05/31/2016 8:43PM

Mohawk: Thursday 6/2 Analysis

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Race 1 - $30,000 Guaranteed Pick Five Pool

Race 4 - $50,000 Guaranteed Pick Four Pool

 

PICK 5: 1,3,6,8/1,7,10/1/2,4,6,9,10/4,7,9,10 = $48

EARLY PICK 4: 2,4,6,9,10/4,7,9,10/6/1 = $20

LATE PICK 4: 1/4,8,9/2,4,6,9/1,3,4 = $36

MEET STATS: 104 - 325 / $590.20  BEST BETS: 18 - 31 / $65.60

SPOT PLAYS: 5 - 31 / $32.80

Best Bet: VEROI BAYAMA (7TH)   Spot Play: THE LAND SHARK (2ND)

Race 1

(8) HIPPITY HOP made a strong move to the front in the third 1/4 last time but may have moved too fast and couldn’t sustain it to the wire.  She could do well here with a slightly more patient drive. (1) DUCHESS KATE raced okay two back before breaking in her City of London elimination and she could provide some value in this suspect field. (3) CHLOVER flashed some late speed in her May 20 qualifier and is another that could make the ticket at a big price here. (6) ROSE RUN RUD had a big qualifying win at Georgian and is another to consider in a wide-open race to kick off the card.

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Race 2

(10) THE LAND SHARK improved dramatically last time with trotting hopples added and might double up here vs. come classy foes that will have much bigger races coming up this summer. (7) MARION MARAUDER is the obvious class of the field but may need one before hitting top form. (9) BUCKELIST HANOVER won his debut last year and looks well-prepped for his initial sophomore start; don’t discount. (1) MISSEDBYADAY roared home last week to break his maiden and will be passing most of these late here.

Race 3

(1) ROCKIN WITH DEWEY has hit her best stride and good tactical speed gives her the advantage here over her main rival (2) CHARMED LIFE, who continues to race well and bring home nice checks, but has had trouble winning the past couple of years. (4) STORMONT KATE moves up with leading driver Henry in the bike and could split the top two for the exacta here. (5) MISSYS GA GA looks best of the rest but is unlikely to threaten the top two.

Race 4

(6) WINDSONGMAGNIFIQUE motored home in her S.B.O.A. elimination but was too far back to bridge a big gap. She fits much better here. (2) ICTHELIGHT HANOVER raced okay against a filly who was winning her third straight and now she moves inside. She should be heard from here. (4) HOPE AND FAITH had her best race of the year so far last week and should be a threat here. (9) BERNADETTE has been finishing quickly and J Mac is a master with deep closers at this track; beware.

Race 5

(7) BLAYDE HANOVER flew home to win his sophomore debut last week and can double up with a similar effort here. (10) DAYLIGHT RUSH raced out of his skin to set an impressive new life’s mark last week and is the one to chase down here. (9) BAGGAGE CLAIM showed some life in his last two now goes for potent trainer Wallace here and can provide some value to exotic wagers. (4) MOHEGAN BLUE CHIP was second to the choice last week after getting shuffled and could better this placing.

Race 6

(6) ZAGSTER was an easy winner in this class last week and looks good to double up here. (9) ULYSSES BI made a move to the front on the backside last time but was soon overtaken by the eventual winner. He is the main danger to the choice here. (8) TRAVIATA had a good rookie season but may need one or two before coming to top form. (7) SASS closed well vs. a strong winner that was loose on the lead the whole way. He can build off that mile and enter contention here.

Race 7

(1) VEROI BAYAMA was a strong winner in this class last week in his first attempt, was claimed, now goes for the potent Menary/Jamieson combo; top call. (2) JOELS LEGACY improved by two seconds last week, which makes him a contender in this field. (10) MYSTIC DEUCE chased big fractions in the race won by the choice. He isn’t out of this, even from post 10. (3) SIERRA MADRE ships in after being claimed and can close for a smaller share here.

Race 8

(8) SPIRIT SQUAD followed a razor-sharp winner home last time and looks as good as any in a race with several possibilities. (9) KRONWALL raced well two back in his first start for Henriksen then broke starting as the trailer at London. If he trots the entire mile here he could beat these. (4) SILKY FLASHY NFAST earned a lot of money without winning last year and is the class of this group. She would be no surprise here but is likely to be over bet. (10) MINI HER could make the ticket if she can enter contention early enough; note the quick final 1/4 in her most recent start.

Race 9

(9) TEDDYS SUPER TOY was pushed early last time yet still set some fast splits and almost lasted. He has some options here starting from the outside; slight nod. (6) INSPIRATION VIEW looks like he is starting to come around and will likely pop at a price soon; maybe tonight? (2) BAD GAMER reversed tactics last time and it almost worked. He is sharp and should be used on late Pick 4 tickets. (4) BEAST MODE has been on a roll but these are tougher and he has missed a bit of time; minor share predicted.

Race 10

(1) MANHATTAN KELLY closed nicely for third in her debut, now moves inside and stands a decent chance to graduate vs. many that have had several chances already and failed. (4) ACTIVE LADY should go forward off a decent seasonal debut and could break her maiden in her 15th try here. (3) THIS DAY FORWARD continues to just miss; she will get there one of these times. (10) BIG LIS, a $34,000 Harrisburg purchase, is heavily-staked and one to keep an eye on here in her debut. (8) BAD LIGHTNING usually closes for a smaller share and should do so here as well.