06/10/2015 10:50AM

Mohawk: Thursday 6/11 Analysis


Race 4 - $50,000 Guaranteed Pick Four Pool


4,5,6/2,5,6/2,4,7/2 = $27


LATE $1 PICK 4 TICKET:  1,2,8/2,3,6,9/1,4/2,5 = $48

MEET STATS: 110 - 346 / $618.10  BEST BETS: 15 - 31 / $52.70

SPOT PLAYS: 5 - 29 / $45.60

Best Bet: INVEST IN ART (2nd)


Race 1

(5) RENEGADE MAGIC was carefully driven by Saftic to the stretch last week then tipped off her cover and got by late to break her maiden. Like many Kadabras, she seems to have lots of speed to offer if she stays flat - which could be a big if for many in here, including her. (4) SUMTHINTOTALKABOUT impressed in her seasonal debut with a nice win then stepped into stakes company, which may have been too much, too soon for her. She can rebound here. (6) LMC MARSHMELLOW was a strong maiden winner two back then stepped into NW2L and broke before the start. She too will contend if she minds her manners.

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Race 2

(6) INVEST IN ART has already won impressively twice in this class to kick off her season and looks formidable here at short price. (5) CHEEKIE has come to life in the claiming ranks with two big wins in a row where she powered past the field late. She's in with a shot here, but will need to be closer turning home to chase down the choice. (1) ARRIVISTA HANOVER has three exacta finishes in 25 lifetime starts and two of those have come in the past two weeks. She has obviously turned it around and is an exacta factor here, too.

Race 3

(9) ELEGANT SERENITY broke her maiden in style last week and although these should be tougher, she may be up to it, even from the 9-hole; top call. (1) MASS RAIL has had gait issues recently, but comes in off a sharp qualifier and is the main foe if she behaves. (4) PINKY THE INTERN has had three starts where she mostly raced evenly. She can contend for the win if she is put into the race early and gets a spot near the front at the start.

Race 4

(6) DELIRIUM has raced decently enough from the 10-hole the past two weeks to suggest that this post relief may be all she needs to turn the trick here - especially in this somewhat weak field. (5) NOMATTERWHEN was sent first-over last week and actually finished ahead of the choice. Her form is improving with regular racing. (4) ALEXAS HOPE has five wins and 11 exacta finishes from 19 starts racing out of town this year and must be considered taking into account her sharpness and consistency.

Race 5

(6) GAME ON HANOVER has only lost once with Zeron at the controls and he gets a great post to work with here to move her aggressively in the third 1/4, as has been the norm so far when he drives; top call. (2) ETERNAL QUEST bottomed out a Grassroots field last week but may be a bit over bet as a result. He's a top contender for sure, but beware taking too short a price. (5) KADDY was a nice winner in her season's debut then faced stakes company with mixed results. Keep her on your pick 4 tickets.

Race 6

(2) TERRORCAM has dropped two seconds in three starts this year and meets one of the easiest fields she will ever see. A Mac likely sends this one early and could land in a nice pocket trip; call at a price. (4) TAILWIND HANOVER has mostly been a disappointment so far, but lands in a cozy spot here and looks like a contender by default. (7) KATIES BEACH showed speed both early and late in her mile last week and is on the improve; using.

Race 7

(2) FORK took a ton of support last week but never threatened. You would think with him moving inside eight post positions he will be sent early to at least get a contending spot vs this group; top call. (8) CREAMPUFF MACDADDY went a big trip first up chasing honest splits and finished a strong second. He is the one to fear. (1) HIDDEN IDENTITY got closer last time and is capable of blowing up the tote; beware.

Race 8

(9) MYLITTLESTARSHINE had a decent 2015 debut last week, leaving for position then moving first up. She can build on that effort here in a field with many question marks. (6) AUNT LOTTIE finished just ahead of the choice after sitting in throughout. That was by far her best effort to date and it puts her in contention here. (2) FEDERAL LADY ships in for a trainer that brings them ready, quite often at a good price.

Race 9

(1) MILEYS BIG WORLD has shown that she fits in this claiming class and actually beat a better field last week; call to repeat. (4) TIGRA SEELSTER was hung the mile last out, but two back beat a $20K claiming field out of town that is comparable to this group. She's a contender here. (7) NO TEASING ME has been doing well vs. cheaper on the B tracks. Her tactical speed should be a plus here.

Race 10

(2) BRINGHOME THEBLUE left hard to the front last week then chased home a tough winner that held a big class edge on the field. He should be tough here. (5) CHOSEN HOMBRE has several good miles out of town that show he fits with this group; contender. (4) HAIL THE TAXI continues to grab good checks but is horribly win-shy; for a slice. (10) CRUIZIN KC drops in class and can contend for the win if sent for position early, but that's hard to predict; your call. (8) REASONABLE FORCE goes first off the claim here for an owner/trainer/driver that is capable of popping with a bomb.

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