06/02/2016 4:22PM

Mohawk: Saturday 6/4 Analysis

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Race 1 - $30,000 Guaranteed Pick Five Pool

Race 4 - $50,000 Guaranteed Pick Four Pool

 

PICK 5: 1,4,6/8/3,7/2,3,4/1,4,5,6,10 = $18

EARLY PICK 4: 2,3,4/1,4,5,6,10/2/5,7 = $30

LATE PICK 4: 3,4,9/4,5/1,3,4,7/3,8 = $48

MEET STATS: 104 - 325 / $590.20  BEST BETS: 18 - 31 / $65.60

SPOT PLAYS: 5 - 31 / $32.80

Best Bet: BETTING LINE (6th)   Spot Play: HIGHLANDBEACHYCOVE (8th)

Race 1

(1) WAR N MUNN started up too late at London but returning to his favorite track he could get a great trip here and rebound at a much better price. (6) RACING HILL was only a nose short in his seasonal debut in a quick mile. It appears he is prepping for the upcoming North America Cup here and will be looking for a good result. (4) ASAP HANOVER has rebounded with several good miles this season after racing only once last year and should get a piece of this. (2) YORK SEELSTER has improved tremendously in his last two starts and is another that can contend for a good share here.

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Race 2

(8) GOOD WILL HANOVER was a very impressive winner last week, easily beating last year’s 2-year-old champ. If she can produce anything close to that mile, she will be very tough to beat here. (2) THATSOVERYVERYNICE had an impossible trip last week and could make no headway while racing wide late. She should rebound moving to an inside post and could make things interesting. (5) LAY LADY LAY was a sharp third to the choice and has improved quite a bit this year. She should be in the exacta or tri. (1) LADY MARINA should be able to take a share off a following trip here.

Race 3

(7) L A DELIGHT couldn’t keep up to a filly that was in the process of setting a new season’s mark for sophomore pacing fillies. Last year’s champ should bounce back here with an improved effort. (3) MAYHEM SEELSTER displayed some serious speed both early and late in her mile last week and would be no surprise. (5) BRING ME DIAMONDS goes for five straight but gets an acid test here; minor award predicted. (6) TONIGHTIMLOVINGYOU lost two straight to the same hot filly and dodges her here, so she should improve and take a share.

Race 4

(4) SHAMBALLA comes off a season’s best mile and would be hard to beat here if he can reproduce that mile. He also should get a good setup for his traditional closing move. (2) STATE TREASURER was stopped dead in his tracks by a horse that pulled then went backwards in the Molson Pace. He is due for some better luck and has beaten most of these many times before. (3) NICKLE BAG has been a win machine this year and the extra week off could help this hard hitter. (8) EVENIN OF PLEASURE parlayed an excellent drive and great trip into Molson Pace glory last week, but has his work cut out here starting from the outermost post.

Race 5

(4) HONOR AND SERVE went a big first up trip last time and kept coming. He should bring a good price here and is worth a stab in a contentious field. (1) CRESCENT FASHION is another that raced tough first-over and is coming up to this race perfectly; using. (6) CANEPA HANOVER flew home last time and won the Simcoe stakes here last year. He is another contender that should be used in the Pick 4. (5) MUSICAL RHYTHM returns to his home base and isn’t out of this, but he is unlikely to be left alone up front for too long.

Race 6

(2) BETTING LINE has been very impressive in his two races leading up to the start of stakes season and should beat this group on his way to the North America Cup. (3) AMERICAN PASSPORT is one I have always liked and he could give the choice a scare if he behaves here. (7) MICHAELS VICTORY uncorked some serious speed late last week to upset a big favourite, but it’s dicey that he could get the same perfect trip here. (9) NVESTMENT BLUECHIP was victimized by a speed favoring surface last time and should improve here.

Race 7

(5) LISVINNIE has been on fire the past two starts and can take another here despite facing better if he produces similar speed. (7) IDEAL JET motored home last week and is on the improve; using. (8) SHIPPEN OUT has raced decently for Moreau and can take a share here. (9) CHEYENNE REIDER should be passing many of these down the lane and can make the tri or super.

Race 8

(9) HIGHLANDBEACHYCOVE has started his season impressively and has the speed to overcome the outside post here; upset special. (3) LYONS SNYDER comes off a big win in the slop at Pocono and is another with high speed that could take this. (4) CONTROL THE MOMENT – winner of 8 of 9 last year losing only in the Breeders Crown in his last start – is the one to beat, but is no lock here in his seasonal debut. (6) MAJOR HILL took a new life’s mark last week and is another that has been racing well and can contend here.

Race 9

(5) FREAKY FEET PETE went a long trip at Northfield and hung in there okay. He picks up Zeron here and will be formidable. (4) DUDES THE MAN started the season with a solid win. He is the main threat to the choice, if there is one. (6) ROCKIN IN HEAVEN should get a good spot near the front early and stick around for a share. (3) AMERICANPRIMETIME exits a quick mile where he was closing late and is another to consider for the exotics.

Race 10

(1) JINS SHARK was flying late last week and should get a decent pace to stalk here; slight nod. (4) ALEXAS JACKPOT is razor-sharp at the moment and was an easy winner last week; using. (7) WAZZUP WAZZUP left hard then took a shuffle last week. He could fare better here if he blasts early then accepts the pocket. (3) VELOCITY DRIVEN shows a rapid final 1/4 last time but often falls victim to pace and traffic issues; smaller share predicted.

Race 11

(3) HIS BOY ELROY should be able to leave a bit better here, which gives him a chance to chase these down late. (8) ERLE DALE N was an impressive winner last time despite missing three weeks and looks like the main threat. (1) THUNDER STEELER moves in nine slots for his second start of the year and stands a much better chance here. (5) DUC DORLEANS just missed last week and should close for a share here now that he has reached his best form. (6) ST LADS LOTTO took a new life’s mark last week, has excelled here for trainer/driver Ryan and isn’t out of this.