06/02/2015 3:58PM

Mohawk: Thursday 6/4 Analysis


Race 4 - $50,000 Guaranteed Pick Four Pool

EARLY $1 PICK 4: 4,5,9,10/1,3,5,8/3/4,6,9 = $48

LATE $1 PICK 4: 1,2,8/2,7/5,8,9/1,3 = $36



Race 1

(9) DON’T RUSH, last year’s OSS Gold Super Final winner, likely need not even be anywhere near his best to take this group. It’s hard to see him getting beat here. (2) JA EL STORM was beaten by a very good colt in the City of London Final last Friday and may be the lone threat to the choice. (1) ONTHEROAD DE VIE continues to be one that nabs minor shares without threatening the winner.

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Race 2

(4) MUSCLE MACK shrugged off a rough trip in the City of London Final to easily trot away from his foes in the final 1/4. He looks like one with a bright future. (5) KADABRASNEWRECRUIT closed nicely in his season debut and looks as though he has gotten faster over the winter; threat. (9) MUSCLES ALL OVER makes his sophomore debut after showing a bit of talent last fall. He can get a piece of this.

Race 3

(1) BIG RICH takes a massive class plunge for his sophomore debut and looks well-prepped to make an impact immediately; top call. (7) LA BELLA ROSA provided cover for a confident winner that was obviously in a different league than the others in that dash. This one is a threat here. (10) RENEGADE MAGIC took massive support in her debut then broke stride at the start. Many Kadabras bounce back at big prices; beware.

Race 4

(4) MACH MAGIC is the first foal to race out of millionaire dam Illusionist, herself a 43-time winner with a lifetime mark of 1:50 flat. This one’s final 1/4 in the qualifier signals readiness. (9) WANDA BAYAMA ships in for Laroque and is likely capable of dropping several seconds off her Rideau Carlton times; beware. (10) OK HEARTBEAT was pushed to a solid 1/2 then tired late. She can improve off that 2015 debut.

Race 5

(5) INFINITI AS is one of several that ships in tonight for trainer Lorentzon and looks ready based on the late speed displayed in his qualifiers. (1) IN SECRET raced very well off an 18-day break, returns a little quicker here and is a big threat from the inside. (8) BUZZ was driven extremely conservatively when appearing to have trot in the lane last out; he could pop at a huge price here.

Race 6

(3) INVEST IN ART went a big first-up trip in her sophomore debut to shave several seconds off her lifetime mark; call to repeat. (5) BUSINESS AS USUAL was a bit flat in the lane in the SBOA elim but most of these are easier. (9) DG KNICKERBOCKER came her last 3/4 in 1:23 1/5 despite suffering an interference break. She appears to have some talent.

Race 7

(4) MACHO MASS gets a huge driver change tonight for his Grassroots debut and is sure to be a top threat here. (7) ETERNAL QUEST fought valiantly vs. one who repeated next out and is undefeated. He looks like the main foe. (9) GRONK closed strongly in his season’s debut and is likely to be kept closer early.

Race 8

(1) OK HALLELUJAH broke her maiden in style in her season’s debut and this step into NW2L isn’t that steep; top call. (8) ZIP CODE ENVY tried to close from a different zip code last week and ended a clear third. Look for more speed from a little better post here. (2) OOH SHESA BADLANDS has been racing well using varying styles and is likely to hit the ticket here.

Race 9

(7) MUSCLE UP THE GOAL trotted up a storm late in his season debut, which should serve him well in this Grassroots dash. He should show a lot more early speed here. (2) ONE DIRECTION raced well to be second to a huge favorite last time and is a contender for sure. (5) THOUGHTFUL LEADER showed improvement in his third lifetime start and can be along late for a share.

Race 10

(8) TOP DOLLAR fired off a 27 2/5 kicker in preparation for this first Grassroots start and MacDonald should keep him in much closer striking range here. (5) NOBLE LEGEND has shown very little to date, but Christoforou has been known to wake this type up at huge odds with no warning; beware. (9) GO GET BRUCE raced great to win two back, missed a week, then showed nothing. He too is a wakeup prospect.

Race 11

(1) LARJON LAURA closed hard last time but was beaten by one going first-off-the-claim for a top barn. Jamieson should move this one much earlier starting from the inside. (3) GOLDIES MACH has been racing well in some quick miles out of town and should be respected here. (10) ONE LAST BONO will be pointed to the front as always; for as far as she goes. (9) DAPPLE APPLE has been claimed three starts in a row and moves to the big circuit in great form. (7) KIKISKISSINKOUSIN appears to be going in the wrong direction but should hang on for a share here.