08/14/2014 3:21PM

Mohawk: Saturday 8/16 Analysis


Race 4 - $50,000 Guaranteed Pick Four Pool

Best Bet: JET AIRWAY (12th)

Spot Play: AMIGO DE GRANDE (1st)


Race 1

(3) AMIGO DE GRANDE returns after a layoff and may offer a fair price. He qualified strong, drops in class and adds lasix to his program. (10) DOUBLEDOWN GASS has terrific gate-speed to overcome post 10. He's been a top threat in each of his eight starts this season. (4) FORK draws well in this field and has hit the board in two of his last three.

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Race 2

(2) HAPPY BECKY looks like the filly to beat after remaining undefeated in four starts this season. (4) BEDROOMCONFESSIONS comes from the Alagna barn, has started off her career in top form and was an open length winner two back. (6) SHAKAI HANOVER has the speed, comes from the Jamieson barn and may offer a price.

Race 3

(6) CASHAWAY has won two straight, gets Tetrick aboard and looks like the filly to beat in this division. (7) JK SHESALADY is a perfect three-for-three this season and comes from top connections. (3) WICKED LITTLE MINX has the speed and will look for a rebound effort. Jamieson will be aboard and this filly has some upside.

Race 4

(8) MAJOR HOTTIE was a convincing winner last week in sub-1:50 fashion. He has been at this best in recent weeks and is capable of the class jump. (3) ALEXIE MATTOSIE draws inside, was a winner two back and gets Jamieson in the bike. (2) ODYSSEUS BLUECHIP draws inside, comes from the Johnson barn and has all kinds of back class to offer. He's been a top threat in this class for a few weeks.

Race 5

(3) IDEAL NUGGETS draws inside and is due for her first career win. This is a wide-open contest and she may offer a fair price. (5) A PLUS is a perfect one-for-one to begin her career and moves up in class from the Excel Series. She's capable of another great effort. (2) SOLAR SISTER comes from local connections and has hit the board in three of her last four.

Race 6

(3) THE WAYFARING MAN appears ready for his toughest test. I'll back him based on his recent lines, inside post and versatility. (4) ASAP HANOVER was good in last week's contest, but not great. I'll play him in the exactor and expect a solid effort. (7) LYONS LEVI LEWIS comes from the Burke barn, is versatile and gets Gingras in the bike.

Race 7

(10) SHAMBALLA will face his toughest test in recent starts. I'll back him from post 10 as he's been racing spectacular and is able to overcome the outside. (9) DAPPER DUDE drops out of the Preferred level and comes from the McIntosh barn. (8) NICKLE BAG also drops out of the Preferred level, was timed in 1:49 3/5 and is in a much suitable class.

Race 8

(5) CAPTAINTREACHEROUS gets top billing based on his class relief and good post. He'll likely be the favourite. (6) SUNSHINE BEACH was a dominant winner last week in this class and will need to be at his best. (2) ELLIS PARK was too far back last week and should be more effective from a post two start.

Race 9

(1) AMORA BEACH gets Tetrick aboard this week and that's an angle I'm using. He's blessed with the rail and capable of dropping more time. (8) WESTERN PIONEER has been racing very consistent this season, shows a lot of versatility and comes from top connections. (3) TRACEUR HANOVER draws inside and hasn't missed the board in three starts. He has the speed and faces a tougher test this week.

Race 10

(4) MISTER HERBIE draws well, comes from the Gillis barn and faces major class relief as he returns home. (1) DAYLON MAGICIAN was terrific in the debut for Moiseyev last week as they won this contest. He'll begin from the rail and likely will be put into play early. (2) CHARMED LIFE raced very well last week as the favourite, but got away too far back. I can't see that happening this week.

Race 11

(8) ARTSPEAK certainly looks like the horse to defeat in here after going three-for-three and recently winning in 1:50 4/5. (7) LYONS AGAIN comes from the Burke barn and continues to offer quick speed. He has some upside with Gingras aboard. (3) PIERCE HANOVER draws inside and hasn't missed the board in each of his last three, including two wins. He's very likeable for the triactor with an inside post.

Race 12

(7) JET AIRWAY appears to be the horse to defeat in this class after his pair of recent dominating scores. (1) MELMERBY BEACH has the speed, gets the rail and is fresh off a win. (6) CARACCI HANOVER returns to this circuit and has been pacing speedy miles south of the border. He has the speed, but may need a trip and should offer a price.

Race 13

(1) GRIN FOR MONEY hasn't raced since July 26, which is a concern, but drops in class and is very likeable in this field with the rail. (7) HOPIESDRAGNINTHEDO comes from the Auciello barn and drops in class. He's very versatile and may offer a price. (5) ROETHBLISSBERGER gets Jamieson aboard and has the speed. He tends to be inconsistent, but if the price is right, he's worth a look.

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