08/04/2016 3:16PM

Mohawk: Saturday 8/6 Analysis


Race 1 - $30,000 Guaranteed Pick Five Pool

Race 4 - $50,000 Guaranteed Pick Four Pool


PICK 5: 2,3,4,6/1,4,5/1,3,7/5/2,4,6,7 = $28.80

EARLY PICK 4: 5/2,4,6/1,5,6,7/2,3,4 = $36

LATE PICK 4: 2,3,6,7/1,7/5,7/1,3,10 = $48

MEET STATS: 262 - 739 / $1408.20  BEST BETS: 43 - 69 / $139.40

SPOT PLAYS: 17 - 68 / $86.60



Race 1

(4) JENKINS CREEK chased a sharp winner that was winning for the second time straight last week. Give him a slight nod in a contentious start to the Pick 5. (6) BUGGER BRUISER has improving form and should be blasting to get early position here. (2) PRINCE CLYDE should leave much better from the inside post and is another to consider for the Pick 5. (3) RISE UP NOW was rank racing in the pocket at Grand River. Perhaps he disdained the wet track.

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Race 2

(5) EVENIN OF PLEASURE shoots for his fifth straight Preferred score here. It's hard to imagine him being anywhere other than lurking in the pocket turning for home; top call. (1) ELLIS PARK was flying late last time and was only a stride short of catching the choice; using. (4) STATE TREASURER will likely try to go down the road here but will have to hold off the two listed above late. (2) NICKLE BAG gets an improved post and is dangerous, but he hasn't won in several weeks.

Race 3

(3) SUPER ALL DAY was a strong winner in his first start at this track now he gets a much-improved post. Call to repeat. (7) MERCHANDISER was short after missing 26 days action now he gets back to a 7-day cycle here. Expect an improved performance. (1) WORLDCLASS HANOVER dusted an easier group despite racing with broken equipment; don't dismiss easily. (8) COUNTRY PROPHET can close late for a small share here.

Race 4

(5) SPORTSMANSHIP takes a big class dive here and he should be very tough to beat. (3) BRINGHOME THEBLUE has had two rough trips since returning to the races. He is capable if he gets an easier journey. (7) MR CARROTS also gets class relief. He should be heard from late. (4) UFDRAGONS ROCKET will be closing late for a piece, as he almost always does.

Race 5

(4) ARTISTIC MADISON raced better last time, now drops again and she will likely get a more aggressive drive here in her third start back; top call. (6) LIGHTS GO OUT also drops and she is very capable in this class; using. (2) BET YA is another that gets class relief here and she will likely be sent for a position on or near the lead here which puts her right in the picture. (7) A PLUS can close well in this class and should take at least a smaller share.

Race 6

(6) ST LADS MOONWALK is the best horse in this race, but, he is typically driven less aggressively in these classes that do not count towards the Grassroots standings - see May 26th and June 25th. He could prevail regardless as he did on those occasions and gets the nod. (1) SPIRIT SHADOW could get the jump on the choice and is worth using in the Pick 4. (5) ARSENIC fits well here and is another to consider. (7) INSPIRATION VIEW took a win vs. similar last month but seems destined to finish on the fringes here.

Race 7

(4) ALEXAS JACKPOT takes another class drop, returns in 7 days and should be formidable here. (3) ASAP HANOVER was the easiest of winners vs. lesser last week but he merits Pick 4 inclusion off that sharp score. (2) DRACHAN HANOVER has a better chance to carve out a good trip here with the move inside. (5) TRACEUR HANOVER makes his first start of the year going for the top trainer here. He is obviously classy enough, but made need one or two.

Race 8

(2) MAJOR HILL has faced several sharp sophomores lately and hasn't been able to break through for a win. This assignment may be easier; top call. (3) PRINT MEDIA took a bad shuffle last week and is capable of better. (6) POISONOUS may look for a helmet to follow this time and if he finds one that can carry him, he's in with a shot. (7) BETTOR MEMORIES faces easier and is another that should be considered here.

Race 9

(1) CHARLIE IS A JOKER takes a big class plunge here and gets a good post to work with. He should prove tough to beat vs. these. (7) DUH BUBBEES produced a quick final 1/4 to score a huge upset for white-hot teamster Jamieson last week; using. (3) UTOPIA fits well in this class and should make the trifecta ticket at a minimum. (2) AMITYVILLE LINDY will be passing horses late and is another that should fill one of the lower exotic slots.

Race 10

(5) ROCKIN IN HEAVEN looked like he was in trouble turning for home last week, but he exploded up the pylons to win going away. This assignment isn't much tougher; call to repeat. (7) THE WAYFARING MAN is on a good roll now and very sharp as shown by his 26 3/5 third 1/4 last week; using. (3) IDEAL JET couldn't sustain hid bid into quick fractions but he can share here - especially if he gets an easier trip. (1) CARACCI HANOVER gets class relief and he is another that should fight it out for a minor award.

Race 11

(10) SILVERHILL SHADOW holds a mark of 1:50 2/5 on this track taken over just two years ago. His July 29th qualifier indicates he is ready to fire a big one, that is if he gets sent from the 10-hole. (1) THORN IN YOUR SIDE gets to drop in class here and should trip out well on or near the lead. (3) ST LADS LOTTO was used up early last week. A better trip puts him right there vs. these. (8) THEY CALL ME GORDY van leave in the top flight and stick around for a slice. (9) LEAFS AND WINGS will be far back early but should get a slowing late pace to close into here.

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