07/14/2016 4:16PM

Mohawk: Saturday 7/16 Analysis


Race 1 - $30,000 Guaranteed Pick Five Pool

Race 4 - $50,000 Guaranteed Pick Four Pool


PICK 5: 3,4,9/3,4/2,3,6/3,6,10/5,6 = $21.60

EARLY PICK 4: 3,6,10/5,6/2,3,7/3,4,10 = $54

LATE PICK 4: 4,5/8/1,4,8/2,5,8,9,10 = $30

MEET STATS: 207 - 615 / $1084.50  BEST BETS: 35 - 57 / $111.90

SPOT PLAYS: 11 - 56 / $56.40

Best Bet: MAGNUM J (9th)

Spot Play: POISONOUS (11th)

Race 1

(4) LOVETHEWAYYOULOOK debuts for the Weller barn in what looks like a wide-open race; slight nod on the barn change angle. (9) MISS COCO LUCK scratched sick last week when she was scheduled to drop to this lowest conditioned level. She was my Best Bet that night but now I am a bit leery with the time off and outer post. (3) SHELLYSSILVERMOON should contend at this level and will likely be pushed early to get a spot near the front; using. (1) CALL IT COURAGE is usually close when racing in this class but she has a poor win record.

[MEADOWLANDS: Watch the Meadowlands Pace & entire stakes-filled Saturday card--Live on DRF!]

Race 2

(4) CAPRICE HILL tuned up for this with a sharp qualifier on July 5th and she is quite simply the fastest filly in here when she is right. (3) WANAKA closed sharply last time in mixed company and appears to be the main threat to the choice, if one exists. (5) EMOTICON HANOVER has been on a pretty good roll but she would need to trot considerably faster here to threaten the choice. (6) DEWDLE ALL DAY will be closing late for a smaller share here.

Race 3

(2) ROYAL CHARM has shown gameness closing to win her last two starts and she might be a better price here stepping into stakes action for the first time; top call. (3) DOTTIE was patiently driven to a win that was easier than it looks on paper and she should be a top contender here. (6) TYMAL TEMPEST's barn change paid immediate dividends last start. Toss her on Pick 5 tickets. (4) CATCH A MISSION improved last time and was only nailed late in the mile by the choice. She's not out of this contentious OSS Gold dash.

Race 4

(3) MUCH ADOO left hard last time then followed along once overtaken for the lead but she could not bridge the gap on the leader late. Dropping in class here gives her a good chance to score. (6) DELIGHTFUL HILL was the first leader in that same mile, took a big shuffle then finished willingly. Toss her on your multi-race tickets. (10) MAPLELEA was cleverly driven to a win from the same post last week and is in great from but you know she will likely need to pass them all again here. (1) BET YA should work out a trip for a share here.

Race 5

(6) ALEXAS JACKPOT had no shot last time coming from last after a moderate first 1/2 was cut. He is capable of much better vs. these and can get into the race earlier. (5) NIRVANA SEELSTER loves Mohawk and can't be left alone on the lead too long or he will be tough to overhaul. (3) AMERICAN VIRGIN can take a good share here if he minds his manners this time. (4) ARTHUR BLUE CHIP moves up off a solid win but may have trouble making the front here - which is where he does his best work.

Race 6

(3) GRIN FOR MONEY meets easier here and there appears to be plenty of early speed lined up to set up his late charge; top call. (2) YOURE MY HERO is another that can benefit from a slowing late pace here; using. (7) JENKINS CREEK is on top of his game and doesn't need the lead to win. He merits inclusion here as he could ride a pocket trip to the winners circle. (8) C S EYE meets tougher here and could get strung out early in the mile; minor share predicted.

Race 7

(4) THE DARK SHADOW broke while on the move last time as a big chalk. He can make amends here if he stays flat. (10) CALVIN K has been perfect so far and is an obvious one to include on Pick 4 tickets despite his post. (3) PLAY FOR GOLD showed grit and determination digging in to notch his maiden win in his debut. He's another to consider for Pick 4 bets. (1) YOGI BAYAMA closed sharply to win in his second start and is yet another contender to consider here.

Race 8

(4) SPORTS COLUMN was an impressive winner in his 2nd start and should prove tough to beat again here off that sharp score. (5) HAPPY TRIO wasn't far behind the choice last time and he could get a similar trip here and complete the exacta. (1) MC MACH was a sharp debut winner vs. Grassroots competition. His rivals here could prove to be considerably tougher. (6) BIG BAD BILL looks best of the rest here.

Race 9

(8) MAGNUM J was the easiest kind of winner vs. similar last time and he will take some beating here. (5) NVESTMENT BLUE CHIP escaped late to close for a non-threatening 2nd to the choice and he could complete another chalky exacta here. (6) INSPIRATION VIEW has been racing well vs. lesser but will likely find the top two tough to beat here. (3) VORACITY can follow along for a share here again.

Race 10

(4) THUNDER STEELER was never in danger last week while leading all the way and he could take another while in good form. (1) MOHAWK WARRIOR takes a substantial class drop and is the obvious danger. (8) COOL ROCK will be winding up from the back turning home and would benefit if any dueling develops down the backside. (6) SHADOW PLACE is in solid form but he seems more likely to nab a smaller share here.

Race 11

(9) POISONOUS was given little chance last time the way he was driven. Perhaps he leaves this time which could result in a win at a square price. (5) WICHITA LINEMAN couldn't chase down a leader that stole a slow first 1/2 last week but he remains in good form and is a big threat here. (2) CAJON THOMAS looks well-prepped to contend immediately following a break; using. (8) DERECHO can leave for position and stick around for a small share and (10) TEDDYS SUPER TOY can close from the back and fill one of the lower exotics rungs.

[DRF HARNESS LIVE: Real-time insights from the DRF Harness team this Saturday at 6:30 p.m.]