06/15/2017 1:53PM

Mohawk: Saturday 6/17 Analysis

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Best Bet: HANNELORE HANOVER (3rd)

Spot Play: CONTINUAL HANOVER (1st)

Race 1 - $50,000 Guaranteed Pick Five Pool

Race 4 - $50,000 Guaranteed Pick Four Pool

Race 9 - $100,000 Guaranteed Pick Four Pool

20-CENT PICK 5: 3,6,7/2,3,7,9/4/2,3,6,7/2,3,7,8,10 = $48

EARLY PICK 4: 2,3,6,7/2,3,7,8,10/1,3/6 = $40

$100K PICK 4: 3,4,5/1,2,4/4/2,3,4,8 = $36

LATE PICK 4: 2,3,4,8/2,4,6,7/1,4,7/6 = $48

MEET STATS: 125 - 397 / $703.20  BEST BETS: 17 - 38 / $64.70

SPOT PLAYS: 17 - 38 / $89.50

Race 1

(6) CONTINUAL HANOVER gets a barn change following a recent private sale and he picked up Gingras at scratch time. This field is within his reach and Gingras may try to brush and crush going down the backside; top call. (7) NICKLE BAG impressively circled the field last week and it appears the brief break has helped him get back on track. He is a major player in this class. (3) BLATANTLY BEST raced over his head after reeling off three straight vs. easier. He fits better here and he should be heard from. (5) MACH CODE was a winner in this class two starts back, but, that field was likely easier than this one; small share predicted.

Race 2

(3) KIWI FOCUS N drops to a class where she should be forwardly placed early and she can win leading or coming off cover late; slight nod. (7) OUR HOT MAJORETTE has hit her best stride and is a strong candidate to repeat coming right back in the same class. (9) SELLING THE DREAM is better closing off cover and she is likely to get that type of trip here. She is in with an upset chance here. (2) D GS PESQUERO switches to Moreau and Roy here which is good enough reason to include her on your Pick 5 tickets.

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Race 3

(4) HANNELORE HANOVER is back on track and it wouldn't shock if she produced a performance similar to her World Record score in this race here last year. (3) CHARMED LIFE has as many wins (4) in seven starts this year as she recorded all last year. She looks next best here. (7) BROADWAY DONNA makes her third start over the track and she should get a better trip here. She should make the ticket, at least. (9) CAPRICE HILL rarely missed the board and her sharp early speed always puts her in the mix early. She could better this prediction.

Race 4

(6) REGAL SON showed big speed early last time racing against better, then he held in there well late. He will be looking to either control things here, or race out of the pocket, but he looks best vs. these. (2) PRESCOTTS HOPE makes his 2nd start back racing free-legged which is how he has performed best in the past; using. (3) PAR INTENDED picks up Gingras here and he should get a decent stalking trip; using. (7) MACH PRIDE raced okay last time and he picked up Tetrick here at scratch time. He can upset with the right trip.

Race 5

(2) MCWICKED absolutely flew the final 1/16th of a mile last time to win his tightener for this Gold Cup renewal. There will be enough early speed here to set up his potent late kick. (8) DR J HANOVER has been on fire the last two starts and it would seem foolish to leave a horse out of the Pick 4 that only two weeks back paced the fastest mile in Mohawk history; using. (3) MODERN LEGEND has been known to spring a massive upset at this track. His tightener last week was decent and he could be coming in deep stretch. (10) CHRISTEN ME N has a lethal late kick, which he will need starting from this post, but he isn't without a shot.

Race 6

(1) HURRICANE BEACH was hard to handle last week and when Roy finally let him roll, the leader wasn't going to let him go at that stage of the mile, so he ended up getting a rough trip. He may try to go right down the road here. (3) NORMANDY BEACH tired from his early efforts chasing Huntsville last week. He has a much better shot vs. these. (2) STEALTH BOMBER should get a much better trip here, but he may not be as fast as the top two. (7) BEYOND DELIGHT hasn't been great so far this year, but he could come to life vs. these.

