09/30/2014 3:54PM

Mohawk: Thursday 10/2 Analysis

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Race 4 - $50,000 Guaranteed Pick Four Pool

Best Bet: SOUTHWIND CHAMPANE (3rd)

Spot Play: ROYAL CANVAS (9th)

 

Race 1

(6) ZORGWIJK ORCHID filly needed her last start and should have more to offer second start back.  (2) P L HOUDINI three-year-old gelding comes off an awesome qualifier and is probably the horse to beat if he minds his manners.  (10) TAILS nice looking 2-year-old faces older from the worst post but could be the sleeper in the race with some racing luck.

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Race 2

(8) VITAL SIGN is a proven winner and should be much closer turning for home in the short field.  (2) MINESTRE HANOVER gets sent out for a streaky trainer but his best effort is good enough; threat.   (6) J B BOLT raced gamely last out stepping up against better and should offer a good price against similar.

Race 3

(7) SOUTHWIND CHAMPANE has been facing some really tough customers and will win with a trouble free trip.  (5) MISCHIEF SMILE appears to be coming along nicely and should be ready for an improved effort.  (2) LA BELLA ROSA has some question marks coming off a scratch but has flashed ability.

Race 4

(10) SEAWIND GINGER filly comes off a lifetime mark using two moves.  The 3-year-old is versatile and is a threat at a price if she can find a way into the race.  (3) DELIRIUM came up empty off the scratch but owns the fastest win in the field on the year by far.  (7) SHHH IT'S A SECRET has burned a lot of cash recently but is a player in the race; command a price.

Race 5

(10) SEB well bred gelding owns a big burst of speed but needs to mind his manners from a tough spot.   (9) APRIL BREEZE ON BY sophomore filly trotter makes her second lifetime start coming off a solid qualifier.  (1) NOBLE POWER two-year-old colt has tons of upside in a wide-open race.

Race 6

(1) EMERALD LEXUS takes a significant drop back down to a level the pacer recently dominated.   (9) DOCS HOSS gelding is very consistent always showing good closing ability,  however the 6-year-old will be at the mercy of the pace and outer flow.  (8) DIANES SHARK has been very competitive at this level.

Race 7

(10) LIGHT OF AVELINE will offer a big price and could get some pace to close into.  (9) MAJOR HANGOVER filly is 0 for her career but has been paced faster than most in the field.  (1) FANNISH is four for four lifetime but faces much tougher competition; threat.

Race 8

In a very tough race to handicap (8) P L GYRO finds a suspect bunch to do some damage.   (4) HISTORIAN has just been racing evenly but has beaten better on the year.  (9) BAHAMA BAY gets sent out for a trainer that can really turn one around at any time.

Race 9

(6) ROYAL CANVAS just missed at a huge price last out off a layoff and should have more to offer second start back.  (5) MACH STOCKN BARREL takes a significant drop in class and should hit the ticket with a good effort.  (2) USEFUL HANOVER three-year-old pacer rarely wins but looks to be in line for a good trip up close.

Race 10

(9) BROOKDALE BUSTER nice-looking pacer just missed against the same bunch last out and will offer a good price.  (3) FOUR STACES has shown good improvement in his last few starts but could use a smooth trip from a suspect pilot.  (2) WATERSIDE LIGHT has flashed a big burst of speed but has just been even in his last two.

Race 11

(2) PORSCHE SEELSTER has yet to win on the year but has been facing much tougher; big chance.  (4) OK GODIVA never got into the mile last out but was racing gamely prior; threat.   (3) SAM filly has ability but would need more to get past the top choice.

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