08/18/2016 1:53PM

Mohawk: Saturday 8/20 Analysis

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Race 1 - $30,000 Guaranteed Pick Five Pool

Race 4 - $50,000 Guaranteed Pick Four Pool

 

PICK 5: 1,4,6,7/2,3/5/1,5,6/6 = $4.80

EARLY PICK 4: 1,5,6/6/1,3,7,8/1,7 = $24

LATE PICK 4: 3,6,8/1,4,6/2,7/3,4,7 = $54

MEET STATS: 286 - 832 / $1507.70  BEST BETS: 48 - 77 / $155.80

SPOT PLAYS: 17 - 77 / $86.60

Best Bet: CANDLELIGHT DINNER (3rd)

Spot Play: BRINGHOME THEBLUE (6th)

Race 1

(1) WAZZUP WAZZUP returns from a break looking sharp off his August 9th qualifier. Waples should work him out a good trip here; top call. (4) EASY LOVER HANOVER is a big threat to wire these; using. (7) MR CARROTTS took a while to get going last time but he was flying late. Stick him on Pick 5 tickets, too. (6) SEMI AUTOMATIC missed some time but he can still hit the ticket here passing horses late.

[POCONO: Watch the best 3-year-olds compete on Super Stakes Saturday--Live on DRF!]

Race 2

(2) EVENIN OF PLEASURE has won five Preferreds in a row and he will almost surely get his favorite trip here; six straight? (3) STATE TREASURER blew most of these away last week and he is the other one that you need on your Pick 5 ticket. (4) ELLIS PARK races well every week and he'll get there one of these times, but I'm predicting a smaller share tonight. (5) NICKLE BAG is another that races hard and brings money home every week.

Race 3

(5) CANDLELIGHT DINNER is the best rookie filly pacer in the country and it's unlikely that her win streak gets stopped here; Pick 5 free square. (7) HAPPY HANNAH has some upside and could provide some value for exacta plays here. (8) BLACK JACK PAT has been closest to the choice on multiple occasions; consider. (1) AWASH can work out a good following trip and take a share here.

Race 4

(5) NEW YORK NIGHTMARE should get put into action much earlier here coming up tagged again; top call. (6) VEGAS ROCKS paced a 27 flat third 1/4 last week which could be a sign of impending improvement; using. (1) JENKINS CREEK pulled first-up against a classy rival that wasn't going to stop. This assignment is easier; using. (2) CASIMIR OVERDRIVE is a good one to use on the bottom of exotic wagers.

Race 5

(6) BETTORS DREAM sharpened up with a good qualifier in a bid to keep his unbeaten string going here. He looks very good to do just that. (4) MANCEIVER was a good third to The Battle of Waterloo winner last time. His improving form should be respected. (1) DEADLY ACTION wasn't far behind the choice in the Dream Maker final and he isn't out of this. (9) RICHARD HILL should be closing late and has a shot to make the ticket at a price.

Race 6

(7) BRINGHOME THEBLUE was stalled on dead cover on the final turn last week which cost him any chance of winning. One of these weeks he will blast off early and lead all the way or work out a great pocket trip; maybe tonight? (3) LISVINNE has gone some incredible long trips to win his last two. He is the one to beat. (1) CS EYE showed a new dimension last week, closing on the leaders late; using. (8) SHADOW PLACE is worth a look off the class drop but the post does him no favors.

Race 7

(1) CALVIN K raced well last week despite suffering interference and not getting clearance until late. He should be a decent price here so I will try him on top over likely big favorite (7) IDEAL WHEEL. The latter has been flawless so far and heavily-bet in both starts but this assignment looks a bit tougher. (3) WINDSONG NAPOLEON hasn't missed the board since his first start. He should make the ticket here. (4) ALL IT TAKES can close late and pass some of these for a minor award.

Race 8

(8) TOM HILL was an unlucky loser last week. If he leaves better than 7th this time, he should get back on track. (6) FLAHERTY raced better last time and he may be cycling back to the good form he displayed earlier this year; using. (3) ALL THE COOKIES brings a sharp qualifier to the table here for a barn that can send one ready; consider. (2) DREAMFAIR MESA isn't the easiest one to figure out, but he is in with a shot here if he brings his “A” game.

Race 9

(6) BETTORS UP is only 3/4 of a length short of being perfect to this point and can race effectively from anywhere; top call. (4) PERPLEXED went too fast early last time and just failed to hold on. He should get more even fractions here and he is a big threat. (1) BLAMEITONTHENIGHT is another contender to consider here if the break in his last start was an anomaly. (8) FADE should be a speed threat and will likely hang around for a slice.

Race 10

(7) JINS SHARK had a good tightener in the top class last week. He should be prominent here in a race where he fits much better. (2) THE WAYFARING MAN also drops from the Preferred and he should be heard from tonight. (1) IDEAL JET is in a good spot to work out a trip and take a slice. (3) MOHAWK WARRIOR is a threat at this class for a share at a minimum and maybe more.

Race 11

(3) THUNDER STEELER is a bit of an in-and-outer, but if he can replicate his most recent start tonight, he will be tough to beat. (4) TRACEUR HANOVER dusted weaker as expected and should be a big player here, too. (7) ERLE DALE N drops and could pop here. (10) BUDDHA BLUE CHIP has made eye-catching moves in both of his two recent wins. Toss him on your exotic plays. (5) ELECTRIC WESTERN is a good one to use underneath in the sharp form he is currently displaying.

[DRF HARNESS LIVE: Real-time insights from the DRF Harness team this Saturday at 6:30 p.m.]