06/30/2016 4:09PM

Mohawk: Saturday 7/2 Analysis


Race 1 - $30,000 Guaranteed Pick Five Pool

Race 4 - $50,000 Guaranteed Pick Four Pool


20-CENT PICK 5: 1,6,8/4/1,2,3,4,6/1,2,7,8/1,3,8,10 = $48

EARLY PICK 4: 1,2,7,8/1,3,8,10/3/2,4 = $32

LATE PICK 4: 6/3,4/1,3,6,9/2,3,6,8 = $32

MEET STATS: 172 - 520 / $934.00  BEST BETS: 31 - 49 / $104.60

SPOT PLAYS: 9 - 48 / $49.20

Best Bet: BETTING LINE (8th)


Race 1

(6) AMAZING CONTROL raced evenly a class higher now drops back to the bottom level where she should show speed. She is one of many that could win the opener. (8) MISCHIEVIOUSGIRLS closed well off excess cover last time and she will get there in the class one of these times when the pace falls apart late. (1) CASE DISMISSED didn't show much after taking lots of action last out but she gets the stable's main driver now who could wake her up. (3) ST LADS PENNY LANE closed a lot of ground in the back 1/2 last week which could be a signal that a top effort is coming.

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Race 2

(4) MAJOR HILL couldn't keep pace with his stablemate late in the race last week but that rival is in another division tonight and this gelding should be prominent here. (1) SOME GOLD was first-up in the same race and finished on even terms with the choice. He should be the main threat. (3) BLAYDE HANOVER should be much closer early here which gives him a better chance. (5) WHATASHOWINONTARIO raced okay from the 11-hole vs. many of these now gets a chance to show his early speed in a short field. He should share.

Race 3

(1) CROCADILE CANYON gets to drop in class again and he returns to a 7-day cycle here. Expect Zeron to start this gelding's move earlier. (4) VEGAS ROCKS went a big trip vs. a strong winner last week and he should be tough in here. (6) SPORTSMANSHIP has returned to his best form and will be passing many of these late. (2) AMERICAN ROCK couldn't hold off a strong first-over challenger last time but he should take another share here from on or close to the pace.

Race 4

(2) LYONS RIVER PRIDE wasn't far back vs. the top sophomore pacing fillies in North America last time. She should appreciate the easier company here. (1) NAUGHTY LADY B had speed both early and late in a sharp win and she should get a good trip here from the inside. (7) PARTY IN ROME can factor here from on or off the pace. (8) FREE SHOW raced better last time and is another speed threat here.

Race 5

(1) BET YA closed a big gap vs. a dominant winner now moves inside nine posts and should get put into this race much earlier; slight nod. (8) DELIGHTFUL HILL went a big trip on the rim in the same race and would be very tough if she could clear early here. (3) LEGAL PROCESS steps up off a win for a very hot barn and she shouldn't be taken lightly. (10) GOOD WILL HANOVER faces easier here but also must deal with post 10; tricky call.

Race 6

(3) MAGNUM J paced his back 1/2 in 52 2/5 in the North America Cup and still couldn't get close. He is a solid bet to go right down the road here. (6) PRINT MEDIA has one win this season, but notice that victory came in an OSS Gold race similar to this one. (8) SEMI AUTOMATIC was flying late last time and should be closing again here for a share. (5) NVESTMENT BLUECHIP has improving form and should share here.

Race 7

(4) MACH CODE is in top form and can race well using a variety of styles; call to repeat. (2) DUC DORLEANS drops and will likely be sent hard early here. He is the main danger. (3) COOL ROCK couldn't withstand the winner's powerful brush last week. He will likely look for a helmet to follow here and take a share. (5) ASAP HANOVER failed as a big chalk when trying a brush-and-crush move last week. He could do better here with a different trip.

Race 8

North America Cup champ (6) BETTING LINE surfaces vs. OSS competition here; enough said. (7) SINTRA has been spectacular so far this year but would need to shave a few more seconds off here to beat the choice. He likely completes a puny exacta. (8) PIRANHA has been in top form also and could challenge for the place spot. (2) WAR N MUNN has had a productive campaign and he should share here.

Race 9

(3) ELLIS PARK and (4) REVEREND HANOVER meet again and will likely settle this late similar to the race two back. Give a slight edge to the choice who has a recency edge. (6) EVENIN OF PLEASURE raced big in the Gold Cup and can't be counted out, but he may not land in his favored pocket slot early here. (2) ROCKIN IN HEAVEN looks next best and can share off a following trip.

Race 10

(6) THATSOVERYVERYNICE raced tough first-over last week to gut out a win and may be good for another here with the slight step up in class. (3) BAROCKEY should be leaving here with the move inside and that makes her dangerous. (1) P L HURRICANE fell just short in a blanket finish last time. She can be close here too and may leave much better this time. (9) RIDE AWAY SHARK was motoring late last week and she could leave here and get a spot near the front early. She is in with an upset chance.

Race 11

(6) ERLE DALE N dodges Reverend Hanover here and he should be a big pace threat vs. these. (2) PIERCE HANOVER blew the field away with a powerful third 1/4 move last time. He should be one of the main players here. (8) WAZZUP WAZZUP drops slightly and should be blasting early looking for a spot near the front. (3) SHADES OF BAY could show much more early zip here leaving from the inside.

Race 12

(7) DIALAMARA was in a good spot last time but couldn't pass when the pace accelerated noticeably late. With the slight drop in class he could be sent on a speed mission here. (2) MOONWRITER was confidently-driven to win last week and can be a threat again here now that he has found his best form. (4) NEW YORK NIGHTMARE was claimed by a potent outfit and he could make some noise here at a price. (3) VITAL SIGN will be passing many of these late and the faster they go early, the better it is for him. (1) UFDRAGONS ROCKET steps back up off a loss but his form is good enough that he can take a minor share here.

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