05/03/2016 5:10PM

Mohawk: Thursday 5/5 Analysis


Race 1 - $30,000 Guaranteed Pick Five Pool

Race 4 - $50,000 Guaranteed Pick Four Pool

PICK 5: 1,6,8,9/1,2,3/2/2,3,6,8/1,4,6,7 = $38.40

EARLY PICK 4: 2,3,6,8/1,4,6,7/5,9/5,9 = $64

LATE PICK 4: 4,5,9/1,2,6/5,10/2,3 = $36

MEET STATS: 54 - 163 / $351.10  BEST BETS: 10 - 16 / $43.40

SPOT PLAYS: 3 - 16 / $15.40


Spot Play: MEERSBURG (5th)

Race 1

(6) ARCHERY - 1/2 to local star Second Sister - trotted her best mile to date in her April 16 qualifier at Pompano and is worth a try here at what should be a good price. (9) LIFE STRIKES drops out of a stakes series where a 28 4/5 kicker was only good enough to hang in for 6th. These are obviously easier. (1) WINDSONGMUSCLELADY exits the same stakes series and the good late speed she displayed there should play well here.

Race 2

(3) CAJON THOMAS was a sharp winner last week after finishing 2nd in his first start off a layoff to one that came back to repeat in a stakes series here Saturday. He looks best here and can double up. (1) REAL KID was victimized by a 1:00 3/5 middle half last time but still closed ground late. He is a sharp contender here. (2) PRINT MEDIA makes his seasonal bow after a productive rookie campaign. He looks ready to contend immediately and can make the ticket.

Race 3

(2) HAILEYSGONEDANCING qualified faster than most of these race when in for a purse. Trainer 'O Sullivan sends them ready off layoffs; top call. (8) MAJOR MUSCLE and (4) SPIRIT SQUAD also qualified well for their sophomore debuts and can take shares here.

Race 4

(6) SOUTHWIND MONTY blew a big lead in the stretch last time, but that was his seasonal bow and he should be sharper here. (8) CAMS LUCKY SAM comes off two sharp wins at Flamboro where he finished quickly in both. He could take this at a square price. (3) SPEEDLING wasn't far behind the choice last time and should be able to grab a smaller share here off a following trip.

Race 5

(1) MEERSBURG suffered interference at the half that likely cost him a win last week, when two in front of him pulled out after he was already out and moving. He should get a desirable pace setup here for his late charge. (4) VELOCITY HEADLIGHT got hung out trying to make the front last week, which was his undoing. Starting inside some of the other speed gives him a chance to settle early and work out a better trip. (6) PANEDICTINE has caught fire in his last two starts and his good form should be respected.

Race 6

(9) MOONLIGHT COCKTAIL took a big shuffle in the Celias Counsel final but did have some trot late. She could wire these with a similar start. (5) BLENHEIM is erratic but speedy. If he stays flat he will be dangerous. (3) TRUMPETS may have figured some things out in his April 29 qualifier; using.

Race 7

(5) TONKA GIRL raced well in her debut and can go forward with the experience she gained from that start; slight nod. (9) CONNIE MACH faces a field of straight maidens for the first time off a strong qualifier and is a must-use in the Pick 4s. (4) WINDSONGMAGNIFIQUE motored home in her April 29 qualifier. If she can lay closer to the leaders early here, look out!

Race 8

(6) ZAGSTER lost a lot of ground on the final turn last week when winding up from far back, but powered past many of his rivals in a good performance. Henry will likely get him moving earlier here. (1) GIANT MUSCLES made a strong move on the backstretch and parlayed that move into an easy win last week. He looks like a different horse in the new barn and is a must-use. (2) DANISH DARBY easily beat maidens in his seasonal bow and the step up here isn't that great for her. She is another to toss on your late Pick 4 tickets.

Race 9

(5) NOTETOSELF HANOVER couldn't keep up to a winner that was taking a big class drop last week. He fits better vs. this group and may lead them all the way. (10) MITTNAGE A TROIS just missed last time at a huge price. Zeron may elect to leave here facing mostly inexperienced maidens; using. (2) THE KERNAL finished quickly in his debut and could be much closer early here moving inside seven slots. Toss him on the bottom of your tris and supers.

Race 10

(3) BEAST MODE went a big trip to break his maiden from the 10-hole on April 14. Anything close to that mile gets him a very good chance at a second win here. (2) MAJOR HILL destroyed a field of maidens last week when dropping out of sires stakes company and he looked great doing it. He is a big threat here. (7) SHOREVIEW was no match for one that came back to double up in style Saturday here. He should get a piece of this. (4) MAXI POWERS will likely revert to a closing style here with so much early speed signed on. He can take a share. (9) BAD GAMER is a good one to use on the bottom rung of Jackpot High-5 bets. He will be passing horses from far back late.

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