10/04/2016 4:10PM

Mohawk: Thursday 10/6 Analysis

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Race 1 - $30,000 Guaranteed Pick Five Pool

Race 4 - $50,000 Guaranteed Pick Four Pool

 

PICK 5: 3,7/1,3,5/1,6/1,5/1,7 = $9.60

EARLY PICK 4: 1,5/1,7/1,5,8/1,2,3,5 = $48

LATE PICK 4: 1,2,3,5/5/2,5,7/4,5,6,9 = $48

MEET STATS: 398 - 1176 / $2065.20  BEST BETS: 66 - 108 / $205.50

SPOT PLAYS: 23 - 108 / $157.90

Best Bet: BATOUTAHILL (8th)

Spot Play: MATTJESTIC TEMPO (4th)

Race 1

(7) LYRIC OF LIFE closed sharply over a very sloppy track last week now she attracts the leading driver. Expect a more aggressive steer here. (3) ON THE MINUTE MARK improved immediately in the new barn and looks like the main threat to the choice, who only beat him by 3/4 of a length last time. (5) ZAHARA SEELSTER is capable of better and has raced well for McNair in the past; consider for exotics. (8) LAURA HILL torched the chalk player's money last week, but she too is capable of better and could hit the ticket at a much better price this time.

Race 2

(1) WILL TAKE CHARGE had a good tightener for this Gold event vs. some older foes. I'll give him top call here. (5) ZAGSTER was really motoring late in the mile last time when coming off a month break. He can win this with a good trip. (3) MUSCLE HUSTLE has a great record but the month off could leave him a bit rusty here. I will play to beat him off the exacta but toss him in the Pick 5. (6) P L JERICO went a big first-up trip to win the Grassroots final. Don't take him too lightly here in his current sharp form.

Race 3

(1) BEE IN CHARGE raced tough against the best in North America most recently. He will be tough to beat here. (6) DIA MONDE drops out of the same races as the choice and could upset him with a good trip. (3) SASS rarely misses the board. He should get a beneficial following trip here. (2) TONY SOPRANO has had a lot of tough trips this year. The short field should help him here.

Race 4

(5) MATTJESTIC TEMPO has caught fire in this claiming class after having struggled most of the year vs. better; call to repeat. (1) LEAVING A LEGACY couldn't hold off the choice despite getting a good trip up front. Perhaps the wet track was a factor. (3) TOTAL KNOCKOUT is a threat if she can stay covered up until late as she did two starts back. (2) CHARMING HILL should get a better trip leaving from the inside and she can take a smaller share.

Race 5

(1) CORE FUSION never entered contention last week but he did show some late interest. The major post relief could be a big help in getting him his maiden score here. (7) STORMONT DUNDAS always looks good on paper and never gets there. Beware taking a short win price on him. (10) E T PHONE HOME closed impressively in his debut. He has some upside and should be a good price here due to his post. (9) WEVE HAD ENOUGH should be part of the early pace and stick around for a slice.

Race 6

(8) CONNIE MACH made a big move on a wet track but tired late from those efforts. She looks best here based on her mile two starts back. (5) CASIMIR OVERTHETOP gets Waples and a better post here; using at a price. (1) SANDY WIN has shown she is fast enough to win this and has a race over the track; consider. (4) ACEFOURTYFOUR ALEX is in great form and should be able to take a minor share, if not more.

Race 7

(5) JUST TOO SPOILED got an aggressive steer last time and was a predictable winner. She can double up with a similar steer. (1) HOT SPOT HANOVER moves inside off an upset win and she should be a major player here. (3) LUCKY PLAYER steps up off a sharp win and is another to consider for multi-race bets. (2) MY CREDITS GOOD is likely to show a lot more early speed this time and is yet another that could pop in a race that demands deep Pick 4 coverage.

Race 8

(5) BATOUTAHILL easily repelled a rival that had impressively won two straight leading to last week's race. This assignment looks no tougher; top call. (3) WHAMBAMTHANKUMAAM was a good third vs. non-winners of three and looks like the main danger here. (2) STONEBRIDGE PEACE takes a lot of slices. That pattern should hold here. (1) WINDSONGMUSCLELADY is capable vs. these if she can stay flat; consider for exotics.

Race 9

(5) STRONGRTHANDASTORM was listed early with a potential huge driver change here. Expect an aggressive steer if that’s the case. (7) BEACHES BE CRAZY can improve off her debut and is another that could be more forwardly-placed early. (2) TEARFUL OF HAPPY was a decent second in good time last time out but that was close to a month ago; mixed signals. (3) CLEAR IDEA takes a share every week and she should get a good trip near the front here.

Race 10

(9) ARCHANGEL THREE put up some serious splits last time and almost held on. A bit easier trip gets it done here. (4) SIR GALAHAD is in great form and gets a good post. He's the main threat. (6) MAYFIELD DUKE should show more here and he might get sent early; using. (5) SOLO STORY will be passing horses late for a share. (2) LIMA C ROCK races well from inner posts. He could better this placing.

[DRF HARNESS LIVE: Real-time insights from the DRF Harness team this Saturday at 7:00 p.m.]