06/08/2016 11:50AM

Mohawk: Thursday 6/9 Analysis

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Race 1 - $30,000 Guaranteed Pick Five Pool

Race 4 - $50,000 Guaranteed Pick Four Pool

 

PICK 5: 3,5,7,9,10/4,7/4,10/1,3,4,7/4 = $16

EARLY PICK 4: 1,3,4,7/4/1,2,5,10/2,6 = $32

LATE PICK 4: 2,6/5,6,9,10/6/2,3,4,5 = $32

MEET STATS: 116 - 357 / $665.40  BEST BETS: 19 - 34 / $68.4

SPOT PLAYS: 6 - 34 / $40.90

Best Bet: BLAYDE HANOVER (5th)

Spot Play: BIG LIS (1st)

Race 1

(5) BIG LIS floated out from post 10 well enough in her debut to get a spot in the top 5 early then she stayed in and raced evenly. She should go better with that experience and get out in the top flight early, which gives her a decent chance in this wide-open field. (10) FROG POND PRINCESS displayed good speed both early and late last week and can be right there tonight if she can work out a trip. (9) DORABELLA set rapid splits in the City of London elimination and understandably backed up late. Look for her to revert to a deep-closing style here and make the ticket. (7) JIMINEY THREE raced better at the end of last season when switched to Moreau's barn and it's very possible he will be faster here in his sophomore debut.

Race 2

(4) DEWEY DON'T CHEAT has burned a lot of money in his two starts this year, but closed a big gap last time and improved his late speed. He should be all set now. (7) ASTERIX raced great with trotting hopples added in his June 3rd qualifier and could be a big threat here. (6) I WANT KANDY switches to the leading trainer's barn for this start and is likely to be a factor for the win. (5) BOW TIES N BOURBON beat a weak group of maidens last time and is likely to only grab a minor award here.

Race 3

(4) SASS raced huge last week to beat a big chalk while obliterating his lifetime mark in the process. Anything close to a repeat will make him very tough here. (10) DUNVEGAN DON is the class of the field and qualified sharply for this sophomore debut. He is the main danger in what shapes up to be a two-horse race. (5) HURRICANE HAZEL has been leaving and tiring late recently. This time she will likely take a closing approach and come on late for a share. (9) I JASMIN frequently finishes on the edges and tonight should be no different.

Race 4

(7) HP SISSY closed well off excess cover last time and should be more forwardly-placed early here, which gives her a good shot to beat this group. (4) KILLEAN FINALE has been getting closer in recent weeks and her tactical speed should have her in a good spot turning home here. (1) HOPE AND FAITH keeps grabbing smaller shares off following trips, which is also likely here. (3) BUTTERMILK HANOVER qualified sharply on June 3rd and will be rallying late.

Race 5

(4) BLAYDE HANOVER paced a winning race last week only to be overtaken by a rival who closed like he was shot out of a cannon. With that rival gone, he should resume his winning ways. (2) MOHEGAN BLUE CHIP stalled on cover in the same mile but should leave better here, which can make a big difference for him. (7) ARCHANGEL THREE has been on the edges in a couple of quick miles recently and figures to be in the mix here. (9) VEGAS DREAM likely sets the pace then hangs on for a smaller share.

Race 6

(5) KINDLY REMINDER showed promise in her debut then miscued last time. If she stays trotting she should be one of the main players here. (10) ROSE RUN RUDI closed decently in his seasonal debut and could enter contention at a price. (1) WOMAN ON A MISSION gets a huge driver change here; note Henry drove in the June 3rd qualifier. (2) MARCH continues to come close but can't be used on top with a 0 for 22 record.

Race 7

(6) SINTRA went a monster first-over trip vs. a tough rival to set a new track record in London last time and he is the one to beat here. (2) INSPIRATION VIEW gets faster every week and should be a tough rival now that he has hit his best form. (5) SECRECY took a new life's mark winning on May 30th but will likely find the top two too tough here. (4) BAD GAMER is a good one to use for the bottom of tris and supers.

Race 8

(9) VEROI BAYAMA went a long uncovered trip last week which cost him late. This sharp contender should be able to latch onto some cover starting from an outer post here; top call. (6) YOURE MY HERO finally moves to the middle of the gate here and can offer some value in the late Pick 4. (5) MYSTIC DEUCE figures to get a much better trip starting from the middle of the gate here and is another to consider for Pick 4 tickets. (10) SIERRA MADRE was motoring at the end of the mile last week and will likely be winding up from far back for another minor award.

Race 9

(6) BOURBON SEELSTER closed like a jet in her seasonal debut, now will likely be put into the race much earlier with that start in the books; top call. (5) ROSY OUTLOOK gets Lasix here and is capable of much better; give her a look. (2) P L JASMINE sports some rapid qualifying miles on a smaller track; using. (3) WATT MACHS ME WIN raced evenly from the worst post last time and is logical to make the ticket moving inside several starting slots here.

Race 10

(2) SQUARE DANCER was a sharp winner second time out in quick enough time to make her a top contender stepping up; slight nod. (5) QUEEN IDEAL is due for a better trip and trainer Brealey has been doing well recently; using. (3) PARKLANE GLAMOUROUS beat similar last week and will be prominent throughout here. (4) TEMPUS SEELSTER was just beaten last time by the one above and can stick around for a slice in this field. (1) SODWANA BAY miscued last time but she can rebound and take a check here if she behaves.

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