07/12/2016 3:10PM

Mohawk: Thursday 7/14 Analysis

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Race 1 - $30,000 Guaranteed Pick Five Pool

Race 4 - $50,000 Guaranteed Pick Four Pool

 

PICK 5: 1,4,5,6/1,6,8/1,2,5,6/1,8/1,6 = $38.40

EARLY PICK 4: 1,8/1,6/1,2,4,9/3,7,10 = $48

LATE PICK 4: 6,7,9/1,2,7,9/5,6,8/9 = $36

MEET STATS: 204 - 605 / $1073.60  BEST BETS: 34 - 56 / $108.80

SPOT PLAYS: 11 - 55 / $56.40

Best Bet: DOCS SAUSALITO (11th)

Spot Play: DEWTIFUL LASS (5th)

Race 1

(1) STENHOUSE HANOVER was game in defeat after going a long first-up trip in his debut. He should be tough here with that experience under his belt. (4) CAMERON HILL rode soft fractions to an easy debut win and she looks like the main threat. (6) SEVEN AND SEVEN - from the first crop of Chapter Seven - was impressive in his lone qualifier and Durand has had a good meet so far driving his own stock; using. (5) DUNBAR HALL would be tough to beat if he could duplicate his June 24th qualifier, but it's hard to predict if he will stay flat here or not.

Race 2

(1) CHEER FOR THE CATS improved sharply in her first start for Moreau which sets her up perfectly for a Grassroots score here. (6) COULD IT BE MAGIC was nailed by a good one last time and she would not be a surprise here if she led all the way. (8) MOONLIGHT COCKTAIL was an easy winner in a Grassroots dash two back when asked for more speed early; using. (5) DEVILS ADVOCATE is logical to make the ticket here if she stays flat.

Race 3

(5) DANISH N COFFEE wasn't disgraced vs. much tougher on Saturday and she should be a force in here. (6) SPARKLE was passing rivals late in a very quick mile last time. She can be expected to be closer vs. these. (2) DIAMOND TESTED has shown improvement in every start for a trainer that is good with young stock; using. (1) FROG POND PRINCESS failed as the chalk last time. She needs to learn to start better to get her maiden win.

Race 4

(1) MAYFIELD DUKE raced well despite having little chance chasing slow early fractions last time after breaking his maiden two back. He looks like he has turned a corner and he has a good shot in here starting from the inside. (8) THREE RIVERS DELL was given a great steer by Jamieson to finally break his maiden but I'm not completely sold that the same tactics will work here. (2) SOLO STORY has been in solid form for weeks and should get a good trip here. (9) MOHEGAN BLUE CHIP will likely be passing horses late here and he can get up for a minor share.

Race 5

(6) DEWTIFUL LASS is one that has shown improvement and looked visually impressive recently and the best part is she will probably be a square price here; top call. (1) MAGICAL STEPH ripped off a quick winning mile at Dresden last time and she is the one to beat here. (11) DAYLINER is capable vs. these and could actually trip out from the second tier here; using. (4) MAGICAL WONDER retains Filion who likely learned something last time but she has missed a month now. Minor share predicted for her.

Race 6

(1) POWERFUL GLARE stayed in last time and still trotted home in 28 1/5. Expect a more aggressive steer here in this Grassroots event. (9) MYRETIREMENTICKET has improved recently and should be a speed threat here. (4)           DUCHESS KATE gets Henry back and this duo teamed for a solid maiden win two back. (2) THE POWER OF MANY has an upset chance here with the improvement she has shown in her last two.

Race 7

(7) HP BLACK SHADOW looked loaded the entire mile last week and he could double up off that sharp score. (3) GIVE EM HECK couldn't close into a swift final 1/4 last time but he figures to trip well here. (10) LUMIERE goes to Larocque who has had success with this gelding in the past; using. (1) TWIN B SPORTSMAN could wake up dropping into a claimer and take a slice here.

Race 8

(6) P L JILL was an impressive first-up winner last time and she rates highly here in this Grassroots dash off that sharp performance. (7) P C CANTORE won the last two times she has been put into the race early and she should be a top contender here. (9) HAILEYSGONEDANCIN is in good form now but must overcome the outer post. (5) SMASH HIT has made the ticket in 60% of her starts this year and is logical here to put on the bottom of tris and supers.

Race 9

(1) MATADOR MAN was a pretty good third in his first try over this track and he isn't likely to find a weaker field on the big circuit. (9) PHOTO FLASH improved last time and goes for a hot barn; using. (2) MIGHTY NICKY showed improvement in his last qualifier and he can go forward here. (7) EARLY DECISION could be put into play early here and stick around for a decent share.

Race 10

(8) GROUPIE DOLL led through solid splits last time before tiring late. That should set her up well for this Grassroots try; call to upset. (5) MAGICAL VALENTINE is logical if she stays flat. Toss her on Pick 4 tickets. (6) WINDSONGMUSCLELADY comes off a huge win out of town and her good tactical speed makes her a factor here. (10) I WANT KANDY goes for new connections following a private sale and could blast right to the front and not look back here.

Race 11

(9) DOCS SAUSILITO lowered her life's mark by several seconds last week with a blowout win. A repeat of anything close to that mile and she repeats here. (1) JUMP JIVE AND JAM closes well every race and she should be the main danger to the choice here. (3) BLISS AND LUCK can use her good early speed to get position here and stick around for a share. (6) PARKLANE GLAMOROUS closed well vs. a sharp winner last time and consistently earns checks. She could better this placing off a good trip. (8) STYLISH BEACHWARE hasn't seen action since a winning debut last October. Her July 8th qualifier was promising but she may need one before showing her best.

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