04/20/2016 10:07AM

Mohawk: Thursday 4/21 Analysis


Race 1 - $30,000 Guaranteed Pick Five Pool

Race 4 - $50,000 Guaranteed Pick Four Pool


PICK 5: 2,3/2,5,7/2,3,5,6/6/1,8 = $9.60

EARLY PICK 4: 6/1,8/1,3,8/2,3,6,9 = $24

LATE PICK 4: 2,3,6,9/2,8,9,10/4/1,5,6 = $48

MEET STATS: 29 - 80 / $150.40  BEST BETS: 6 - 8 / $32.90

SPOT PLAYS: 0 - 8 / $0.00

Best Bet: GERRIES SPORT (4th)

Spot Play: DANISH DARBY (7th)

Race 1

(3) HILLS ANGEL benefitted from some pedestrian fractions in her season's debut but is capable of trotting faster if needed; call to repeat. (2) DOTTIE was flying late at the choice last time and could turn the tables here with a better trip. (1) LADY IRON was also closing late in a good debut and is another that could improve.

Race 2

(5) AMITYVILLE LINDY was visibly motoring late in his first start for new connections. He meets a field he can beat here if he minds his manners. (7) DYNAMIC EDGE was a good Grassroots performer last year and looks well-prepped for his sophomore debut; using. (2) STRIKNGLYIMPRESIVE has raced well in every start for driver Davis Jr. He can be right there vs. this group with Henry.

Race 3

(6) DANISH N COFFEE raced against the best local fillies last year and returned with a solid debut last week. She is one of several contenders here. (3) SHOCKING BEAUTY's 27 1/5 kicker in her qualifier signals readiness; using. (5) THIS DAY FORWARD also finished quickly in her qualifier and the trainer sends them ready; using.

Race 4

(6) GERRIES SPORT took his life's mark here last fall and now debuts for Moreau off a sharp qualifier. He should be tough on the front end here. (4) SHOREVIEW was an easy maiden-breaker last week and has some upside, but these are tougher. (8) BROOKDALE SONNY took a ton of action at the windows and came through with an impressive maiden score last week. Don't dismiss him too easily.

Race 5

(1) WINDSONG MAGIC has been flawless for trainer Bax but now faces a tougher foe in (8) WANAKA. The former may be up to it and get the better trip; slight edge to her. Wanaka is the obvious favorite off her past two impressive wins and must be used in multi-race bets. (7) TRUE MUSCLE raced well last week but is sure to encounter much faster splits here; for a minor award only.

Race 6

(8) SOUTHWIND MONTY appears to be faster than he was at age 2 and looks as good as any in a race where it appears anything goes. (1) SPEEDLING raced better off a helmet last week and should contend in this weak field. (3) MAXI POWERS showed good speed in his two qualifiers and lands in a spot where he can use it. Toss him in your Pick 4 bets.

Race 7

(2) DANISH DARBY has some races vs. OSS Gold company last year that would be good enough to beat these if he can replicate one of them and stay flat; top call. (3) MARCH was coming around before the vet scratch. If he is ready to go again, he could be right there vs. these. (9) LEGIONSOFANGELS faces easier here and could crack the exotics at a good price.

Race 8

(8) QUEEN IDEAL paced her back half under 55 seconds in her debut and could improve sharply if put into the race earlier here. (9) STONEBRIDGE MEDUSA is getting closer and likely won't be a maiden much longer. (10) GIVEMEYOURHEART showed in her qualifier that she is a different filly this year and isn't out of this - even from out there.

Race 9

(4) APRIL BREEZE ON BY squandered a big lead late last time but the filly that beat her came right back to double up in a stakes series. She can make amends here. (1) UNITED BI re-qualified well and certainly has the speed to contend if he stays flat, but that's the big question with him. (9) TALBOTCREEK JETTA beat easier last time and will find this group tougher, but can grab a minor award.

Race 10

(1) GOODMORNINGMISTER was closing well vs. a long-gone winner last week and looks like one of the better chances in here. (6) REGAL FAME vainly chased that same winner and could stick around longer here with that rival gone. (5) CANADIAN WRITER debuts for Moreau and should wake up with a better effort. (3) H P BLACK SHADOW likely takes a smaller slice as is his custom. (7) SKY GUY debuts for Fellows and could better this placing.


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