09/01/2016 3:13PM

Mohawk: Saturday 9/3 Analysis


Race 1 - $30,000 Guaranteed Pick Five Pool

Race 4 - $50,000 Guaranteed Pick Four Pool


20-CENT PICK 5: 2,3,4,5/3/2/4,6/1,2,3,4,9 = $8

EARLY PICK 4: 4/1,2,3,4,9/1,2,8/4,6 = $30

LATE PICK 4: 1,2,3,6/5,6,8,9/1,4,8/8 = $48

MEET STATS: 318 - 938 / $1654.70   BEST BETS: 52 - 87 / $166.60

SPOT PLAYS: 20 - 87 / $119.10

Best Bet: BETTING LINE (3rd)

Spot Play: MACS JACKPOT (5th)

Race 1

(4) DUC DORLEANS had little chance racing first-up in a wicked 55 2/5 middle half last week. Moving to an inner post gives him a good opportunity to seize control of this race on the backside, or earlier, and Gingras sticks. (3) AMERICAN VIRGIN took a new life's mark last time he raced in a class similar to this; using. (5) JINS SHARK is sharp and he finished ahead of the choice last time. This is a good race to spread for Pick 5 wagers. (2) WAZZUP WAZZUP will likely be kept covered up until the lane by Waples but he should be close enough to spring an upset if everything falls his way in the stretch.

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Race 2

(3) SINTRA tuned up nicely for this in a quick mile vs. some salty elders last week. Back in with his own kind and avoiding Betting Line tonight, he looks like a Pick 5 single. (2) NOCTURNAL BLUECHIP will likely be looking for the pocket again here and he could be dangerous from there. (6) VORACITY likes this track and could crack the exotics despite leaving from the outermost post. (5) CRUISE PATROL is racing much better than he was two months ago; consider for exotics.

Race 3

(2) BETTING LINE is quite simply the best 3YO pacer on the continent. This sires stakes jaunt should be no more than paid exercise for him. (1) MAGNUM J raced well to be third to the choice at Northfield despite drawing the worst post. He likely completes a puny exacta here. (5) PIRANHA has been racing great but the top two will likely be too much for him. (3) GERRIES SPORT can leave out in the top 4 and hang around for a minor share.

Race 4

(4) IDYLLIC BEACH was a most impressive winner of her elimination for this stake final. She will be tough to beat here with the sharp late speed she has been producing. (6) AGENT Q provided cover for the choice last time and hung on well. She is the main danger. (2) THAT'S THE TICKET came out of nowhere to win her elimination, but she would need to find at least another second here to challenge the top two. (1) CANDLELIGHT DINNER stopped as a massive favorite last week. Even if her issues are fixed, she still has not come close to pacing as fast as the top two did last week in their eliminations.

Race 5

(3) MACS JACKPOT didn't get involved last week but he was racing in the toughest elimination and should find this group more to his liking; top call. (2) SOUTHWIND GENERAL caused some mayhem last week when loaded with pace and looking to create some room in the lane. He should be a top player here and get put into play sooner. (9) R J P had some late pace last week and is worth consideration. (1) BEACH HOUSE had an impossible trip last week and now moves inside. He is another that can win this.

Race 6

(2) DARLINONTHEBEACH has been sensational in her past couple of starts and she gets a good post from which to try to control this race; top call. (1) PURE COUNTRY gets Gingras here for the first time and is obviously the other main contender along with (8) L A DELIGHT, who comes off a new life's mark at The Meadows last time; post may work against her though here. (5) MAYHEM SEELSTER is one of several that you could use in the minor slots.

Race 7

(4) OCEAN COLONY displayed sharp speed both early and late in his elimination win and to me he and (8) IDEAL WHEEL stand out as the top two contenders in this renewal of the Metro Stakes. The latter raced extremely well in defeat to the choice last week and should be a big threat again. (1) BEYOND DELIGHT came out of nowhere to win one of the slower divisions, but he will need to be even faster here to threaten the top two. (9) BLOOD LINE made a big move then faltered late. He is worth a look for exotic plays here as he does have a big brush.

Race 8

(3) SUTTON was only a neck back in the final heat of the Hambletonian and subsequently raced well from an outer post in the Colonial Trot. He looks best here. (6) WAITLIFTER K also raced well in the Hambletonian then had an eventful trip in the Colonial. He is the main danger. (2) MUSCLE HUSTLE trotted a Canadian Record mile at Georgian last week. Don't take him lightly here. (1) REIGNING MONI has shown he has enough speed to contend if he minds his manners.

Race 9

(5) MOONWRITER drops back into a conditioned level where he should be a top contender and he picks up Miller; top call. (9) SHADOW PLACE is in terrific form but the outer post does him no favors here. (6) BUDDHA BLUE CHIP picks up Gingras and should get sent for position near the front off the gate; using. (8) VEGAS ROCKS has been super sharp in his past two starts. He is worth including at a price.

Race 10

(4) SHAMBALLA has somewhat caught up to the big boys recently - notice he paced his back 1/2 in 52 2/5 in the Dan Patch - and needs only an honest pace to have a legitimate shot at the biggest race for older pacers on his home turf. (1) WIGGLE IT JIGGLEIT has a few options here starting from the inside. He never seems to throw in a bad one and will be formidable, as always. (8) ALWAYS B MIKI was dominant earlier this year but seems to have shown a chink in his armour in his past couple of starts. Still, he is hard to leave off Pick 4 bets here. (3) STATE TREASURER has taken a while to hit his top stride, but he couldn't be better right now; consider.

Race 11

(8) MILLIGANS SCHOOL has danced every big dance this year with some decent success. He appears to hold a class edge on this group and should take this if provided with a reasonable trip. (3) TACO TUESDAY seems to be the type that needs to trip-out, but he has shown enough speed to be competitive here. (2) BLENHEIM raced decently in some big stakes down south and now returns to his home turf. He can share here. (5) JIMMY WILLIAM is one-for-one with Gingras. He could better this placing.

Race 12

(2) LYONS SNYDER lays over this group on paper, but he has missed close to five weeks. I will also use (1) MAJOR HILL and (5) POISONOUS - who are both in excellent form - on my Pick 4 tickets in case the choice comes up short. (3) BLAYDE HANOVER looks next best to grab a smaller share.

Race 13

(4) DIALAMARA acquitted himself well in the Maritimes and now he meets a field he should be able to handle upon returning. (6) HIDDEN POTENTIAL got a huge driver change last time and went a big trip on the rim in defeat. He can contend here despite the class rise. (8) LISVINNIE is fast but erratic; using. (3) MAJOR HOMER should work out a good following trip here and grab a share. (2) MR CARROTS will be passing most of these late and is another that should be utilized on the bottom.

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