08/01/2013 4:53PM

Mohawk: Saturday 8/3 Analysis

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Race 4 - $75,000 Guaranteed Pick Four Pool

Best Bet: SWINGING BEAUTY (7th)

Spot Play: WARRAWEE NONSUCH (10th)

Race 1

(7) WINDSONG INVINCEBL has been knocking on the door at this level and is due for a victory. Her latest 1:54 3/5 effort makes her a top threat. (10) ROCKIN WITH DEWEY has back-to-back wins and will have to overcome post 10. It's hard to overlook her latest 1:54 win. (1) QUIT SMOKING NOW draws the rail and will look for a repeat effort. He got a terrific trip and will look for the same.

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Race 2

(4) MICHAELS POWER was scratched last week due to sickness, but put in a winning effort in his latest pari-mutual start. He comes out of Coleman's barn and a repeat 1:48 4/5 effort should make him a winner. (2) UP THE CREDIT finished second in this class last week and draws well. He races at his best when he's put into the race and should benefit from a good trip. (3) ARACACHE HANOVER also races at his best when he's put into play. He's up in class, but a good option to consider.

Race 3

(2) P L DALEY draws inside and drops in class. Last week, from a post 10 start, he trotted in 1:54 4/5. (1) PAIGING KADABRA doesn't like to win, but is a good option for the exactor. He draws much better and finished second in this class last week. (9) FALCOR BLUESTONE finished third in this class last week and will have to overcome the outside post. Baillargeon's barn has been good in recent weeks.

Race 4

(1) ROCK ME AMASTREOS draws inside, has been racing at his best in recent starts and comes out of O'Sullivan's barn. (5) PISTON BROKE drops in class and will draw a lot of attention. He's been terrific in his last two outings. (7) SHIPPS XPECTANCY has hit the board in four of his last five starts. He's been knocking on the door in this class and that could continue.

Race 5

(5) ZORGWIJK JOCK is fresh off a win and faces tougher competition, but appears to be able to handle the challenge. He was very impressive in last week's win. (9) ZEUS LIGHTNING drops in class and should be very competitive in this group. He trotted an impressive 1:53 3/5 just two starts ago. (3) NORTHERN SPARK draws inside and is fresh off a win. He moves up in class, but this class isn't much tougher.

Race 6

(9) SPARKY MARK drops out of the Preferred and into this class. That alone makes him a top candidate even with a post nine start. (6) OK COMMANDER races at his best when he's put into the race. He'll attract a lot of attention once again this week. (7) SING FOR ME GEORGE paced home in :25 4/5 last week and comes from top connections. Look for him racing from behind again.

Race 7

(1) SWINGING BEAUTY gets the rail and drops in class. She finished second in the Preferred last week and will be a likely favourite in here. (4) MACH A WISH also drops out of the Preferred. She finished fourth in there and should benefit from the class drop. (3) FARMERS TUITION made a miscue last start and drops in class. She's a good option to consider and may offer a fair price.

Race 8

(3) SHEBYS COBRA comes from a very high percentage trainer and draws well. He moves up in class, but that was a dominating effort last week. (2) GOBAN draws well and is very versatile. He finished second in this class last week and has hit the board in his last two of three. (4) IDEAL RACE has a lot of back-class, comes out of the Gillis barn and should offer a good price.

Race 9

(5) SCARY GOOD has hit the board in his last two of three starts in this class and is due for a win. This level is always tough to predict, but he's a good option. (3) JUSTASMALLTOWNGIRL drops in class and faces a much easier bunch. She draws well and should be much more competitive. (3) O U SEXY GUY won in this class last week at very high odds. I'm not sure he can repeat, but should get consideration.

Race 10

(5) WARRAWEE NONSUCH draws well and has been knocking on the door in this class. He's been racing at his best in recent starts and is due to win. (3) MACH PRIDE raced very well at Rideau Carleton and that could translate into another good effort. He's capable, but will need a trip. (7) ROCKNROLL HARMONY jumps in class after a win, but McMaster's barn has been terrific all season. He might offer a fair price.

Race 11

(8) HILARIOUS HALO got interfered with in his latest, which resulted in an accident. He finished second in this class two starts ago and Shakes' barn has been very good in recent weeks. (7) BEACH BUFF has terrific closing speed and a short field only helps. He's been offering some terrific prices. (2) THATS THE LIFE draws well, comes out of Puddy's barn and drops in class. He's a good option to consider.

Race 12

(4) ROCK CAMROLLER drops in class, comes out of McMaster's barn and has the speed to win at this bottom level. (2) THE DEPUTY IS HOME draws inside and has been knocking on the door in his last six starts. Consider him for the exactor and triactor. (8) LIVE AND LEARN has hit the board in his last two of three starts. This is always a tough class to predict, but he's capable and should provide a nice price.

 

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