04/22/2015 9:57AM

Mohawk: Thursday 4/23 Analysis


Race 4 - $50,000 Guaranteed Pick Four Pool


8/4,6,7,8,9,10/7/2,3,6,7 = $24

LATE $1 PICK 4 TICKET: 2,3,6,7/3,6,10/3,6,9/7 = $36

MEET STATS: 25 - 84 / $105.50  BEST BETS: 6 - 8 / $19.60 

SPOT PLAYS: 0 - 6 / $0.00

Best Bet: TEAM CAPTAIN (4th)

Spot Play: LEXUS HELIOS (6th)

Race 1

(2) HAPE was patiently handled by Moiseyev last week and was a measured winner that likely won easier than it appears on paper; call to repeat. (1) BRINKERS DREAM put up some big fractions then showed some grit in the stretch when headed and prevailed. Well-bred filly is a threat, obviously. (8) JLS TOO HOT TAJ roared home and closed a big gap in by far her best race to date. She's another threat in a competitive opener.

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Race 2

(5) LADYONE was called to win last week but wasn't asked for any trot until the last 1/4. She has upset potential here. (6) FLEXCEPTIONAL tried to leave, but was forced to take a seat and raced evenly the rest of the way. Look for JJ to send here. (3) TYMAL SIGNATURE can't seem to get off the schneid. Minor award likely again.

Race 3

(6) SHESAGAMEMAJOR went a much-improved uncovered effort last week, the first time she was asked for anything. She can graduate here. (4) WARAWEE QUICK was just that on the end of her lone 2015 qualifier, closing in 26 1/5 to just miss; the main danger. (8) BLACK QUEEN disappointed off soft fractions and is quickly becoming a money burner.

Race 4

(8) TEAM CAPTAIN finally let it all hang out in the Youthful Final and unfortunately for him got stung to the tune of 27 1/5 in the third quarter, which took its toll. He should be able to beat this group with minimal effort. (5) SIERRA MADRE drew the 10-hole in his debut and took an educational spin of the oval. He finished well enough to suggest he could show big improvement here with post relief on his side. (2) LIBRADO HANOVER closed rapidly in his lone qualifier and can make an impact here.

Race 5

(4) F TWENTY TWO  makes his first start of the year and showed enough in his second qualifier over Flamboro to suggest he is in with a shot here at a price; top call. (9) GREYSTONE MOE dropped, popped and was claimed. The speed he showed that night would serve him well here if he can replicate it. (7) CROWN ISLE made a costly break at the 3/4 in his first start for McMaster. McNair will send him for as long as he can last.

Race 6

(7) LEXUS HELIOS showed good speed in his first start back and hung on to beat half the field. He is a big threat here on or near the lead; top billing. (10) MIDFIELD MAGIC qualified well preparing for this return and could get a good piece if Mayotte sends him early. (2) MASSIVE MUSCLES has been getting checks in the Preferred 3s at Flamboro and should be used on pick 4 tickets.

Race 7

(7) TAILWIND HANOVER closed like a rocket in last week's qualifier and looks ready to do some damage vs. a weak group. (2) NATIONALIZE took big money in her debut but miscued. She had a speed-tightening qualifier and now gets Jamieson; using. (3) MYSTERY WRITER showed much better speed in her qualifier than ever before; beware.

Race 8

(6) MAGICAL GEM faced better last year but didn't have much to show for it. She starts the year facing maidens off a nice qualifier where she flew home. These should be her people. (3) LADY PING keeps getting closer to that elusive maiden win and is obviously one of the better ones in here; using. (10) LOVIN KARMA had a useful debut over a wet track and could crack the tri at a good price here.

Race 9

(9) ALIFE TIME EDITION looks cranked up by Robinson to win right off the bat here. Note the eight tick improvement in final 1/4 speed from one qualifier to the next. (6) TWIN B TK showed some promise last season in a limited campaign and also looks sufficiently cranked up by 'O Sullivan here. (3) FOCUS POWER shows a 26 1/5 kicker in her qualifier. It seems conditioner Cass has figured something out here.

Race 10

(7) BEYONCES ROCKIN went a monster trip to just miss to an undefeated filly. Tough to go against her here. (4) OUTLIER showed predictable improvement to win easily second time out. No reason she can't contend here, too. (3) REGIL HURRICANE has been close to flawless so far but will need to find more speed. (10) WAR FILLY likely drops right to the back early, but is sharp enough to vault past most of these late. (6) BET ON HILL is a good one for the bottom rungs of vertical wagers.

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