07/28/2016 2:55PM

Mohawk: Saturday 7/30 Analysis

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Race 1 - $30,000 Guaranteed Pick Five Pool

Race 4 - $50,000 Guaranteed Pick Four Pool

 

PICK 5: 2,4,10/1,4,5/2,9,10/2,4/4,8 = $21.60

EARLY PICK 4: 2,4/4,8/1,2,3,4,5/4 = $20

LATE PICK 4: 2,8/1,5,6/1,2,8/3,8,9 = $54

MEET STATS: 242 - 700 / $1288.40  BEST BETS: 41 - 66 / $129.80

SPOT PLAYS: 15 - 64 / $79.90

Best Bet: ROYAL CHARM (7th)

Spot Play: BRINGHOME THEBLUE (8th)

Race 1

(4) ALL B OVER took a passive approach last week and ended up stuck behind dead cover at the worst time. Expect a more aggressive steer here. (2) BLUSH AND CRUSH finished ahead of the choice but she had a much better trip. She's a contender here, but note she is still winless this year. (10) WARAWEE PROTON is good enough to beat these if he is right and should be a good price this time. (7) MOONBEAM HALL can take another smaller share here.

[DRF HARNESS LIVE: Real-time insights from the DRF Harness team this Saturday at 7:00 p.m.]

Race 2

(4) SHAMBALLA went a huge trip uncovered for a long time in the Haughton and he deserves top billing here, but note he has a bigger engagement next Saturday at the Meadowlands on his schedule. (1) STATE TREASURER was aggressively driven to his first win of the year last week and he can be formidable here now that he is back at the top of his game. (5) EVENIN OF PLEASURE is always a threat, especially if he lands in the pocket early. (6) NICKLE BAG is as tough as they come and would be no surprise if he bettered this placing.

Race 3

(2) P L JERICO could get a similarly good trip near the front as he did last time out when he took a new life's mark; slight nod. (9) DEWDLE ALL DAY looks like the main threat but the outer post puts her at a disadvantage. (10) SUPER ALL DAY brings a great record in from out of town but is another that must overcome a bad post. (1) MERCHANDISER figures on paper but he may need this start after missing close to a month's action.

Race 4

(2) ROCKIN IN HEAVEN faces his easiest task in many weeks and he should be tough in here. (4) ERLE DALE N also drops and would be extra dangerous if he landed in the pocket at the start here, which is quite possible. (1) ALEXAS JACKPOT will likely get a following trip here and stick around to make the ticket. (3) BOOMBOOM BALLYKEEL is another that will likely glue himself to the pylons then try to come on late.

Race 5

(4) WARAWEE ROO was driven with total confidence to an OSS Gold win last time despite enduring a tough overland trip. He should prove best here. (8) SASS gets back on the big track and could provide a stern challenge to the choice if he stays flat here. (9) MUSCLES FOR LIFE comes off a lifetime-best score, but he will likely find the top two much tougher here. (1) DUNVEGAN DON adds Lasix and should be heard from late.

Race 6

(2) LEAFS AND WINGS could get a dream setup here and vault past late using his potent finishing kick. (3) THORN IN YOUR SIDE rates highly with the class drop but must be careful not to get caught up in a speed duel with the other quick leavers in here. (4) DIALAMARA can contend if he can avoid the long trip he got last time. (5) UFDRAGONS ROCKET is another closer that might benefit from an expected quick early pace here.

Race 7

(4) ROYAL CHARM is the best filly in this race and need only be provided with a reasonable trip to win another here. (1) CATCH A MISSION is racing well and will likely break through with a win soon but may find the choice too tough here. (3) SMASH HIT can close late again and make the ticket vs. these. (6) WANAKA comes off a very good but now has missed five weeks; tough call.

Race 8

(8) BRINGHOME THEBLUE was mired on excess cover in his comeback race but showed some grit and kept coming late. Don't be shocked if Drury sends him this time. (2) WALTZKING HANOVER comes off a sharp win where he pressed fast splits; using. (5) NEWBIE comes off an improved effort and his record suggests he has a nose for the wire; beware. (4) ST LADS LOTTO outclassed a field out of town, winning eased up. He can contend if he stays on gait which he sometimes has issues with.

Race 9

(5) CRUISE PATROL has obviously figured things out in his last three starts and he should be tough in here. (1) PIRAHNA continues to roll right along and has to be considered here starting from the inside. (6) MAJOR HILL faces easier and adds Lasix but he has missed three weeks and the top two are no slouches. (3) THREE RIVERS DELL is a consistent check earner but he faces much tougher here and will likely only take a smaller share.

Race 10

(1) VELOCITY DRIVEN tried to go down the road last week and he almost lasted despite being hounded throughout. He can likely work out a better trip here and beat these. (8) DRACHAN HANOVER has shown improvement this month and is a contender here despite the post. (2) AMERICAN ROCK will get tripped out by Filion and win his first of the year one of these weeks; maybe tonight? (7) PRINCE CLYDE steps up off a sharp win but will need to show more late to win this.

Race 11

(3) POISONOUS couldn't chase down a stubborn leader late last time but the pace was accelerating and he had to circle up off bad cover. He should get a better trip here and convert. (9) EASY LOVER HANOVER staved off the choice last week and will look to do the same here. Respect his good form. (8) NOCTURNAL BLUECHIP was flying late last time. He could get his first win of the year here if he is within range turning home. (6) PRINT MEDIA is a threat to sit the pocket and pounce late; using. (5) ELECTRIC WESTERN is a good one to use on the bottom of tris, supers and high-5's.

[MEADOWLANDS: Watch the Hambletonian Oaks Eliminations and entire Meadowlands card--Live on DRF!]