09/24/2015 2:52PM

Mohawk: Saturday 9/26 Analysis


Race 4 - $50,000 Guaranteed Pick Four Pool


2,3,6,7/2,10/4,8/1,3,6 = $48


LATE PICK 4: 2,3,6/5/5,7,8,9/1,4,6 = $36

MEET STATS: 339 - 1076 / $1893.00  BEST BETS: 48 - 96 / $155.30

SPOT PLAYS: 14 - 92 / $154.30


Spot Play: WILLYORWONTHE (1st)

Race 1

(3) WILLYORWONTHE left for position then stayed in the entire way last week in the semi-final for this the first of many Grassroots finals being contested tonight. He is very capable from close range and will offer a square price; call to upset. (2) GEORGIES POCKETS has yet to miss the exacta and has won four of his last five including the Balanced Image final. He is a deserving favorite but there are also always several upsets in these races. (8) MUSCLES FOR LIFE was an impressive winner last week while producing excellent late speed; another contender.

[HOOSIER: Watch the big stakes races Saturday night from Hoosier Park live on DRF]

Race 2

(7) WINE PHOTO gets the call in this Racing Under Saddle event based on his close second in a similar race on August 29th and his rider's excellent record in these races this year. (4) A PENNY EARNED is one of the classier entrants and his rider has won 60% of her limited RUS starts this year. (3) HIDDEN IDENTITY was a good 2nd in a RUS race earlier this month and is another contender to consider.

Race 3

(4) JANGONE went a big trip parked the mile in the semi-final and will likely go off as 4th or 5th choice here. She's capable with a better trip. (1) MYRETIREMENTTICKET has been on fire since the owner/trainer enlisted a catch-driver. He should be prominent both early and late. (9) TRAVIATA - winner of his last four starts - is the logical choice but remember there is typically a lot of action in these Grassroots finals resulting in upsets.

Race 4

(3) ST LADS SMOKIN HOT roared home impressively last week to win from third-over despite facing an accelerating late pace. She looks like the 'now' horse in this Grassroots division; top call. (2) MAYHEM SEELSTER went an unbelievable uncovered trip to win last week and is the one to beat. (7) BUTTERMILK HANOVER is one we've been watching since her first baby race and the thinking is we haven't seen this one's best race yet. (6) SPORTS EXPERT set the table for the choice last week and could take this with a different trip.

Race 5

(2) DUH BUBBEES seems to have got his act together at the right time. He's capable of trotting faster than he did last week when winning and may offer a decent price here. (10) IRISH SCOTCH has also hit his best stride coming to this Grassroots final but must overcome post 10; tough call. (6) PARKHILL LANCELOT was closing strongly at the wire last week and could threaten for the win if kept in closer striking range here.

Race 6

This Grassroots final looks like it comes down to (8) LOVELY ERIN and (4) DUBLIN ROSE. We'll give a slight edge to the former who has a nose for the wire and shown repeatedly that she can win off tough trips. (6) OK HALLELUJAH is the most likely beneficiary if the race falls apart late and she will likely be a much better price here than she was last week.

Race 7

(6) GERRIES SPORT was lights out on the lead last week and comes into this final razor-sharp; top call. (3) BINGO INGO closed a lot of ground in the back 1/2 last week and now gets a much better post. He's in with an upset chance here. (1) KOKANEE SEELSTER was a strong winner on the lead all the way last week and is another to toss on the final leg of early pick 4 tickets.                                               

Race 8

(3) VENUS DELIGHT impressively won the faster of two eliminations for this Milton Stakes final and looks best here.  (2) YAGONNAKISSMEORNOT took the other split but may have been in the best spot coming from the back in a 57 flat 2nd 1/2. She can win this but may be overbet. (6) PRECOCIOUS BEAUTY was 2nd to the choice at long odds after signaling a return to form two back with a sharp win. She could offer value in the exotics here.

Race 9

(5) MEADOW SEELSTER simply looks fastest here and may be the most predictable winner of all the Grassroots races. (6) RENEGADE MAGIC tried the choice first up last week to no avail but returning to a 7-day cycle now should give her a better chance. (10) WORLD CLASS IZZY went a long, tough trip last week and was just nailed late. She could spice up the exotics payoffs here.

Race 10

(5) ARTHUR BLUE CHIP has raced tough in every start following a long absence and could take this with a slightly better trip then he got last week. (8) MCWICKED motored up from the back of the pack to just miss last week in a very good effort and now returns to a 7-day cycle; big shot here. (9) ELLIS PARK looked loaded on cover at the 3/4 pole and indeed was last week. He's at the very top of his game and can't be tossed even though he starts furthest out.

Race 11

(6) THINKOFAGAMEPLAN has been an unlucky loser in his last two and is due to get a better trip and result; top call in this Grassroots final. (1) SOUTHWIND INDY was just behind the choice after a taxing first-over journey and should be a big threat here. (4) MAKE SOME LUCK wired his field in a new lifetime best last week but is unlikely to be allowed to steal a 29 final 1/4 here.

Race 12

(2) CHAMPAGNE PHIL returns to the class he came close to wiring two back and will be tough to beat here starting from the inside. (6) PRINCE CLYDE wasn't far back in a rapid mile last time and could be driven more aggressively here which is when he does best. (7) HES A SENSATION has finished third in his last four starts and looks a good bet to land there again. (8) FOREVER JUST has been racing well vs. better and is in with an upset chance here. (5) PUSH BACK rarely gets a breather but if he makes the top and can steal one slow 1/4, look out!

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