07/11/2013 2:07PM

Mohawk: Saturday 7/13 Analysis


Race 4 - $75,000 Guaranteed Pick Four Pool

Best Bet: LOVE CANAL (2nd)

Spot Play: OK FANTASTIC (9th)

Race 1

(10) KENNEL BUDDY draws outside, but has gate-speed and the talent to win. He's fresh off a convincing score and has a good record this season. (7) WINDSONG INVINCEBL has a solid record this season, comes out of the Wallace barn and has been very consistent. (3) MAGIC LINDY draws inside and will look to put her best foot forward. She hasn't gotten off to the best start in 2013, but I think she can get a piece of it.

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Race 2

(7) LOVE CANAL looks like the queen of the Ontario-sired filly division in here and will likely be the favourite. When she's racing against her division rivals, she's on her game. (2) PAN LUIS OBISPO draws inside, comes out of the McIntosh barn and has missed the board just once from six starts this season. (8) BJS SWEETHEART is very capable in here, in my opinion. She has the speed, will need the right trip and she's got a solid closing kick.

Race 3

(6) CAMILLE has a terrific win record this season and comes out of the Burke barn. She's a class mare and has been racing very well lately. (5) ROCKLAMATION also comes out of the Burke stable, has over $1 million made and hasn't been worse than second in each of her last four starts. (4) ANNDROVETTE likely will set the tempo and I think she's at her best when she's on the front. She's a top candidate in here and can't be counted out.

Race 4

(6) CAMS TUX won in 1:49 3/5 two starts ago and paced home in :25 4/5 in his latest start. He's coming into this race off a pair of very good racelines and might offer a fair price. (5) ROCK CAMROLLER got a terrific trip last start to finish second from MacDonald. He was only beaten a neck for the win and with a repeat effort, he's once again a threat. (3) R GAUWITZ HANOVER draws inside and has been knocking on the door in his last three starts. He's a great option for the triactor.

Race 5

(10) ROAR is my top pick in here even with a post 10 start. He debuted for the Coleman barn last start, won in 1:49 4/5 and looks like the best horse in this race. (4) MACH IT SO draws inside and has a terrific record this season. He's very versatile and comes from top connections. (3) VALIDUS DEO draws inside and is very versatile. He shows enough speed and finishes his miles very strong.

Race 6

(3) BEST IMPRESSIONS comes out of the Wallace barn and has a terrific win record this season. She draws inside, has won two straight and has terrific gate-speed. (5) MACHAROUNDTHECLOCK raced very well last start from a post nine start. She should be even better this week given that it's her third start back. (10) JETTIN JAMIE has terrific gate-speed and will need it to overcome post 10. She won last week and with a clean trip, she's a top threat in here.

Race 7

Trainer Austin said the difference-maker in (1) SPARKY MARK was taking away the lasix. The horse returned to his stable once again last week and it resulted in a victory at 25-1. (2) BIGTIME BALL draws inside, has back-class and has been pacing very speedy miles. He's a logical contender for second. (9) OK COMMANDER raced at his best when he's put into the race. McNair will likely utilize his gate-speed.

Race 8

(6) SIMPLY BUSINESS has to overcome post 10 last week and managed to finish second. He draws much better, comes out of the Moreau barn and faces a group that he's very capable of beating. (10) FANTADDY draws outside, but comes out of the Norman barn and drops in class. I'm hoping for value on him. (8) RHOMBUS raced very well in his latest despite a post 11 start and tough trip. A repeat effort and he's a major contender.

Race 9

(3) OK FANTASTIC won last week on the front end and was very impressive in doing so. He draws well and will look for a repeat effort. (4) GALLANT SEELSTER hasn't missed the board yet this season and continues to race very well. He's very versatile and should benefit from a good trip. (2) TARPON HANOVER hasn't been at his best this season, but has only missed the board once from five starts. He draws well and will need a trip.

Race 10

(3) DROP THE BALL hasn't been at her best this season, but she raced very well last week and should be even better this week that it's her second week on this circuit. (7) KRISPY APPLE draws outside, but enjoys racing from off-the-pace. If the speed is honest, I like her chances that much more. (4) ECONOMY TERROR has been racing very well this season. She's a great option for the triactor and likely won't offer much of a price.

Race 11

(3) DRAIN DADDY did all the work on the front last week before giving up the lead in deep stretch. He draws well once again and likely will get the same type of steer. (7) DRESS THE PART raced very well last week and should be even better this week that it's his fourth start back this season. He comes out of the McIntosh barn, which can't be overlooked. (6) MAJOR HOTTIE has a lot of back-class and drops in class. He hasn't been very consistent, but is a good option in here with the class drop.

Race 12

(7) CASIMIR JITTERBUG returns to this circuit and has a good record this season. He enjoys racing from behind and has terrific closing speed. (5) TOP GEAR has a solid record this season and hit the board in this class last week. He paced a sub-1:50 mile and that will only decrease his price. (9) DAPPER DUDE makes his third start of the season and although he moves up in class, he's a great option for the triactor. He's very versatile and gets the McIntosh/Waples combination.

Race 13

(5) SHELBYS COBRA moves into a condition off the claim, but he scored a win last week in a very good time. A repeat effort should be quick enough to win. (8) GRIN FOR MONEY got away too far back last week, but closed very well. If he's better positioned, he's capable. (10) STOMPIN TOM CREEK went to the back last week and wasn't effective. He drops in class and if he's put into the race, he's capable in this bottom class. He's also got a good record this season from 21 starts.



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