08/22/2013 3:32PM

Mohawk: Saturday 8/24 Analysis

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Race 4 - $75,000 Guaranteed Pick Four Pool

Best Bet: PRECOCIOUS BEAUTY (2nd)

Spot Play: TRUEYS LEGACY (12th)

Race 1

(4) BESTOFBEST HANOVER moves into the Moreau barn and that's the main reason for my selection. He shifts onto this circuit and is very capable in this bottom class. (2) CLIC K adds lasix for the first time and draws inside. He put in a sub-par effort in his latest in Prince Edward Island, but is capable in here. (8) WHIPPET GOOD also adds lasix and has a patented closing kick. Quick speed up front only increases his chances.

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Race 2

(5) PRECOCIOUS BEAUTY set a stakes record in her most recent and looks like the horse to beat off that effort. (1) SHES DA BOMB has a wicked turn of foot, but was bearing inside last start. The connections will have that issue rectified and I believe the race is between her and PRECOCIOUS BEAUTY for the win. (8) ACT NOW is a good option for third although she finished a disappointing eighth in her latest. She's a quality filly and has the speed.

Race 3

(6) ALI BLUE comes out of the Takter barn and she has a 4-0-0 record from five starts this season. She couldn't be coming into this race any better. (3) GALLIE BYTHE BEACH draws inside and is undefeated this season from five starts. She's very versatile and comes from top connections. (8) ROCKINGCAM PARK likely won’t offer much of a price with her record this season. She raced well in her latest and should be even better with her second start on this circuit.

Race 4

(7) BOLT THE DUER set a world record last week and clearly has the speed to win in here. This division is extremely deep in talent and expect him to be close to the pace. (4) SWEET LOU comes from top connections and is very versatile. He's a top contender and will likely not offer a price. (2) FRED AND GINGER is a horse that may offer a fair price. He's fresh off a win and draws inside.

Race 5

(2) TELLITLIKEITIS draws inside and comes out of the Takter barn. He scored a win last start and is coming into this race in top form. (4) ARTHUR BLUE CHIP won last start in a lifetime best and has a terrific record this season. He did all the work on the front and the same tactics may occur again. (5) LUCK BEWITHYOU is the fastest rookie in Canada this season, but he put in a sub-par effort last week. I'll try him again and hope for a rebound effort.

Race 6

(4) BIGTIME BALL drops in class and should fare very well in this class. He's got the back-class in his favour and raced very well last start. (1) PISTON BROKE gets the rail and drops in class. He's very versatile and is the freshest horse in the field. (10) SPARKY MARK will have to overcome post 10, but he has the gate-speed to do so. He also comes out of Austin's barn and displayed the speed necessary last week.

Race 7

(3) WESTERN VINTAGE broke his undefeated streak last week, but gets Gingras back in the bike. He draws inside and likely will be the post time favourite. (1) PLAY IT AGAIN SAM gets the rail and is undefeated this season from seven starts. There's nothing not to like about him. (8) IDEAL MAGIC is Alagna's best rookie pacer and he'll have to overcome post eight. He's versatile and gets Tetrick in the bike.

Race 8

(1) ALEXIE MATTOSIE gets the rail and drops down in class once again. This will be his fifth start of the season and is due for his first win. (5) MACH DREAMER is a class horse and drops in class. He draws well and has been pacing credible miles in recent weeks. (4) ASTOR drops out of the Preferred and has a good record this season. I'm not convinced he can win, but he's a good option for the triactor.

Race 9

(4) LETS DRINK ON IT has a terrific record this season, draws well and has terrific gate-speed. He has the speed and comes from good connections. (2) IDEALBEACH HANOVER draws inside and gets the Jamieson/Gillis combination. He's yet to miss the board in four starts this season. (7) BOOMBOOM BALLYKEEL raced terrific last start at odds of 55-1. He comes out of Moreau's barn and may be the sleeper in here.

Race 10

(2) A ROCKNROLL DANCE gets the two-hole and is fresh off a world record performance. Tetrick in the bike only decreases his price. (6) PET ROCK finished second to A ROCKNROLL DANCE in his latest and is a logical option for second. (1) WARRAWEE NEEDY hasn't raced since August 3 and gets the rail in here. He didn't fair out well in his latest and will look to rebound.

Race 11

(1) ASLAN moved into O'Sullivan's barn last start and provided a winning result right away. He gets the rail, moves up in class, but is a top threat in here. (4) ART PROFESSOR drops in class and will make his third start of the season. He draws well and is a major contender with his back-class. (7) BETTOR AGAIN raced very well in his season debut. He was timed in 1:50 with a :27 3/5 final frame.

Race 12

(2) TRUEYS LEGACY draws inside and raced well in his first start of the season last week. He has the speed and drops in class. (7) THEPANINSULAHOTEL has a terrific closing kick and raced much better last week. A repeat effort makes him a top threat. (5) STOMPIN TOM CREEK has a terrific record this season and finished third in this class last week. He'll likely offer a price.

 

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