05/17/2016 4:11PM

Mohawk: Thursday 5/19 Analysis

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Race 1 - $30,000 Guaranteed Pick Five Pool

Race 4 - $50,000 Guaranteed Pick Four Pool

 

PICK 5: 1,2,3,4,7,8/1,2,6/5/6.7/1,2,6,9 = $28.80

EARLY PICK 4: 6,7/1,2,6,9/7,8/2,4,5 = $48

LATE PICK 4: 2,4,5/1,5,9/1,4/1,3 = $36

MEET STATS: 88 - 249 / $532.10  BEST BETS: 14 - 24 / $56.30

SPOT PLAYS: 5 - 24 / $32.80

Best Bet: SHOCKING IMAGE (3rd)

Spot Play: SQUARE DANCER (6th)

Race 1

(3) MAJESTIC MISTRESS has finished quickly in both of her last two starts and meets a field she can beat here; slight nod. (7) WARAWEE ROO re-qualified well and can contend here if he can stay flat. (8) CRAZY WILD DESIRE is another that re-qualified well that can contend, but has also shown gait issues. (1) SVENSSON is by a top sire and qualified decently with tonight's pilot driving on May 9. He is in with a puncher's chance here in a suspect field.

Race 2

(1) LEAN HANOVER raced well vs. open stakes company last year and looks ready based on his lone qualifier; top call. (6) SPIRIT SQUAD was gobbling up ground late last time and should be a threat vs. these. (2) DIA MONDE flashed good late speed in his lone qualifier and faces maidens for the first time. He is another to consider for Pick 5 tickets. (4) ANNELI HANOVER can sneak onto the ticket while passing horses late.

Race 3

(5) SHOCKING IMAGE raced very well in the Diplomat series, looking like a different horse than last season. He should handle these maidens easily at a short price. (9) MY OLD MASTER has been motoring home from too far back. He could threaten if put into the race earlier. (6) CAROLINA HURRICANE faced some tough ones last season and made $81K without winning. He should take a good share here. (1) OK ICEMAN can improve moving from the worst post to the inside and grab a piece of this.

Race 4

(6) ER QUINN is a hard-knocker that debuts for top trainer Moreau here. Expect an aggressive drive from Filion. (7) LIGHT FOOT RD also debuts in a new barn after setting a new life's mark last week. He is the main threat to the choice. (2) MYSTIC DEUCE raced well vs. a strong winner last time but his six seconds vs. zero wins doesn't inspire great confidence that he can beat both of the two above; minor share predicted. (10) YOURE MY HERO can enter contention late here and hit the super.

Race 5

(2) GENTLEMAN JIM tripped-out to win last week, but finished fast and can contend here despite stepping up. (1) BEE IN CHARGE has come into his own and is another that should challenge here despite the class rise. (9) GIANT MUSCLES was involved in a quicker tempo than the two above and will be tough if he clears early. (6) DYNAMIC EDGE is another that should go close in a competitive dash.

Race 6

(8) SQUARE DANCER qualified nicely against last year's rookie champion pacing filly and the filly that finished 2nd was an easy winner Monday night; top call. (7) JIMMYS LITTLE GIRL was just behind the choice and looks like the main danger. (5) THIS DAY FORWARD keeps coming close but is worth betting against in the win pool if she is a short price. (6) LUCKY PLAYER raced okay in her season's debut and should improve and take a share here.

Race 7

(4) MAJOR HILL hung on well despite setting wicked fractions last time and the winner of that race came back to win again on Monday. He can set a more even pace here and prove tough to beat. (5) CAMS LUCKY SAM has raced well in both Mohawk starts and is improving; dangerous here. (2) IMSPORTY was flying late in a much-improved effort last time and can beat these with a trip. (6) GOTTI can get a spot near the front early and hang around for a piece.

Race 8

(1) P L JERICO simply got too far back early last week and couldn't bridge the entire gap late. The move inside makes him the one to beat here. (5) ULYSSES BI had a tightener and gets a much better post here; beware. (9) HILLS ANGEL left, took a shuffle, then motored up late to just miss. Her good early speed makes her a threat vs. these. (2) WINDSUN MISSILE was an easy winner in a break-filled affair. These are tougher.

Race 9

(4) ST LADS MOONWALK won as expected last week despite being out the route. He can come right back here despite facing tougher. (1) SINTRA was a very impressive winner of his season's debut and is the main threat to the choice. (3) NICHOLAS RYAN was closing last time vs. the choice and could sneak into the tri here at a price. (8) BAD GAMER will be closing from far back here and passing many of these late. He could make the bottom rung of the super.

Race 10

(1) KAYS SHADOW closed well into an accelerating pace in her sophomore debut. Moving inside should mean a more aggressive steer here. (3) LINDWOOD BEACHGIRL took a lot of action and won impressively last week. She can't be left off late Pick 4 tickets. (4) QUEEN IDEAL continues to race well and can latch onto some cover early from this post (2) COLLECTIVE WISDOM was a sharp winner vs. maidens but the top three here will likely prove to be much tougher. (6) IN THE SHADOWS is likely to make a bottom rung of the exotics.

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