06/24/2015 11:21AM

Mohawk: Thursday 6/25 Analysis

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Race 4 - $50,000 Guaranteed Pick Four Pool

EARLY PICK 4:

3,6,8,10/2,5/3,5,6/5 = $24

 

LATE PICK 4: 5/1,3,6/1,3,4,7/2,5,6 = $36

MEET STATS: 133 - 433 / $798.60  BEST BETS: 16 - 38 / $54.80

SPOT PLAYS: 6 - 36 / $50.40

Best Bet: STEEL RESERVE (3rd)

Spot Play: CAPELA (7th)

Race 1

(2) BETTY HILL was an impressive winner of her second qualifier, controlling things after leaving from an outer post. She gets a lukewarm call in a field full of possibilities. (5) FREE SHOW outduelled (6) SOUTHWIND SHANIA in a 26 3/5 final 1/4 and both figure prominently here.

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Race 2

(7) SOUTHWIND LUNA just about wired a Grassroots field at Georgian and the one that finished behind her in third came back to win impressively at Mohawk last week. She looks solid here and will most likely attract a claim. (2) BADLANDS DELIGHT has won 3 of 8 this year and her good tactical speed puts her right in the mix in this short field. (1) FROSTY DELIGHT returns from what looks like a much-needed break and could go much better here.

Race 3

(7) STEEL RESERVE went a big first-over trip in his season's debut last week to just miss. A repeat of that effort puts him right there vs. this group. (5) THOUGHTFUL LEADER moved first-up into a quick pace for this class and predictably stalled. One of these times Mario is going to send this Kadabra colt early and when he does, he will likely wire that race. (4) HALO EFFECT took a lot of support last week but couldn't keep pace with a good winner late. This filly seems to be better closing from off a helmet in the outer flow.

Race 4

(8) A LOT OF SENSE floated out looking for position last week but couldn't find a seat. Considering she was out the route, that wasn't a bad effort at all. She could take this at a good price with a slightly better trip. (10) MISSEVIL showed some life first time in a claimer, closing from farthest back for third. She draws farthest out here, but is capable of leaving hard if the driver so chooses. (3) THRILL CHASER was hung the mile and stopped late. Post relief gives this mare a chance at a much better trip here.

Race 5

(2) KAYS SHADOW effortlessly paced home in 56 2/5 in her lone qualifier and looks like one of the better 2YO fillies so far. She will likely get bet pretty hard for this debut. (5) TWIN B THONG did well to close a bit on a highly-regarded filly and her 26 4/5 kicker signals readiness. Keep her on your pick 4 tickets. (7) BRING ME DIAMONDS showed good late energy to nab second behind the choice and could be even closer here.

Race 6

(6) SOUTHWIND GINGER takes a big class drop and trainer Adams has been on fire the whole meet so far. Expect a big speed try from this Sportswriter filly. (5) GLAMOUR SEELSTER was a solid debut winner in fast time. She will likely take lots of action here but faces a couple that should be much tougher competition. (3) MUCH ADOO impressively won a NW2L in May then stepped into Stakes Company for three starts with little success. She's in with a big shot here.

Race 7

(5) CAPELA's last line is better than it looks in that she was passing horses late in an extremely swift mile for this class. This group looks much easier and she figures highly here. (6) ARTIAWITCHYOU waited too long to move last week and got stung in the third 1/4. Expect an earlier move from this one tonight. (2) FLOAT ON BY has been a disappointment so far but has been pacing good last 1/4s the past two and now gets some post relief. She could wake up here.

Race 8

(6) KENDAL GUCCI drops back into a claimer following a decent effort vs. conditioned company. She should be tough in here. (1) ANDRO MADI goes for high % trainer Johnson off the claim here and should be prominent throughout with her good early speed. (3) PATHTODOVER last raced in a claimer on May 8 and was an easy winner in that one. Expect improvement with the class drop.

Race 9

(7) VOODOO CHARM picked up 8 lengths into an accelerating pace in the second half last week in her best effort yet. She likely gets a patented aggressive Filion drive and graduates here. (3) MACH MAGIC has tried it first up and failed in both her starts. Jamieson will probably change tactics here. (1) NICE TRIP closed a bit of ground in her debut in a quick last 1/4. She can get a piece of this at a price.

Race 10

(2) THE OPTIMIST makes his first start out of the Adams barn which is as potent an angle as you will find at this track currently; top call. (6) CHOSEN HOMBRE raced okay in a pretty good field at Georgian and figures highly here. (5) LIVE AND LEARN drops back to a class where he fits best. He should be right there at the wire. (4) HAIL THE TAXI continues to close, then hang. He's a good one for the super but a terrible win bet as he always seems to take action, but is 3 for his last 32 in the past two years. (8) WHOSURPAL drops and gets Lasix. He could better this placing.

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