07/14/2015 4:08PM

Mohawk: Thursday 7/16 Analysis


Race 4 - $50,000 Guaranteed Pick Four Pool


3,5/1,2,3,4,10/1,6,7,8/1 = $40


LATE PICK 4:1,7/2,3,8/5,9/1,3 = $24

MEET STATS: 166 - 549 / $967.00 BEST BETS: 20 - 49 / $71.10

SPOT PLAYS: 6 - 49 / $53.20

Best Bet: MUSCLE BABY DOLL (3rd)


Race 1

(3) WORLDCLASS HANOVER is from a dam that has thrown all winners in four that have raced so far and this one looks ready; top call. (5) ROYAL CHARM is a 1/2 sister to millionaire Lifetime Pursuit (1:50 4/5) and local winner Broadway Prince. She has shown good late speed in both qualifiers. (2) KRAFTY slowed the pace to a crawl then sprinted away to win his debut. There could be more speed available here.

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Race 2

(6) UNIX HANOVER wasn't that far out of second when chasing a winner that came back to repeat Monday night here. He has improved his overall speed quickly and look as good as any in this weak group. (7) FULL TIME GIG shared both times he raced in this class last month and looks like the main threat. (1) RJB won easily in decent time at Georgian and may be putting things together now.

Race 3

(2) MUSCLE BABY DOLL has been the best in this division this summer and faces foes she should easily turn back here. (1) ELEGANT SERENITY was only 3 1/2 lengths behind the choice last time after leaving from a bad post at Georgian and looks like the one to complete the exacta. (5) JUANITAS FURY has been consistently grabbing minor shares and that trend should continue here.

Race 4

(5) ANISTON SEELSTER made two moves into a hot pace last week and predictably tired. A better trip puts her right there with these. (3) COTTONWOOD CREEK was 2nd in the same dash after leaving hard from the 10-hole and is the other main contender here. (1) OK HEAVENLY has raced well in several of her recent starts but still is a one-time winner in 15. The top 2 will be tough for her to get by here.

Race 5

(1) STRIKING CHEETAH got around okay first time with trotting hopples. Perhaps she can leave better and trip out here; price play. (4) DAYTROOPER is unbeaten in two starts out of town and facing this group isn't that big of a step up. (3) ONLY MY WAY was highly thought of last year but put away after only 4 starts. He is one of many to consider for pick 4 tickets.

Race 6

(7) DAZZLING ROCKETTE was a good third last week when dropped into this claimer for the first time; top call in another wide-open dash. (6) NANTYR MANOR took a life's mark last week at Georgian now is reclassified here to race with a tag but for a bigger purse. She looks like she fits. (1) MO MOLLY BLUE CHIP closed nicely last week first time in this class and a more aggressive steer wouldn't be a surprise here.

Race 7

(1) TABOO SEELSTER went a big trip from the worst post last week and was only picked off late by the pocket-sitter. She should be able to get a breather here and will be tough to overhaul. (7) BYE BYE MICHELLE was a fast-closing third in the same dash but she is more trip-dependent than the choice. (4) FROSTY DELIGHT was an aggressive winner last time but didn't appear the soundest in the lane; minor share predicted.

Race 8

(3) STUBBORN BELLE raced a bit better last time but the trip did her in. A big speed try is likely here. (8) LMC MARSHMELLOW finished close to the best filly in the division last time and her good form should be respected. (2) SECOND SISTER is capable of much better than what she showed in Ottawa last out and likely displays it here.

Race 9

(5) ACCENTURE HANOVER was an impressive debut winner then kind of went off the rails. He returns here from a break showing an okay qualifying line and may be a decent price; top call. (9) ONEIDA closed a ton in the lane last time but was too far back to threaten the winner. He looks like the one to beat. (1) MONOPOLY BLUE CHIP closed late into a slowing pace for an upset win. These are tougher but he can grab a share.

Race 10

(1) GLAMOUR SEELSTER brings an unbeaten record with her into the finale and hasn't even been threatened to date. She will be tough here starting from the inside. (3) NATIONALIZE drops from stakes and has enough speed to push the choice. (4) MACH MAGIC put it all together last time for a big win. These are tougher, however. (2) PROMESSE DUHARAS is a good one to use in the bottom rungs of vertical wagers at a price. (6) OK HEARTBEAT has shown improvement in her last few and could leave for position and hang around for a slice here.

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