08/20/2015 2:33PM

Mohawk: Saturday 8/22 Analysis

Email

Race 4 - $50,000 Guaranteed Pick Four Pool

EARLY PICK 4:

1,3/1,2,4,10/1,2/4,5 = $32

 

LATE PICK 4: 2,10/1,5/1,4,5,7/1,4,7,8 = $64

MEET STATS: 240 - 791 / $1382.00 BEST BETS: 33 - 71 / $110.60

SPOT PLAYS: 9 - 68 / $73.10

Best Bet: CAMAES FELLOW (12th)

Spot Play: AMERICAN PASSPORT (10th)

Race 1

(1) MONEY MAVEN takes a class drop and gets a notable driver change. He should get put into the race earlier than he has been here; top call. (10) CANTABS FORTUNE has been disappointing but qualified well with the trotting hopples removed and could try to wire this. (6) CAL CHIPS BROTHER has yet to win in 2015 but came up with his best mile of the year last week; maybe.

[DRF BETS: Sign up for DRF Bets & wager on your favorite harness tracks - $200 Signup Bonus + Free 10-card Harness Eye PP plan + 20% Bonus on Exotic wagers!]

Race 2

(1) TALK SHOW was narrowly beaten in a fast mile at Tioga last time and should be tough to beat from the inside here. (2) VORACITY is only a nose away from being unbeaten and looks like the main threat here. (3) HEAVYMETAL HANOVER has a knack for finishing 2nd and could split the top two here as well.

Race 3

(3) THATSOVERYNICE broke before the start last time and was so far back that she was refunded. If she can stay pacing here the pace scenario should favor her closing style. (2) BLUE MOON STRIDE has reeled off 4 straight wins down south and is the filly to chase down here. (7) JK FANNIE is still a maiden but has early speed to offer and is likely to get sent hard from the outset by the leading driver. She has upset possibilities.

Race 4

(1) IDEAL ROCKY fires home quickly every week and starting from the inside only makes him tougher; top call. (3) MINDTRIP has been brought along slowly and escapes an ultra-tough unbeaten opponent that he faced every week prior to this. Stick this colt on your early pick 4 ticket. (5) THE CATAMOUNT KID has good late speed to offer and should be around for a share here.

Race 5

(2) CARRACCI HANOVER went a big mile uncovered last week and was only picked off late. He can take these if he can latch onto some cover. (4) ATOMIC MILLION AM hinted at a return to his best form last week and should be respected here. (1) PIERCE HANOVER has been facing sophomore bearcats most of the summer and this field of elders is probably easier; using.

Race 6

(1) A J CORBELLI vaulted up late last week off excess cover and figures prominently with the class drop here. (2) THINKING OUT LOUD has seen better days but may perk up with Waples returning to the bike; using. (Note: Top choice Thunder Steeler was scratched).

Race 7

(4) ODDS ON EQUULEUS was over-driven to some insane fractions on Hambletonian Day and understandably stopped in the stretch. He should be tough here. (5) MCWICKED has had two starts back this year after a super sophomore year in which he earned $1.4 million. He should start showing more very soon. (6) DUC DORLEANS was overmatched in the Dan Patch but can share here.

Race 8

(2) MILEYS BIG WORLD took a new life's mark last week displaying big speed early and enough pace late when she needed it. She can take another here. (10) D GS PESQUERO returns to Mohawk and drops in class. She should be a big threat, even from post 10. (7) MISS ALI MACH N showed improvement last week in this class and could pop here at a price.

Race 9

(1) DARLINONTHEBEACH closed sharply for third last time after missing a month. This well-bred filly should be tough here from the inside and possibly offer a square price. (5) L A DELIGHT has easily won all of her last 5 starts impressively but has yet to set or overcome a fast pace. She should get a stiffer challenge here. (7) SHOW TIME HILL took control of her last mile with a strong third 1/4. She isn't without a chance here.

Race 10

(7) AMERICAN PASSPORT roared home last time out in :26 flat and should get plenty of pace to chase here; upset special. (5) CONTROL THE MOMENT puts his unbeaten record on the line here and is obviously the one to knock off. (1) ROCK POWER displayed big improvement last time out and can't be discounted.

Race 11

(4) IDEAL JET has powered home in :26 2/5 twice in a row, gets lots of early speed to chase and should be a good price; top call. (8) PRESCOTTS HOPE has proven his quick ascension from low claimers was no fluke and must be chased down late. (1) SOUTHWIND AMAZON made a threatening move last week then leveled off late. He is another that should be on late pick 4 tickets.

Race 12

(2) CAMAES FELLOW takes a big class plunge here and is very likely to go coast-to-coast. (3) COMPANY MAN was a good third last time now returns to a circuit where he has raced well in the past; beware. (4) TWANG TWANG was a huge winner off the claim and can't be discounted. (5) SUNNY BEACH DAY is typically competitive at this class and likely closes for a share here. (9) WAZZUP WAZZUP was sent hard on Tuesday here on the class drop and failed to last. This assignment is tougher.

[POCONO DOWNS: Watch the entire Super Stakes Saturday card Live on DRF!]