06/28/2016 2:28PM

Mohawk: Thursday 6/30 Analysis

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Race 1 - $30,000 Guaranteed Pick Five Pool

Race 4 - $50,000 Guaranteed Pick Four Pool

 

PICK 5: 3,4,5/3,4,6/1,6/1,4,8/4,7,9 = $32.40

EARLY PICK 4: 1,4,8/4,7,9/2,7/2,3,4 = $54

LATE PICK 4: 2,3,4/7,8/2,6,7/5,6 = $36

MEET STATS: 169 - 510 / $920.50   BEST BETS: 30 - 48 / $101.10

SPOT PLAYS: 8 - 47 / $44.50

Best Bet: MOSTINTERESTINGMAN (2nd)

Spot Play: NORTHERN PRIMA (7th)

Race 1

(4) CAMERON HILL, a $52K Lexington buy, looks ready to strut her stuff off the sharp June 16 qualifying win; top call in the opener. (3) INNER DRIVE - a homebred Kadabra filly - showed progression in her second qualifier and should provide a challenge to the choice. (5) YOU CANT AFFORD ME - a $30K Harrisburg purchase - improved her closing speed in her 2nd qualifier and she merits a look for the exotics. (1) HAB FAITH had a decent qualifier on June 18th and is another that could crack the tri, but the top two look better for the win.

Race 2

(3) MOSTINTERESTINGMAN beat similar two starts back then closed a good gap vs. better non-winners of two rivals last time. He should get better positioning early here and is one of few that look like they can win this. (4) PRINCESS KATE wired a soft field last time, but can contend here if she continues to mind her manners. (6) MINI HER powered to the top in the second 1/4 last time but that 28 1/5 split took its toll late. She can be closer here with an easier trip. (1) HIPPITY HOP continues to get pounded and burn money each week; minor share predicted.

Race 3

(1) YOURE MY HERO broke while on the move last week when claimed. He gets to face a compact group here and should be tough if he can stay pacing. (6) E R QUINN made a second move in the same race after getting shuffled in the mid-stages. He should get a good trip on or near the front. (4) HIGHLAND TARTAN raced okay in the same race after shipping in and looks next best. (5) IT'S A BIG SECRET is sent out by a red-hot barn and may take these a long way.

Race 4

(1) BUTTERMILK HANOVER got held up on excess cover last time then flew home late in a race she could have won with a slightly better trip. She is sitting on a win now and should be closer early here. (4) QUEENOFTHEJUNGLE is one I have been watching that is live and just needs clear sailing at the top of the lane to be right there at the wire. (8) MAXIM SEELSTER was a solid 2nd last time and should get a good pace trip here; using. (3) HOPE AND FAITH meets company where she fits much better here and she could easily better this placing.

Race 5

(9) CATCH A MISSION showed little as a heavy chalk in an OSS Gold. She now moves to Baillargeon's barn and should be a good bet to show a lot more here; top call. (7) TYMAL TEMPEST has been racing well vs. better and figures to get a good trip up front; using. (4) SOUTHWIND STRYKER met a field he could beat last week but self destructed early, which cost him a win. He's in with a chance here, but demand a price if you like him. (2) COUNTRY PROPHET is capable of better and may show it here from a better post.

Race 6

(2) MASS PRODUCTION, a $32K purchase at the Canadian Yearling Sale, comes in off a very sharp qualifier and will take beating in his debut. (7) WARAWEE SHIPSHAPE holds an experience advantage over his rivals and is the only winner of a purse in the race. He is the one to catch. (4) CLARION HALL, a half-brother to $1.5 million earner Cantab Hall, looks well-prepped and is another to toss on Pick 4 tickets here. (1) STENHOUSE HANOVER also had a decent qualifying win and he looks like he can make some noise in this debut.

Race 7

(3) NORTHERN PRIMA got hooked up in a massive speed battle in the third 1/4 last time with the big chalk and she paid the price late. Still, she has shown improvement in her last two and this isn't that tough of a field; slight nod. (4) FROG POND PRINCESS closed late for second in that same dash and should be a contender here, but she needs to move earlier. (2) BAD LIGHTNING faces much easier and looks good on paper, but her 0-23 record so far is noteworthy. (5) LUCKY PLAYER should share off a following trip similar to her last start.

Race 8

(7) P L JILL adds Lasix off two good efforts vs. tougher and she will likely not find an easier spot to notch her maiden win. (8) ABSOLUT SEELSTER raced better recently and will likely be sent on an early speed mission here; using. (3) DEWTIFUL LASS used a sweet trip to skim the pylons and win at huge odds last time. She is more likely to close for a smaller share here. (1) YAWANASEESUMMUSCLE can follow along and take a small share here if she stays flat.

Race 9

(6) LITTLE TURK goes back to the claimed level and faces a group he can beat here.  (2) HIGHLAND BOGART was a sharp winner when dropped into a claimer for the first time and he should be heard from. (5) TEA WITH MS MCGILL gets sent out by one of the hottest barns on the grounds; beware.

Race 10

(6) JUMP JIVE AND JAM was motoring late last time and should be put into action earlier here, which gives her a shot at the win vs. these. (5) TONIGHTIMLOVINGYOU made several moves and was still only a narrow loser in the same race. She is a top contender here. (2) BERNADETTE faces easier and gets a significant driver change; using. (10) MANIANA is capable of better and perhaps Jamieson will ask her for more speed early. (9) SAUBLE ASHLEY made a big third 1/4 move to break her maiden, but these are tougher and a smaller share is likely here.

[POCONO: Watch the Ben Franklin Showdown + entire Sun Stakes card from Pocono--Live on DRF Saturday!]