09/17/2015 4:30PM

Mohawk: Saturday 9/19 Analysis

Email

Race 4 - $100,000 Guaranteed Pick Four Pool

EARLY PICK 4:

4,5,10/2,4/1,2,3,4/1,4 = $48

 

LATE PICK 4: 1,2,3/2,4/4/1,2,5,6,7 = $30

MEET STATS: 319 - 1018 / $1735.70  BEST BETS: 45 - 91 / $146.30

SPOT PLAYS: 12 - 87 / $92.30

Best Bet: SOUTHWIND FRANK (3rd)

Spot Play: CHEYENNE REIDER (13th)

Race 1

(6) P L IDAHO has faced some of the best sophomore pacers around in his last two and will appreciate this class relief; top call in the opener of a great card. (7) CORSICA HALL has put together a nice record so far this season but will have trouble with the choice here if he's on his game. (8) MOONWRITER has hit his best stride the past two but this race could be used as a stepping stone to a bigger purse. He will likely be closing from far back for a minor share.

Race 2

(4) ANNDROVETTE had a tightener for this at Harrah's Philly, now gets Tetrick back and will likely look to wire this Milton Stakes elimination. (7) YAGONNAKISSMEORNOT is having a good season and has done well at this track in the past. She looks next best. (1) KATIE SAID has two miles of 1:50 flat in her past three which puts her in the ballpark here, but she has to prove it against these classy foes.

Race 3

(4) SOUTHWIND FRANK appeared to be toying with his foes last week and should have no problems here in the Wellwood Final. (7) BROOKLYN HILL has amassed a nice bankroll by mostly finishing 2nd to the choice, which is also likely here. (3) DEEP IMPACT looks best of the locals and could better this placing if he can land in the choice's pocket early.

Race 4

(4) ALEXIE MATTOSIE drops in class and returns to a 7-day cycle here; top call in a tough opening leg of the early pick 4. (5) THINKING OUT LOUD is in the midst of a disappointing season but returns from a break off a good qualifier and could go better here. (10) WAZZUP WAZZUP also drops in class and is in with a shot if he can land in the top 5 early.

Race 5

(2) EMOTICON HANOVER was conservatively-driven last week but was closing fast on the end of her mile. She draws a good post and could benefit from some mid-race battling; call to upset. (4) CAPRICE HILL has only lost once and is obviously the filly to beat; must-use in the pick 4. (5) CELEBRITY EVENTSY peeled off an impressive front-end win in her elimination and will be winging early here too, no doubt.

Race 6

(4) ODDS ON EQUULEUS made two moves last time and tired only late to be nailed by closers that enjoyed good trips. Picking up Tetrick here is a bonus; top call. (2) MCWICKED couldn't keep up with State Treasurer in the Pacing Derby - but no one could - and should be much more of a threat here. (3) ARTHUR BLUE CHIP has returned from a long layoff in sharp form and wouldn't be a shock here stepping up to the top class.

Race 7

(1) RESOLVE is in the best form of his career and was a confident winner of his elimination - albeit aided by soft fractions. He can race effectively using any style and has options leaving from the rail; top call. (4) FLANAGAN MEMORY was one of few closing ground on the choice last week; notice the upset win in the TVG Open the last time Tetrick drove. (2) BEE A MAGICIAN couldn't convert a perfect trip last week and will likely be overbet on home soil here. She is worth trying to beat at a short price.

Race 8

(3) VENUS DELIGHT was asked for little from the 8-hole at Yonkers last time but won the Artiscape in a new life's mark two back and should be tough in here from close range. (2) LADY SHADOW tuned up for this with an easy win in the Mares Preferred last week and has only lost once - to males - since being sold. She's the one to beat. (1) COLORS A VIRGIN has drawn a string of bad posts recently and shouldn't be discounted here leaving from the inside.

Race 9

(2) MUSCLE BABY DOLL has been sensational all year and now meets the toughest assignment of her racing career. Her excellent late speed gives her a puncher's chance; call to upset. (4) MISSION BRIEF was outstanding last week and is the obvious class of the field. She can't be left off late pick 4 tickets. (1) ELEGANT SERENITY has really blossomed in the past two months and shouldn't be far behind the top two.

Race 10

(4) PINKMAN returned to his best form last week and the Hambletonian winner is the one to beat here. (3) UNCLE LASSE converted a perfect pocket trip last week and could be the one to challenge the choice if he can land in the two-hole and work out a similar trip. (10) THE BANK hasn't been that far behind his stablemate all year but the 10-hole likely dooms him to a minor award here.

Race 11

(6) CHAMPAGNE PHIL had to set faster fractions that he wanted to last week with a challenger hung out and still almost got the job done. He's razor-sharp now and doesn't need the lead to win. (1) FOREVER JUST wasn't far back of several Preferred types that were getting some class relief last week. This gelding is capable at a price. (5) SING FOR ME GEORGE did well at Yonkers mostly from bad posts and is a threat here.

Race 12

(8) THORN IN YOUR SIDE was a solid winner Tuesday night in this same class and should handle this group as well. (1) LIVE AND LEARN has been racing well since MacDonell took over driving duties and could take this if the choice faces some heat on the lead. (4) MONTE CHRISTO drops in class but rarely wins in any class; minor slice predicted.

Race 13

(7) CHEYENNE REIDER returns to action off a qualifier and gets what is a preferred outside post for him. He can chase these down late if he can grab reasonable cover. (9) SOUTHWIND AMAZON is another closer that gets a favorable pace scenario and he should be right there on the wire. (6) VEGAS ROCKS has won his last two by big margins but will likely face pace pressure here which could be his undoing. (4) PUSH BACK drops in class and may work himself out a good trip. (3) CARACCI HANOVER should make the bottom of the ticket off a following trip.

[DRF HARNESS: Follow us on Twitter for the latest harness news!]