08/08/2013 3:14PM

Mohawk: Saturday 8/10 Analysis

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Race 4 - $75,000 Guaranteed Pick Four Pool

Best Bet: BEE A MAGICIAN (2nd)

Spot Play: SUNSHINE BEACH (10th)

Race 1

(7) LADY BLING finished second last start, by a head, and once again is a top contender for the win. This is a fairly wide-open event and she'll race from behind. (8) QUIET SNOW moves into the Reid barn and adds lasix. She doesn't like to win, but shows the speed and is very versatile. (9) WATCH THE RHYTHM comes out of Alagna's barn, has a terrific record and gets Zeron once again in the bike.

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Race 2

(10) BEE A MAGICIAN is the queen of this division and even with the outside post she's clearly the horse to beat. (6) ANGIES LUCKY STAR tired in deep stretch last week and will look for a better trip. She's got a terrific record and will be largely used for second. (2) MOTOWN MUSCLE has terrific gate-speed and that will likely be utilized from a post two start. She hasn't missed the board yet this season.

Race 3

(8) SEASIDE RORY has won half his starts this season, comes out of the Gillis barn and adds lasix. She'll attract a lot of attention. (1) PERTTY MUSIC draws inside and faces an easier group than her last start. She's capable and gets McNair In the bike. (6) WILDCAT HANNA gets post relief and has a good record this season. She'll need a trip and should provide a price.

Race 4

(6) DANIEL SEMALU is fresh off a win in a speedy time and is ready to rejoin this circuit. This class is always tough to predict, but he's a good option. (4) PIECE OF THE ROCK makes his second start back after a layoff and draws well. He'll likely race from behind and drops in class. (7) MONTE CRISTO has terrific closing speed and if he's not too far back than he's a good choice. I'd expect to see a higher price on him.

Race 5

(8) FLANAGAN MEMORY hasn't missed the board yet this season and has won against these rivals in the past. He's versatile and will offer a low price. (3) TOOCOOL FORSCHOOL draws well and if he behaves himself, he's a top choice. He's displayed the speed, but will have to find his manners. (2) THANKYOUKESSEL s fresh off a win, draws inside and gets Waples in the bike. He might offer a fair price considering his speedy victory last start.

Race 6

(1) PAN LUIS OBISPO draws inside, gets the McIntosh/Waples combination and is fresh off a winning effort. With no Love Canal in here, she looks like she's the next best. (5) MACHAROUNDTHECLOCK will need a trip, but has displayed the speed and Jamieson continues to get the call. She's a good option for second. (8) JAN IT JACKSON is fresh off a win and has the speed. She tends to be inconsistent, but is a good option for the triactor.

Race 7

(1) JJ SHARK draws the rail and drops down in class. He doesn't like to win this season, but did win at this level just three starts back. (5) IDEAL RACE draws well and finished second in this class two starts ago. He has a good record this season and a lot of back-class. (2) BESTINTHEBUSINESS is fresh off a win and looks like he can make the move back onto this circuit. He's got gate-speed and should benefit from an inside trip.

Race 8

(3) ALSACE HANOVER draws well and drops in class. He always takes a few starts to find his game, but at this level he's very hard to overlook. (9) KINDLY POET also drops in class, has the speed and won in this class three starts ago. (1) JOHNNY COME LATELY gets the rail and has hit the board in his last two of three starts. He continues to offer a big price and is capable.

Race 9

(4) MACH IT SO draws well and has a terrific win record this season. He's won his last four straight and is the horse to beat. (5) BROCKS FORTUNE has hit the board in eight of twelve starts this season and is a great option in here. He's very versatile and gets Waples. (8) MACH PRIDE has been racing much better in his last two starts. He's been put into the race and that has benefited him.

Race 10

(4) SUNSHINE BEACH will face some older horses in here, but I think he can handle it and may offer a fair price. He certainly has the speed and will likely race from off-the-pace. A short field only increases his chances. (6) MICHAELS POWER has won at this level in his last two and will likely be the favourite. Zeron chose him over (5) FEEL LIKE A FOOL, who has a terrific winning record this season. He'll likely be the first leader and has the speed. This will shape up to be a terrific race.

Race 11

(5) BEE FULLOF STEINAM won at this level two starts ago before making a break last week. She was very good two back and with a repeat effort should make her a winner. (3) BAROCKEY has a good record this season and drops in class. She has terrific gate-speed and may be able to go the distance. (7) ST LADS PEEPER comes out of the Wallace barn and faces a much easier bunch in here. She's versatile and should be very competitive in this class.

Race 12

(5) OK COMMANDER races at his best when he's put into the race and he won at this level two back. He'll get a lot of attention in here. (2) MYSTICIAN draws inside and drops out of the Preferred class. He gets the Jamieson/Gillis combination along with his backclass. (7) DRAIN DADDY is a good option for the triactor. He's got a good record this season and hasn't missed the board in his last six starts.

Race 13

(3) PARLEE BEACH has been a mystery all season. She had a terrific campaign last year as a rookie and has found herself in the bottom class on this circuit. I'm price shopping and hoping this is the start where she regains form. (5) LIVE TO DREAM won in this class last start by open lengths. MacDonald is back in the bike and she'll likely get another aggressive steer. (7) BAY GIRL has a lot of backclass and raced very well last start. That was a good final quarter and she should provide a high price once again.

 

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