07/21/2016 3:00PM

Mohawk: Saturday 7/23 Analysis

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Race 1 - $30,000 Guaranteed Pick Five Pool

Race 4 - $50,000 Guaranteed Pick Four Pool

 

PICK 5: 6,7/1,4,5/3,8,9/6,7,8/1,2 = $21.60

EARLY PICK 4: 6,7,8/1,2/5,7,8/5,6,7 = $54

LATE PICK 4: 8/5,6/3,4,6,7/1,4,7 = $24

MEET STATS: 228 - 668 / $1197.00  BEST BETS: 38 - 62 / $120.70

SPOT PLAYS: 14 - 61 / $76.60

Best Bet: BETTING LJNE (8th)

Spot Play: WAR N MUNN (6th)

Race 1

(6) ALL B OVER is worth a try here off the claim in a suspect field. He should get an aggressive steer. (7) R CHOOCHOO CHARLIE faced much better at Georgian on Tuesday night when unplaced and he rates highly here if he goes. (1) GIRL DRAMA has a much better chance in here than last time when Warawee Proton ripped off a quick mile for the class. (3) BLUSH AND CRUSH will share here if she stays flat, but notice the breaks in two of her last three starts,

[SARATOGA: Watch Bit Of A Legend N take on Wiggle It Jiggleit in Saturday's Gerrity--Live on DRF!]

Race 2

(1) AMERICAN VIRGIN roared home to beat easier last week and he could be up to this step into the top class. He should get a decent pace to chase here and he should be a square price. (5) NICKLE BAG continues to race tough but rarely gets an easy trip. He's is hard to leave out but could get out-tripped here again. (4) STATE TREASURER faces easier looking for his first win of the season and can't be discounted, but, what price would you take? (6) ROCKIN IN HEAVEN also faces easier and should stick around for a share here.

Race 3

(8) ROYAL CHARM stayed in during a critical point of the race last week then was required to fly home late and still just missed in a great effort. She can win this but it's hard to gauge intent at this point of the stakes season. (9) MANOFMANYIMAGES also is in great form, but is in the same boat as the choice from the intent standpoint. I think you need to go deeper than these two on Pick 5 tickets, especially considering their posts. (3) MASS BALANCE faces easier here and is another to toss onto multi-race bets. (4) THE LAND SHARK is a speed threat but he was easily handled by Manofmanyimages last time out.

Race 4

(7) BRING ME DIAMONDS tried it first up and failed vs. last year's two-year-old champ last time. She has a much better chance here. (8) SHOW TIME HILL faced some good ones in several races down south and she should find this company to her liking. (6) MANIANA has hit her best stride in her last two starts and she should get a good trip on or near the lead here; using. (4) HAWAIIAN DRUMMOND ships in off a sharp win and goes for Moreau here. She faces much tougher but can take a share.

Race 5

(1) ARTHUR BLUE CHIP stands a decent chance of making the front early and controlling things here with the drop in class. (2) DUC DORLEANS is another that should get a far more aggressive steer here with the class drop; using. (4) MOONWRITER has consistently been hitting the board in the past month and he should do the same here off a following trip. (7) THUNDER STEELER figures vs. these but he may not get the easiest trip from out there.

Race 6

(7) WAR N MUNN was first up last time vs. some salty older rivals which should serve as a perfect tightener for this sires stakes and he should be a square price here. (5) NVESTMENT BLUE CHIP and (8) VORACITY both escape Magnum J here and should be used in the Pick 4. They rate highly in this field. (2) GERRIES SPORT finished ahead of the choice last time off an easier trip. He isn't impossible here but I think he finishes on the edges.

Race 7

(5) MAPLELEA is in sharp form and draws the middle of the gate here which should make a huge difference for her; top call. (6) LIGHTS GO OUT will appreciate the class drop here and she should get put into play earlier here. (7) MARLEE B is another to consider on the class drop. She should be blasting off the gate here. (9) A PLUS can close from far back for a smaller share here.

Race 8

(8) BETTING LINE is tough to go against in this company but he is sure to be a prohibitive favorite again. (7) SINTRA gave the choice a decent battle on July 2nd and he is likely to complete another chalky exacta here. (6) MAGNUM J unleashed a furious wide rally to get up last week and looks next best here. (3) ARSENIC should get a decent trip near the front and hang around late for a slice.

Race 9

(5) POISONOUS steps up off a lifetime-best score but he could be up to beating these if provided with a similarly aggressive drive here. (6) CONTINUAL HANOVER left then took a shuffle last time in a race where many were bunched up at the wire. He figures here vs. mostly easier. (3) RAFA also faces easier here and should be prominent early. (8) ASAP HANOVER is a good one to toss on the bottom of tris and supers despite him having missed some time.

Race 10

(4) JENKINS CREEK was out a long way last week before he made the front and he paid the price late in the mile. He should trip better here and is a big threat. (3) VEGAS ROCKS has come to life the past few weeks and Zeron could get him out much closer to the pace this time; using. (7) VELOCITY DRIVEN's late kick could play much better in this field; using. (6) DRACHAN HANOVER steps up off his first win of the year and the 2nd-place finisher came back to win here on Tuesday. He could better this placing.

Race 11

(1) DREAMFAIR MESA would be very tough to beat here if he reproduced his effort from two races back. It's not easy to predict, so I'll give him a slight nod over (4) PIRANHA, who should get a much better trip this time. (7) DERECHO was beaten by a pretty good one last time and he should be prominent on or near the front here. (3) BLAYDE HANOVER should be closing late for a good piece of this. (5) BROOKDALE SONNY can leave, take a tuck then stick around for a share.

[DRF HARNESS LIVE: Real-time insights from the DRF Harness team this Saturday at 7:00 p.m.]