06/25/2015 2:25PM

Mohawk: Saturday 6/27 Analysis

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Race 4 - $50,000 Guaranteed Pick Four Pool

EARLY PICK 4:

2,3,4,5,7/2,8,10/1,2,4/7 = $45

 

LATE PICK 4: 4,6/4,5,6,7,8/5,7,8/4 = $30

MEET STATS: 133 - 433 / $798.60 BEST BETS: 16 - 38 / $54.80  SPOT PLAYS: 5 - 36 / $50.40

Best Bet: MAH SISH H (7th)

Spot Play: MIRAMONTMAN (11th)

Race 1

(4) SECOND SISTER tried to race with the best 3YO filly trotter in the province last time but couldn't match her late speed in the stretch. She looks best here and will be tough to beat if she minds her manners. (2) MEADOW SEELSTER exits a highly-rated dash where she was prominent until late. She is the main foe to the choice. (3) CLIMB HIGHER won a Preferred 3 at Georgian last time and could threaten the top two if close enough turning home.

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Race 2

(5) WILDCAT HANNA closed a lot of ground late into a pace that wasn't slowing. Look for regular pilot Christoforou to send this one for position early in a field seemingly bereft of leavers. (3) BET YA takes a big class drop and is the one to beat but will likely also be a very short price. (2) ADDISON BAY has been very sharp since returning to the circuit in late May. She should get a good trip here and will be closing fast late.

Race 3

(4) BUCKEROO could do no better than 5th last week despite pacing his final 3/4 in 1:21 2/5. He is obviously sharp and most likely will be a better price tonight; top call. (6) AMERICAN PAPARAZZI made two moves last week to win and although the margin was only a neck, he never looked in danger of losing in the stretch. He's the main threat. (1) PRESCOTTS HOPE is a bit of a head-scratcher after knocking 4 seconds off his final time in a week then being scratched by the judges the following week.

Race 4

(2) WILDCAT BEAUTY was on cover last time in a good spot and hung a bit late. She gets class relief here and is likely to leave hard looking for a spot near the front. That's when she's most dangerous; top call. (7) KISS ME OR NOT also drops from the Mares Preferred to a level where she is more dangerous and also likely to be placed in a contending spot early. (4) BEACH GAL took big action in the top class and wasn't far back. She's still winless this year but getting closer.

Race 5

(10) CANTABS FORTUNE raced much better Tuesday night from this post to close late for third and will be a top contender here if she goes on three days' rest. (2) J CS JAKE's recent form is pretty good and he gets class and post relief here. His 6% win average the past two years is uninspiring however so beware taking too short a price in the win pool. (8) QUIT SMOKING NOW drops back to the class where he was a close second three back and should be kept on pick 4 tickets.

Race 6

(4) CAMAES FELLOW drops into a class where he should be prominent throughout either on the lead or in the pocket. (2) PUSH BACK went from 1st to 6th in the final 1/8th last week despite pacing his final 1/4 in 26 4/5. He should have a better fate here from close range. (1) WAZZUP WAZZUP was the benefactor when a seemingly home-free leader broke stride turning home. Still, he's hot at the moment and should be on pick 4 tickets.

Race 7

It's hard to believe a horse racing in a middle conditioned class could pace his final 3/4 in 1:20 2/5 and his back half in :52 3/5 and not pick up a check but that's what (7) MAH SISH N did last week. Third start over Mohawk should be the charm with a class drop; top call. (8) IDEAL JET was ahead of the choice in the same race and his good closing power should be respected. (10) RESISTANCE FUTILE looked like he had that race locked up but broke stride coming off the last turn. He has high speed but is erratic due to his gait issues.

Race 8

(4) ROCKIN IN HEAVEN lays over this field and it's hard to see him getting beat if the intent in this first leg of the Summertime series. (6) POISONOUS was impressive in victory Monday night despite missing more than 5 weeks. He looks like the only one that might be able to threaten, if there is any. (2) MYSTICAL JET closed well to the one above and comes into this sharp. The top two are likely too tough for him though.

Race 9

(4) MACH CODE was a good third at Clinton last Sunday in a Grassroots event and had previously won two straight here easily. He looks best vs. these. (8) SPORTING THE LOOK has had several adventurous trips so far this season after a very productive rookie campaign. He will wake up at some point, maybe tonight? (5) SPORTS LIGHTNING closed rapidly at Clinton in his best effort of the year. He can threaten late.

Race 10

(5) WINDS OF CHANGE stepped up to this class last week and easily blew by his foes down the lane to take a new life's mark. He is as sharp as a racehorse can be right now and gets top billing. (7) EVENIN OF PLEASURE grabbed a check in the Gold Cup despite suffering interference early in the stretch. He is dangerous here from close range. It's hard to decide what to do with (8) SHAMBALLA after the judges scratch last week and with him drawing the outer post here. He will still take action, so, with those factors considered we'll try to beat him out of the exacta.

Race 11

(4) MIRAMONTMAN didn't race terribly last week on excess cover now drops in class and returns on a 7-day cycle. We'll give him another chance here but the price likely drops. (1) REASONABLE FORCE has put together two excellent miles since the claim and is a top contender here. (8) MACH PRIDE exits a rapid mile and moves into Auciello's barn. He can threaten here. (5) LEAFS AND WINGS drops in class and should get a piece of this with his good late speed. (10) SUNNY BEACH DAY almost never wins but typically passes horses late for a check which is probable here.

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