10/25/2016 2:06PM

Mohawk: Thursday 10/27 Analysis


Race 1 - $30,000 Guaranteed Pick Five Pool

Race 4 - $50,000 Guaranteed Pick Four Pool


PICK 5: 4/1,2,3,5/2,4/1,3,4,6,9,10/1,3,8 = $28.80

EARLY PICK 4: 1,3,4,6,9,10/1,3,8/1,2/8 = $36

LATE PICK 4: 7,8,9/4,8/8/4,5,9,10 = $24

MEET STATS: 446 - 1322 / $2325.70  BEST BETS: 70 - 121 / $218.40

SPOT PLAYS: 29 - 121 / $182.30

Best Bet: DANCER HALL (10th)

Spot Play: RESITA (3rd)

Race 1

(4) POWERFUL MISSION has been a new filly over this track with trotting hopples on; she'll be very tough to beat here if she stays flat. (1) LADY EAGLE is worth a look for exacta bets here with the move to an inside post. (9) GAELIC LASS gave the choice something to think about to the 1/8th pole last time, then she tired. She can make the ticket here despite her post. (6) ANGORA SEELSTER should be passing some fillies late here for a smaller share.

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Race 2

(5) THOR is the first foal to race from an impeccably-bred Bettor's Delight mare. There is likely more to this colt than meets the eye from his lone qualifier; top call. (2) ARDEEN raced okay vs. maidens in his debut then met some good ones in the non-winners of two class last time and he was well-beaten. He has a chance to wake up vs. maidens here. (1) LYONS WILLIAM should get put into the race here leaving from the inside; using. (3) REDHOT ROMEO can build off his decent debut at Flamboro. He is another to consider for Pick 5 tickets.

Race 3

(4) RESITA was too far back at the 3/4 last week, but he was finding his best stride late in the mile. Moving inside five posts improves his chances here; call to upset. (2) SCENE A MAGICIAN - unbeaten in the preliminary legs - is a deserving favorite and a must-use in the Pick 5. (8) RADICAL ROAD got pounded at the windows yet showed little last week. He may get more aggressive here with that clean line out of the way; consider for exotic wagers. (7) VESUVIO BI was hung out to dry last time and he paid the price for it. He can share here with an expected better trip.

Race 4

(4) BEACHES BE CRAZY showed some late interest last time after breaking early and losing all hope. I'll give her a slight nod in a completely wide-open race. (6) SUNSET FILLY should be right there with these if she can stay pacing this time. (9) THE CAMEL EXPRESS displayed good late kick in her October 20th qualifier. She is worth a look at what should be a big price. (3) SKITTLE HANOVER keeps getting closer to that initial win; using.

Race 5

(8) SHEER TALENT looked super winning the opening leg blasting off cover down the lane. She could revert to that style here and notch a minor upset. (3) MANHATTAN PLAY is the one to beat coming off a new life mark; using. (1) OUT OF SIGHT can work out a great trip here; don't discount. (10) DAENERYS HANOVER is another to consider for multi-race bets with her improving form.

Race 6

(2) MAJOR MUSCLE faces much easier here and she should improve dramatically. (1) GROUPIE DOLL is worthy of consideration adding Lasix and retaining Filion. (4) HURRICANE HAZEL races best when employing a closing style which is the approach she is likely to take here. (7) PENNIES FROM ABOVE is likely to fill one of the bottom exotics rungs here.

Race 7

(8) MR MATCH ON THE BEACH paced a 27 3/5 third 1/4 in his debut and continued on to finish 3rd. Expect a more aggressive approach from Filion here. (5) CENTURY CHURCHILL was beaten by a couple of decent ones in his past two starts. He could end his lengthy losing streak here. (1) D M REACHER could trip out and pounce late off a covered trip here; using. (7) TOY COP raced better in his past couple of starts and he has upset possibilities vs. this group.

Race 8

(8) LITTLE STUIE's race two back is good enough to beat these, but, with his obvious gait issues, it makes sense to also use others on Pick 4 tickets. (9) MAGIC MISSIONS was a good second in this class two back and the switch to Henry could result in a more aggressive steer here. (7) AGENT DINOZZO has some talent but is another that struggles to stay flat frequently. (6) GRAMSTER could wake up and make the ticket vs. this weak group.

Race 9

(4) MC MACH throttled many of these last week and is a deserving heavy favorite here. (8) DREAMFAIR B J can be closer this time if he is put into the race earlier - which is likely. (1) BILLS FELLA could split the top two for the exacta off a good trip. (7) BRAVE WORLD is a good one to toss on the bottom of the Super here.

Race 10

(8) DANCER HALL continues to impress and he will be tough to beat here off any reasonable trip. (5) MONOPOLY gets a much better post position scenario this time after finishing third to the choice last week; consider. (2) POLLAR HALL raced well when 2nd behind a heavy chalk last week. Respect his improving speed. (10) WICHITA JAZZ could be winging on the lead early, but he is unlikely to last for more than a small share.

Race 11

(9) NOTETOSELF HANOVER races well in this class and he should get another good trip near the front here; slight nod. (10) CAROLINA HURRICANE takes a massive class drop here, but his form fluctuates wildly and he has failed as a huge chalk before on the class drop. Be careful here. (5) JUST A THOUGHT is worth a look racing with a tag for the first time. (4) MY OLD MASTER looked good at the head of the lane last week but tired late in the wet going. That was a much improved effort and he can contend here, too. (1) EMPEROR will be passing horses late again for a slice.

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