06/17/2015 11:08AM

Mohawk: Thursday 6/18 Analysis


Race 4 - $50,000 Guaranteed Pick Four Pool


2,4,7,9/1,6,9/1,3/4,9 = $48


LATE $1 PICK 4: 4,9/2,3/5,8/2,5 = $16

MEET STATS: 122 - 378 / $714.70  BEST BETS: 16 - 34 / $54.80

SPOT PLAYS: 5 - 32 / $45.60


Spot Play: SO RAVEN (4th)

Race 1

(3) MY WAY THE HIGHWAY has shown good closing power in both starts so far and need only leave a bit better here to contend vs. this suspect group. (2) ARRAKIS is erratic but has shown enough speed to figure prominently here. (7) INGE has 10 slices in 12 starts and ships in for a sneaky good trainer who sends them up here ready.

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Race 2

(7) DONT RUSH was not asked for anything in his season's debut and still managed to get up late. These are tougher, but he should also be tighter; top call. (5) EL DIABLO HALL - winner of 8 of 11 lifetime with two seconds - has already easily won an OSS Gold event out of town and is the one to chase down. (1) WINNING WIZARD encountered a brutal journey from the 10-hole last time and moves inside now. He's another contender in a strong field.

Race 3

(1) DRINKSONTHEHOUSE has improved every start and now draws inside in a field that he should be able to contend with. Expect MacDonell to get this one rolling earlier this time. (7) CINCINNATI MISS raced well last week but was beaten by one that roared away from the field in style. She fits and is an obvious contender. (2) JENALEAH proved two back that she can compete here but miscued last week; contender if flat.

Race 4

(9) SO RAVEN closed well despite a long overland journey last week, firing a 27 1/5 kicker despite being out the route. It's hard to predict if she'll be laying closer from the 9-hole, but if she's in range at the head of the lane, look out! (2) GLAMOUR SEELSTER is out of a dam that has produced two 7-time winners from two that have raced so far. Team McNair could have this one ready to roll in her debut. (4) MACH MAGIC took a ton of support mostly off her excellent breeding, but she came up flat. It's quite likely she has much more to offer than what we saw from that debut race.

Race 5

(6) ELEGANT SERENITY seems much improved this year - perhaps finally living up to her top shelf breeding - and may be up to beating OSS Gold company here at a square price on the class rise. (1) YOURE MAJESTIC powered away to a new lifetime mark last week and will take some beating from the rail. (9) MEADOW SEELSTER has faced the two best fillies currently in this division in her past three starts and was 2nd each time. She's a player here.

Race 6

(3) REASONABLE FORCE went a monster trip first off the claim, making two moves setting serious splits and only faltering late. A breather or two here and he could be long gone. (1) FOREVER JUST takes a massive class drop and should be used on pick 4 tickets based on that angle alone. (8) BRINGHOME THEBLUE knocked off the choice off a following trip and is sharp; using.

Race 7

(9) A LOT OF SENSE drops back into a conditioned claimer and should be much more competitive here. Top call at a square price. (4) MISSEVIL takes a big class drop off an ugly line, but if she could recapture something close to her early career form, she would dust these. Beware.(3) TON OF LUCK moves inside which should make her a contender, but notice the 17 slices vs. only 3 wins in 42 tries the past 18 months.

Race 8

This OSS Gold dash shapes up as a clash of the two top 3YO trotting fillies in the province and based on what we have observed so far we'll give a slight edge to (3) MUSCLE BABY DOLL, who has been razor-sharp vs. lesser. She also may offer a marginally better price than (2) STUBBORN BELLE, who is already a stakes winner in only two starts this year but has trotted much slower final 1/4s than the choice. (5) ALL THAT SPARKLES trotted a big mile last week at The Meadowlands and was only nailed late, but she'll likely find the top two too much here.

Race 9

(8) SOUTHWIND GEISHA has been very sharp for several weeks and looks best in here so long as she can get within striking range by the 3/4 pole. Top call, but be wary of the leaders possibly getting away on her. (5) COTTONWOOD CREEK blasted home two back to break her maiden then was a decent third out of town in a Grassroots event. She's a contender here. (4) WINDSUN CHANEL finished just ahead of the one above off a following trip. She should be prominent throughout.

Race 10

(5) ARTIAWITCHYOU was an easy winner in this class last time and returns to face a field with only a couple to worry about; call to repeat. (2) WANDA BAYAMA has greatly improved her overall speed in the past 6 weeks and looks like the main danger. (3) LIVING HISTORY was a good third in a fast time in a sires stakes at Tioga, then she vet-scratched; mixed signals with this one. (4) ABBIJADE HANOVER has never missed a check and figures for a minor award here. (1) DANCINGATNIGHT slid up the rail late to break her maiden now steps up to face much better. A minor share is likely her ceiling here.

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