04/28/2015 3:11PM

Mohawk: Thursday 4/30 Analysis


Race 4 - $50,000 Guaranteed Pick Four Pool


2,7,8/8/3,6,7/1,3,8 = $27


LATE $1 PICK 4 TICKET: 1,3,8/4,6,7/1,2,5/7 = $27

MEET STATS: 39 - 126 / $194.00  BEST BETS: 7 - 11 / $22.60

SPOT PLAYS: 1 - 10 / $10.60

Best Bet: LOVELY ERIN (10th)

Spot Play: A LOT OF SENSE (4th)

Race 1

(7) MUSCLE MACK performed well first time over the big track chasing an impressive winner throughout. There are none in here that look that fast; down the road he goes. (9) CALIFORNIA RACHEL wasn't disgraced when facing a classy filly in her qualifier and her dam has produced 6 winners already; contender at first asking. (2) TSWALU edged the choice last time off a covered up following trip in an improved effort and should share here, too.

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Race 2

(4) WILDCAT CHARLIE improved his speed dramatically in his second qualifier and is out of a dam that has produced several speedy winners; call at first asking. (3) ALIFE TIME EDITION was sent for an educational spin from the 9-hole in his debut. He could and should show a lot more here. (6) MAC RAIDER showed some hints of ability last year in an abbreviated campaign. He could come out swinging here.

Race 3

(7) MACHO MASS is from a dam that has thrown 3 winners from 3 starters to race so far and Henriksen coaxed enough speed out of this one in the qualifier for him to be ready to make an impact; top call. (5) NOBLE LEGEND goes for Team Christoforou and this breeding has worked previously to produce a 15-time winner; contender. (1) GAME ON HANOVER seems to be getting better with experience and should make an impact here.

Race 4

(8) A LOT OF SENSE was unlucky last out, not being able to find a spot on the rail early and suffered a brutal parked out trip; she can rebound here at a price. (2) BLUE BELL BEAUTY moves to the big track for potent trainer Nixon to make her 2nd start off the claim and is in good form and a threat here. (8) DEBBIES MACH continues to show speed and tire late. She might benefit greatly from a pocket trip.

Race 5

(8) HAPE enters the Celias Counsel Final undefeated in the preliminary legs and is the one to knock off here. (7) LADYONE improved greatly as expected last week and may look to revert to closing tactics and sweep by late. (6) BRINKERS DREAM put up some big fractions and kept going in the first leg then was a vet scratch sick last week. She can be right there if recovered fully; beware.

Race 6

(6) FRIDAYNIGHTFLIGHT was paced into the ground by one that was hung the mile last week but he held on well, considering. He can take this group with a slightly better trip. (3) OLDFRIENDSKENTUCKY debuts for Moreau which always gets our attention; using. (7) DREYDL HANOVER barely got by the choice off a good trip. He could be overbet here.

Race 7

(8) DEWEYKEEPMNWHY went a big first-up trip off the layoff last out and takes this group if he can replicate that mile. (1) THERESADEMONINME raced tough on the lead for most of the mile after leaving from the 10-hole. The move inside helps his chances here. (3) O U SEXY GUY closed a big gap racing off a 3 1/2 week break. He should be respected here.

Race 8

(4) WINDSUN CHANEL failed to chase down a rival that stole some easy fractions last time when she was heavily-backed. She can make amends here aided by her typical good late kick. (7) OUR HOT MAJORETTE drops to face much easier here in her 2nd start of the year; respect. (6) NATIONALIZE really turned things around first time out for Adams and is another to use in the late pick 4.

Race 9

(1) LIVING HISTORY makes her 3YO debut off two solid qualifiers for trainer 'O Sullivan who sends them out ready; top call. (5) TAILWIND HANOVER made a sharp late move only to be nailed on the money; the obvious danger. (2) BLACK QUEEN continues to contend but fall just short; one of these times.

Race 10

(7) LOVELY ERIN has impressed in all three starts to stay unbeaten. She's tough to make a case against; we won't. (3) REGIL HURRICANE hasn't missed the board yet but would need to be closer than usual to have any chance of chasing down the choice. (10) BIN N HEAVEN showed some ability last year and could blow up the exotics in her 2015 debut. (2) WAR FILLY moves to a much better post and is a contender here. (9) GRACIES PARADE is a good one for the bottom of vertical wagers with her late kick.

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