disappointed last week as the favorite and will look to rebound. (1) CAMBEC KINGCAZIMIR continues to be a threat in this class as he enjoys racing off a helmet and has hit the board in three of his last four.

Race 8

(6) ANAFFAIRTOREMEMBER has won two straight, is fresh off a career best and won at ease last week. (8) DOUBLEDOWN GASS also won last week in a new lifetime best. He has the speed and enjoys racing on or near the front. (9) FRIEND OR FOE continues to race at his best this season and is a prime candidate at this level.

Race 9

(5) DAYLON MAGICIAN is a classy veteran with over $1.6 million in back class. He returns home and qualified strong last week. (2) MEGO MOSS exits the Preferred class and draws inside. (3) CATCH THE DREAM has hit the board in four of his last five starts and shouldn't get overlooked for the triactor.

Race 10

(3) SHES DANGEROUS was impressive in last week's victory and is capable of the class jump. (9) A AND GS DELIGHT exits the Town Pro Series, comes from the Menary barn and faces much easier competition. (5) SHELLYSSILVERMOON has hit the board in two of her last three starts, has excellent gate speed and gets Davis, Jr. back aboard.

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