10/09/2013 10:07AM

Mohawk: Thursday 10/10 Analysis

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Race 4 - $75,000 Guaranteed Pick Four Pool

Best Bet: GREYSTONE MOE (6th)

Spot Play: SEAWIND PASCALE (3rd)

Race 1

(5) PLEASE OKAY draws well and is fresh off a win. She comes out of the Bax barn and is capable of dropping more seconds. (9) CASH FOR GOLD won his career debut and qualifier prior to that. He's a lightly raced individual and looks like he has the speed to jump up in this class. (10) MAGIC MADNESS has hard-used last week to earn the front and settled for third. She'll have to overcome post 10, but has the gate speed and should provide a price.

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Race 2

(4) VILLAGE JESSICA finished second last start in this class and was timed in 1:53 3/5. That effort should be quick enough to win. (3) BRESCIA SEELSTER draws inside and finished second in each of her last two starts. She's been knocking on the door and a good option at this level. (6) SHADY B SKIPALONG has no gate speed, but a short field only increases her chances. She shouldn't get away too far back and has a good final quarter kick

Race 3

(8) SEAWIND PASCALE has finished second in five of seven starts this season and has been timed in 1:56 2/5 in his last two starts. (6) ALEXANDER LUKAS has been knocking on the door in his last three starts since the layoff. He's very versatile and continues to improve. (5) STRIKER ACE was the favorite two starts ago in this class and failed to win. He has the speed, but tends to be very inconsistent.

Race 4

(1) CHASIN JIFFY draws inside and finished second for new trainer Montini last start. He remains at the same level and draws much better. (8) FRESH HERB has been racing very consistently in this class all year. He's got a terrific record this season and gets McNair in the bike. (7) BARE NECESSITY comes out of Moreau's barn and is a good option in this class. He was the favorite last week and faded in deep stretch, but was pressured throughout the mile.

Race 5

(2) OZZY OZZY draws inside and scored an open length victory in his latest. He gets Jamieson back in the bike, moves up in class and was timed in 1:54 4/5 just two starts ago. (3) HOME BREW has been very lightly raced this season and qualified well both times since the layoff. He has gate speed and is capable of dropping more seconds. (4) MIYAGI HANOVER has a solid record this season and comes out of the Henriksen barn. He's been racing very consistently and is capable of making the transition onto this circuit.

Race 6

(6) GREYSTONE MOE came off cover last week and exploded in deep stretch to score the win in comfortable fashion. He moves up in class, but will still likely be your favorite. (2) ONE STOP DEAL draws inside and finished second in this class last start. He has gate speed and gets Filion back in the bike. (10) RG RIPTIDE has the fastest career mark in this field, but draws outside. He gets MacDonald in the bike and should provide a price.

Race 7

(6) MAGICAL POCKETS has a solid record this season and made a miscue last week. She draws the same post and has proven to be a top threat in this class. (10) SCHOOLHOUSE ROCK comes out of Moreau's barn, moves up in class and will have to overcome post 10. He was timed in 1:55 last start and that makes him very competitive. (5) LETS LEAVEM has been knocking on the door in his last two starts. He draws well once again and should provide a high price again.

Race 8

(3) FINETUNE HANOVER hasn't missed the board in three career starts and draws well in here. He won very easily at Sarnia, moves onto this circuit and gets McNair in the bike. (2) GRACEFUL BEAUTY draws inside and has been knocking on the door in this class. She is versatile and shows the speed. (5) SGT MOLLY PITCHER has a good record this season and moves onto this circuit. She is versatile and gets Jamieson in the bike.

Race 9

(1) MASSMANIAN DEVIL draws the rail and is overdue for her first career win. She finished second in this class last week and once again is another good option. (10) SUMMER MISCHIEF hasn't missed the board in eight career starts despite no wins. She moves onto this circuit from Rideau Carleton, draws outside and may provide a price. (6) P L GNAW gets the elder Zeron in the bike and moves onto this circuit. He finally draws much better, shows the speed and likely will offer a high price.

Race 10

(6) NOBLE JILLY is due for her first career win and it may come in here. She was the favorite last start and failed to win, but looks like the best in here. (3) POLK DOT HANOVER was taken to the back last start and wasn't a factor. She draws better in here and likely will be forwardly placed. (1) ARTFUL IMPULSE draws inside and comes out of the McIntosh barn. She moves onto this circuit and has a good record this season on the B tracks.

Race 11

(6) DOCS HOSS has been racing very well and consistently in recent starts. He adds Lasix for the first time and likely will offer a low price again. (5) HOBOKEN HANOVER enters the Shepherd barn and that will decrease his price. He tends to be inconsistent, but the trainer change is the angle I'm going with. (4) FINAL CURTAIN has raced in this class in the past and has been very successful. He hasn't been at his best in recent starts but I'm looking for a turnaround effort.

 

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