05/13/2015 10:26AM

Mohawk: Thursday 5/14 Analysis

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Race 4 - $50,000 Guaranteed Pick Four Pool

EARLY $1 PICK 4 TICKET:

2,4,7/1,6,10/4/6,8,10 = $27

 

LATE $1 PICK 4 TICKET: 1,5,8/1,2,6/2,4,9/2,6 = $54

MEET STATS: 65 - 213 / $370.70 BEST BETS: 10 - 19 / $32.60

SPOT PLAYS: 3 - 17 / $36.00

Best Bet: PISCEAN (3rd)

Spot Play: UNABATING (8th)

Race 1

(5) SASSY DREAMER showed big improvement second time out and stands a good chance to control the pace here; top call in the opener.(2) LADY PING has the ultimate case of seconditis and may fill that spot again here. (6) SEE THE STARS is well-bred but will need more speed here if he is going to contend at first asking.

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Race 2

(4) A LOT OF SENSE powered up late to win her last despite getting funky-gaited halfway down the lane. McNair should be able to keep her in striking range from the 4-hole; call to repeat. (6) THRILL CHASER drew off to a new lifetime best mark late and is the obvious one to chase down. (2) DELIRIUM set the pace and only tired late in a much improved performance; using.

Race 3

(1) PISCEAN, the night's Best Bet, had a horrible trip last out - first on excess bad cover then stopped cold when trying the inside in the lane when full of trot. Filion should roll this one much earlier here with that debut in the books. (9) LMC MARSHMELLOW showed some good late trot for the first time last week and could improve in a big way here. (10) WORLD CLASS IZZY is well-bred but may not be used aggressively from the 10-hole here in her debut.

Race 4

(7) MESMERIZE BLUE CHIP was a debut winner last year off a similar qualifier in which she showed good late speed. She looks ready to roll in her sophomore debut. (2) TAILWIND HANOVER failed as chalk last out when trying to rally into an accelerating pace. She should be tough here. (4) GET SOME SPARK debuts for McIntosh off a decent second qualifier and could make some noise right away.

Race 5

(1) HAVA KADABRA controlled things last week and was an easy winner. He projects to get a good trip on or near the pace throughout here. (10) BIG PACKAGE had no trouble with an outer post in his latest and should be tough again here. (6) ARCTIC TALE has seen better days but is capable of putting in a in a big one if he minds his manners.

Race 6

(4) CLICK BOOM drops to the bottom level here and likely gets back on track from on or near the pace. (1) GREYSTONE MOE raced much better last week and should be able to get a good trip leaving from the inside. (5) LOST IN PANSLATION hits the board every week and is always a threat from close range.

Race 7

(6) ABBIJADE HANOVER qualified well enough to suggest she will be a threat in this weak field in her 3YO debut. (10) BETTY AND THE JETS closed a big gap in her season's debut, but still remains winless and now draws the 10-hole; for a slice. (8) BLACK QUEEN hasn't missed the board in her career and now faces what looks like her weakest competition to date; using.

Race 8

(5) UNABATING makes his season's debut off a decent enough qualifier; priced to win for Puddy; top call. (8) TYMAL COLLOSSUS went a long trip last time and paid the price late. He races better when he can clear to the front at some point. (1) RIVAL SEELSTER comes in from London for Moreau after a narrow defeat in the Preferred there; he's dangerous.

Race 9

(1) TYMAL SIGNATURE has improved dramatically the past month and is a big threat here to notch her third lifetime win. (6) MASS RAIL closed a big gap in the second 1/2 to fall just short to the choice; threat. (2) TYMAL ILLBTHERE was a one-time winner last year, but also faced the best in her division and wasn't disgraced. She can take these if the intent is there.

Race 10

(4) SCARY HARRY showed wicked late speed in his second start over Balmoral and now moves into McIntosh's barn; top call. (9) DRAFT SEELSTER was only 6 lengths behind the best 3YO in Ontario in his qualifier and looks ready to make some noise in this season's debut. (2) TWIN B SPORTSMAN gets an inside post for the first time and could be a value play for late pick 4 tickets.

Race 11

(6) BUSINESS AS USUAL roared home in her latest qualifier signaling all systems go for her 3YO debut. (2) SOUTHWIND GINGER moved into Adams barn and was an easy winner first out; the main danger. (7) MO MOLLY BLUE CHIP raced well enough in her season's debut to contend here. (1) WAR FILLY had a brutal trip last time and paid the price. She can share from an inside post here. (4) JORDIES HOPE moves inside and could parlay a following trip into a share here.

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