08/06/2015 2:57PM

Mohawk: Saturday 8/8 Analysis

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Race 4 - $50,000 Guaranteed Pick Four Pool

EARLY PICK 4:

1,4,8/3,7/5,8,9/6,7 = $36

 

LATE PICK 4: 1,6,7/2/2,8,9/1,4,5,7 = $36

MEET STATS: 209 - 692 / $1198.40 BEST BETS: 29 - 62 / $99.10

SPOT PLAYS: 8 - 62 / $66.90

Best Bet: GO DADDY GO (3rd)

Spot Play: JUSTCALLMEARNOLD (2nd)

Race 1

(4) MYSTIQUE BEACHBUM lands in a field where there could be lots of early action and she could trip out here at a square price and roll by late; top call in the opener. (3) LOTSA MATZAH has won two straight easily; she might also trip out in the pocket here. (1) MISS ALI MACH N is and interesting newcomer from Australia sent out by connections that look for immediate returns; beware.

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Race 2

Last time (10) JUSTCALLMERONALD raced in a similar class he won easily at a big price; maybe history repeats? (2) JUSTALITTLEFASTER continues to race well since returning from a break and will be passing horses late. (7) CAL CHIPS BROTHER is a good one for the bottom rungs of your tris and supers.

Race 3

(5) GO DADDY GO made a strong move to the front on the backside into a strong pace then stubbornly tried to hold off the pocket-sitter down the lane last time. That was his strongest effort of the year so far. Anything close to a repeat should get the job done here. (1) PRESCOTTS HOPE missed three weeks then wasn't asked for much vs, better from an outside post; expect him to blast and try to last here. (4) BUCKEROO draws much better but faces some tough ones. He should be closing for a slice, however.

Race 4

(4) HIS BOY ELROY raced first-over the entire back 1/2 last week and chased down a strong leader in a sharp effort; call to repeat. (8) SUGARSAM was out a long way before making the front and just failed to hold off the choice. There is little to separate these two; use both on your early pick 4 tickets. (1) MR CARROTS has faced better lately but has a penchant for grabbing minor awards no matter the company he faces.

Race 5

(3) ACE OF CLUBS was on poor cover last week but still managed to circle up for 2nd. He seems to be at his sharpest now; top call. (7) TWIN B SCANDAL put up some big fractions and almost held on to blow up the toteboard. He is a threat to lead all the way here. (5) LANCASTER PARK is better than his last couple of lines would suggest, He has upset possibilities if he's put into the race earlier this time.

Race 6

(9) MMS LUCKY BOY showed speed at Hoosier last time and was beating better than these earlier this year; price play. (5) FLEXIBLE WOMAN won easily and took a new life's mark when last in this class; contender. (8) BURNIN MONEY tried to go down the road on the class drop last time and tired late. He is likely to return to a deep closing style here which seems to work better for him.

Race 7

(7) DOCTOR TERROR made a huge move in the third 1/4 at The Meadows to take a Pennsylvania Sires Stake and a new speed badge. She is fast and classy and can beat her elders here if the intent is there. (6) LIGHTS GO OUT confirmed she is at the top of her game again by firing off a :25 3/5 kicker last time. She is still dependent on the pace slowing somewhat though. (3) MARLEE B had too much to do late last time and a :26 3/5 final 1/4 got her nothing. She can upset with the right trip.

Race 8

(1) LETS ROCK TOGETHER never got a breather at any point last week and understandably tired. He gets post relief here and can convert with a better trip. (7) MAJOR HOMER drops in class here and is a hard trier that rarely gets bet. He could offer some nice value in all pools facing easier. (6) HERE COMES WILLIAM closed okay in a swift mile last time and could also crash the exotics at a big price here.

Race 9

(2) REASONABLE FORCE did little from the outside last week but two back set some serious splits and drove away from his foes. These are easier than last week's opponents and he should be prominent throughout. (7) JUST PLAIN LUCK faced some tough sophomores in his past two starts and wasn't disgraced. Watch for him late here. (8) ROCK ME AMASTREOS dropped and popped at Georgian last time and will likely be sent hard here. He could set the table for the choice if that one lands in his pocket at the start.

Race 10

(8) SHAMBALLA has been the best horse on the grounds the past month and tonight gets to show how good he is with a tough invader lined up beside him; top call. (9) LUCK BE WITH YOU has been facing the best aged pacers all year and is the main danger, obviously. (2) ULTIMATE BEACHBOY just about circled the field last week, powering home in :53 flat. He shouldn't be taken lightly, especially if he is ignored by the public.

Race 11

(3) DADDY WARBUCKS moves back into a claimer and should have lots of pace to chase. Top call at a square price. (6) I SCOOT SAM also figures to drop back and close late which is a better strategy for him. He should be passing many of these late. (1) INTENDED STYLE brings a 4-race wins streak to this dash and can't be dismissed.

Race 12

(3) THUNDER STEELER takes a drop in class here and likely tries to take these coast-to-coast. (5) PISTON BROKE also drops but is more likely to complete the exacta than top it. (1) CHEYENNE REIDER has been consistent as an optional claimer all year and should get a piece of this. (9) BOOMBOOM BALLYKEEL was sent hard early last time in a higher class and stopped badly. He will be closing late here, likely for a minor award. (2) MACHAL JORDAN gets a cozy starting slot from which to work a following trip and grab a cheque.

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