07/07/2016 3:00PM

Mohawk: Saturday 7/9 Analysis

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Race 1 - $30,000 Guaranteed Pick Five Pool

Race 4 - $50,000 Guaranteed Pick Four Pool

 

20-CENT PICK 5: 4,8/2/1/1,3,5,7/2,4,6,9 = $6.40

EARLY PICK 4: 1,5,7/4,6/2,3,7/3,5,8 = $54

LATE PICK 4: 7/2,4/1,4,5/2,4,5,6,9 = $30

MEET STATS: 196 - 574 / $1026.10  BEST BETS: 34 - 53 / $108.80

SPOT PLAYS: 11 - 52 / $56.40

Best Bet: SINTRA (2nd)

Spot Play: POISONOUS (4th)

Race 1

(4) RED DOG SALOON looked like he was stymied hopelessly in traffic last time, but once free he blew by the leaders in an impressive display; call to repeat. (8) SECRECY dodges very tough foes Sintra and Piranha here. Notice a lifetime-best score in a similar class four back. (2) BLAISE MM HANOVER raced well against a couple of tough rivals last time and he should make the ticket here. (3) WICHITA LINEMAN has been on a good roll of late and is another that can fill one of the bottom exotics slots.

[DRF BETS: SPECIAL SUMMER OFFER! 3% REBATE on exotic wagers + up to a $200 Signup Bonus.]

Race 2

(2) SINTRA went a big trip last week to stretch out North America Cup champ Betting Line and this gelding will be very hard to beat here in the Summertime Final. (6) DREAMFAIR MESA got a new driver and a new approach last week and together they combined for a lifetime-best score. He is a solid bet to complete the exacta here. (7) TEDDYS SUPER TOY was motoring late last week and will be passing many of these in the final 1/4. (3) BLAYDE HANOVER is another that can pass horses late and finish on the edges.

Race 3

(1) L A DELIGHT has a big class edge on this field and should convert at a very short price. (7) GOOD WILL HANOVER didn't fare so well in a tightener last week but that is likely exactly what it was and she could improve sharply here. Notice that she did beat the choice on May 28th. (4) MAYHEM SEELSTER faces mostly easier here and should be able to make the ticket. (3) MAXIM SEELSTER looks best of the rest and can take a smaller share off a following trip.

Race 4

(7) POISONOUS paced his second 1/4 in 27 flat while making the lead last time and he paid the price for it in deep stretch. A slightly more even pace here gets him home in front. (1) FLAHERTY was a sharp winner last time aided by a good trip on the lead. He is capable of better and should be a factor here too. (5) EASY LOVER HANOVER was solid at the start of this meet and judging by his recent qualifiers he could return to good form immediately coming off the shelf. (3) DREAMY FELLA took a new life's mark in his first start out of the Weller barn and although these are tougher, he wouldn't be a total shocker here the way that barn has been going of late.

Race 5

(4) CZAR SEELSTER was a much easier winner last time than it appears on paper and he could triple up here in his current razor-sharp form. (6) YOURE MY HERO should get a good pace to chase here and he could roll by them all if some battling materializes. (2) LYONS AGAIN appears to be hitting his best form again and he isn't out of this. (9) THORN IN YOUR SIDE will likely clear early here but it's hard to say if he will last vs. these.

Race 6

(2) THATSOVERYVERYNICE looked much smoother last week when equaling her life's best beating aged mares. She can beat this group if she maintains that form. (3) BOURBON SEELSTER improves every week and looks like one of the main threats here. (7) CRACKLIN ROSIE shoots for five straight here and she did beat the choice in a similar race on June 4th when that rival broke. She is another contender in a competitive field. (1) THISORTHATHANOVER is another that has shown improvement this year and should be a threat here as well.

Race 7

(3) WAZZUP WAZZUP was visibly flying at the wire last week and he should get a better trip here racing close to the front; slight nod. (8) NIRVANA SEELSTER faces easier and will no doubt look to go right down the road here, He is a Pick 4 must-use. (5) DOVUTO HANOVER has raced well at this meet and can certainly take this with a trip. (9) AMERICAN VIRGIN has a great closing kick but he will likely be too far back early and close for a minor share here.

Race 8

(7) LINDYS NIGHTMARE has been lights out in her past three starts and will win this stakes final easily if she reproduces her June 24th mile. (8) TWENTY THREE RED was given an easy trip from the 10-hole in the second leg of the series and she is capable of much better if put into the race early (which is likely). (4) QUEEN IDEAL is a consistent closer that can get a good piece of this purse. (9) SQUARE DANCER is likely doomed by post here, but she is still capable of taking a share.

Race 9

(4) EVENIN OF PLEASURE stands a very good chance of being in his favorite spot turning home here and winning as a pocket rocket once again. (2) NICKLE BAG went a huge trip in defeat last week and is returning to his best form now; beware. (5) ELLIS PARK continues to race well but often is the victim of trip. Dead cover doomed him last week. (6) ALEXAS JACKPOT faces easier here and should take a share, at a minimum.

Race 10

(4) SPORTSMANSHIP was aggressively driven to a sharp win last week and can take another here now that he has reached his peak form. (5) SHADOW PLACE has also improved sharply recently and looks like the main threat. He can race effectively using various styles. (1) WAR N MUNN can produce an impressive brush and isn't out of this. (6) ARTHUR BLUE CHIP will likely be the first leader and if he gets a breather he could go a long way on the engine.

Race 11

(4) VELOCITY DRIVEN takes a big class plunge here and should get a good setup for his potent late kick. (2) MR CARROTS is another that gets class relief that should produce a better performance here. (6) RAFA raced better last week and he should be a speed threat here. (9) CROCADILE CANYON will be passing many of these late but may get too far back to threaten for the top spot. (5) MOONWRITER is in great form but likely takes a smaller share here as he is facing much tougher.

[DRF HARNESS LIVE: Real-time insights from the DRF Harness team this Saturday at 7:00 p.m.]