05/11/2016 10:49AM

Mohawk: Thursday 5/12 Analysis


Race 1 - $30,000 Guaranteed Pick Five Pool

Race 4 - $50,000 Guaranteed Pick Four Pool

PICK 5: 1,3,7/3,6,7/6,7,9/1,3,8/4 = $16.20

EARLY PICK 4: 1,3,8/4/3,5,8/1,2,5,8 = $36

LATE PICK 4: 1,2,5,8/7/5,8,9,10/6,8 = $32

MEET STATS: 73 - 206 / $461.30  BEST BETS: 12 - 20 / $51.20

SPOT PLAYS: 5 - 20 / $32.80

Best Bet: DAYLINER (8th)

Spot Play: MEERSBERG (7th)

Race 1

(3) COLLECTIVE WISDOM was flying late last week but was free too late. She has a good shot to break her maiden here. (7) NORTHERN LAUREN is by a top sire and out of a dam that frequently showed high speed on this circuit. There could be more here than meets the eye with this filly. (1) ART INSTRUCTOR can share here off a following trip. (4) TWENTY THREE RED gets Jamieson for the second time, which can be a potent angle at times.

Race 2

(6) JAGERSRO showed speed both early and late last week and may have found a field she can beat here. (7) GENTLEMAN JIM was out a long way last time which cost him late. He can be right there with a better drive. (3) P C CANTORE brings an unbeaten record from the B tracks but will need to shave a few seconds off here. (1) MARCH is 0-19 but can take a smaller share from this post.

Race 3

(7) DOTTIE chased solid fractions and held 2nd last time behind a strong winner. She looks good to take this group. (6) SMASH HIT, who has been closing quickly in her past three starts, faces easier here and is a logical contender. (9) MAJESTIC PRESENCE had a good recent qualifier and can contend if flat here. (1) MAJOR MUSCLE moves inside off an okay seasonal bow and can better this placing.

Race 4

(8) MAYFIELD DUKE made two moves when second to a sharp winner last time. He could break his maiden in his 13th try here off that solid effort. (3) NOSTROVIA qualified sharply twice, showing good late speed both times; using. (1) DAYLIGHT RUSH was a closing second to a big favorite last time and is another in with a shot. (5) SPORTS COLOGNE has a long losing streak which will likely continue here, but he can take a minor share.

Race 5

(4) SOUTHWIND MONTY was an easy winner last week when he improved his late speed. He can double up here. (7) SHOREVIEW closed a big gap to a sharp winner last time and is the main threat. (1) VEGAS DREAM was 2nd to a promising colt last time and should be forwardly placed early here. (9) BLUE ZOMBIE has been showing good late speed in his qualifiers and will be passing horses late.

Race 6

(8) P L JERICO went a big mile last week when second to a big winner. He looks solid here. (5) MUSCLE AVE comes off a sharp first-over win and is the obvious threat. (3) DYNAMIC EDGE is improving and could take this with the right trip. (9) P C FOREIGN AFFAIR can pass many of these late if he stays flat, which is tough to predict with him.

Race 7

(8) MEERSBURG closed relentlessly last time late to reach up right on the wire. He will likely be winding up from far back here but is sharp and should be a good price again. (5) AMBLE OVER HANOVER goes first off the claim for Menary and looks like a must-use. (2) VELOCITY HEADLIGHT rarely misses the board and tonight should be no different. (1) LISVINNIE faces easier and could trip-out from the inside.

Race 8

(7) DAYLINER trotted his back half under 56 seconds last week now switches to a catch driver. He looks best but will also likely get pounded at the window. (4) KRONWALL was bought in April by trainer Henriksen for himself and he got a clean qualifying line on him right away. He can threaten if he trots the whole way here. (2) ABSOLUT SEELSTER fell just short last time after taking the lead in the stretch. She is not out of this. (6) MISSION MAN looks best of the rest.

Race 9

(9) SINTRA roared home in his lone qualifier and appears improved and ready to roll in his season's debut. (10) MY OLD MASTER closed quickly twice and has a chance to upset here if he is put into the race early. (8) THREE RIVERS DELL was 2nd to a strong winner in his season's debut and can go forward off that mile. (5) MITTNAGE A TROIS can be much closer early here moving to the middle of the gate; can take a good share.

Race 10

(8) KAYS SHADOW was a sharp first-out winner last year and looks sharp and ready for her sophomore debut. (6) ROSY OUTLOOK paced her own back half in 54 1/5 in her qualifier and is the main threat. (7) QUEEN IDEAL parlayed a heady drive into an upset score last time and can share here moving up one class. (5) ITSALLABOUTTHEBASS also steps up off her maiden win in which she was out a long way and kept coming. She should take a piece. (10) SOUTHWIND SHANIA looks ready off her qualifiers but the outer post likely limits her chances to a minor award here.

[DRF HARNESS NEWSLETTER: Sign Up for the NEW FREE DRF Harness Newsletter. Fresh content and insights delivered each Friday.]