04/06/2016 11:21AM

Mohawk: Thursday 4/7 Analysis

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By Garnet Barnsdale

Race 1 - $30,000 Guaranteed Pick Five Pool

Race 4 - $50,000 Guaranteed Pick Four Pool

 

20-CENT PICK 5: 3,4/1,6,9,10/3,6/5,6,10/4,8 = $19.20

EARLY PICK 4: 5,6,10/4,8/1,2,6/1,6,7 = $54

LATE PICK 4: 1,6,7/6,9/1,2,5,6/2,3,7 = $72

FINAL WOODBINE MEET STATS: 334 - 1058 / $1749.10  BEST BETS: 54 - 99 / $196.20

SPOT PLAYS: 22 - 98 / $225.20

Best Bet: WINDSONG MAGIC (8th)

Spot Play: CHEEKIE (4th)

Race 1

(3) LEVY TAYLORE was raced aggressively last week and hung around to finish 2nd to a strong winner. He retains Henry, who will likely be sending him again here. (4) HIGH RESOLUTION moves up after beating claimers, but has improved rapidly the past couple of starts and this field isn't that tough. (6) TEA WITH MS MCGILL is capable of better and should go off at a higher price here.

Race 2

(6) RUSTY HEFNER has raced well twice in a row and Filion stays. He should be up close throughout here. (10) MARCH continues to show good speed but can't finish off a mile for a win. One of these times she will meet a field she can beat. (9) JAGERSRO is getting closer and this field isn't that tough. He should make the ticket.

Race 3

(3) SOUTHWIND ALICE faces much easier here and could take these right down the road. (6) TOWNLINE MOMMA finished much better last week and will likely be asked to leave harder for position here. (5) NOTROUBLE DECHAFRA set the pace but couldn't hold on late. He is likely better off a covered trip, which could be in the cards here.

Race 4

(5) CHEEKIE took her life's mark at Mohawk last year and should be tough dropping into a conditioned claimer here. (6) CASIMIR LUCKY LADY was racing well in similar classes at Flamboro and likely gets sent hard early here; using. (10) PRINCESS KATIE drops to face much easier and has to be considered, even from post 10.

Race 5

(8) THE BIG MUSCLE has raced well in both starts this year and should be right there again. (4) BALLYKEEEL BOMBER was a sharp winner two back then had some issues last time. If he can race to that March 24 start, he will be tough here. (1) WANAKA always looks good on paper but has developed some bad hanging tendencies in deep stretch. I'll play to beat her at a short price here.

Race 6

(6) LIKEAVIRGIN was a sharp winner in the slop two back and with rain in the forecast, we could see more of the same here. (2) LUMIERE has been sharp in both starts for Laroque since the claim; using. (1) THEBESTOFME could threaten late off a following trip here if he gets room in time. Toss him in at a price.

Race 7

(7) LUCKY COCKTAIL goes first off the claim for Pereira here and is sure to get an aggressive steer. (1) CLASSIC COMEDY tired late last week and could look for a covered trip as a result. She could rebound with the right trip. (6) CAUGHT ME SPEEDING is another that should be close early. The pocket-sitter could easily end up winning this.

Race 8

(9) WINDSONG MAGIC moves into Bax's barn and gets MacDonell to drive. Those are significant changes; top call. (6) APRIL BREEZE ON BY also gets a major driver change and is the one to fear. (8) ASTERIX moves up off a sharp win and should get a piece of this.

Race 9

(2) TREASURED MOMENTS has knocked about a second off her final quarters in four straight starts. You have to think Drury will put her into the race earlier here. (6) WHISPER WELL was 2nd to a strong winner last week. She looks like a must-use in the late Pick 4. (5) ROCKNROLL VISION had a nightmarish trip last time. She should go better here starting from the middle of the gate.

Race 10

(7) MYSTIC DEUCE was a sharp 2nd to a blowout winner in his first start for Fellows. He is one of several that can take the finale. (3) BEIBER HANOVER faces much easier and will likely try to take these all the way.  (2) GOODMORNINGMISTER was too far back last time but was closing well late. He can take this if close enough turning home. (4) H P BLACK SHADOW usually shares but needs a perfect trip to win it seems. (6) LITTLE TURK will be passing many of these late for a share.

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