Race 7

(6) ELLIS PARK had a wild trip last week, contributing to some sizzling fractions. He gets Miller here in a bit of a watered down Preferred class thanks to the Gold Cup being contested in race 5. He should be tough here. (3) JINS SHARK showed little from an outer post last week, but he returns quicker here and he should be a player, perhaps at a great price. (8) DINNER AT THE MET is razor-sharp and hard to leave off Pick 4 tickets. (4) TRACEUR HANOVER raced tough first up in a quick mile last week. He should take a share at a minimum here.

Race 8

(5) SANDBETWEENURTOES took on the very tough Nike Franco N last week and she paid the price in the stretch. She looks best in here. (9) SASSA HANOVER is classy and very capable of waking up in this spot. (1) SOLAR SISTER is another that should go much better in here after having raced over the track last week vs. tougher. (7) EXHILARATED should wind up from far back and pass several of these in the back half.

Race 9

(5) TEQUILA MONDAY patiently lay in wait stalking an all-out third 1/4 speed duel, then rolled by late last week in her elimination. She should have plenty left in the tank and she will be a better price here; top call. (3) SHES WATCHING was the only one to move on the leader last week and she paid the price for engaging in a third 1/4 war. She is capable of upsetting here off a better trip. (4) IDYLLIC BEACH has no flaws and she is impossible to leave out of the Pick 4, but she is beatable in this spot and she will likely close as the chalk. (1) BETTORS UP won the battle but lost the war last week. She isn't out of this, but the inside may not be the best post here.

Race 10

(1) SHAKE IT OFF LINDY was twisting and turning looking for room for the entire stretch drive last week and he found none. He should have plenty to offer here with a quarter of a million on the line and he is sure to be steered more aggressively; nod. (4) ENTERPRISE is the one to knock off and he is a deserving favorite, but they all get beat sometime and he is unlikely to be allowed to cut soft fractions here. (2) INTERNATIONAL MONI flew home to win his elimination. I must use him in the Pick 4 off that race. (8) SOUTHWIND COBRA will likely race off a helmet here which should translate into a share.

Race 11

(4) LADY SHADOW took her life's mark in this race last year, dominating from start to finish. I expect Gingras to impose his will and try the same tactics here. (3) NIKE FRANCO N is the most logical alternative to the choice; she raced large last week. (5) WRANGLER MAGIC has reached top form again and she should share here. (9) PURE COUNTRY gets a bad post for her and she is likely to be closing belatedly here.

Race 12

(3) HUNTSVILLE was the fastest elimination winner for this edition of the North America Cup and it appeared he could have produced more speed if needed. He gets the nod here, but there are other obvious options if you don't like his price. (4) FEAR THE DRAGON averted disaster - thanks mostly to Dave Miller's expert driving - when he tried to jump a head number in his elimination. He recovered just in time to preserve the win and he should be a tough rival for the choice here. (8) FILIBUSTER HANOVER is an interesting longshot to consider for vertical and horizontal wagers, picking up the hot local driver. He could capitalize if some mid-race battling materializes. (2) DOWNBYTHESEASIDE stayed undefeated this year winning his elimination, but he quite simply will need to do better than the 56 back 1/2 he paced that night if he hopes to threaten the top two.

Race 13

(4) DOVUTO HANOVER has been on fire since being claimed by the Auciello barn two starts back. He gets a better post to work from here and three straight wins is a strong possibility. (6) THREE OF CLUBS comes off a decent losing effort at Tioga. He seems to be on the improve and he should threaten here. (2) FINE DIAMOND has improved his overall speed recently and this is a good spot for him. Toss him on late Pick 4 tickets. (7) SOUTHWIND MASIMO has developed a strong late kick recently and he will likely be overlooked here again. He is a good bomb to toss into your Pick 4 selections.

Race 14

(7) BALLERAT BOOMERANG paced his own back 1/2 in 52 4/5 last week, but he got free just a bit too late. McNair sticks and he can chase them all down if he lays a bit closer early. (4) MAJOR HILL should get a good trip on or near the lead here; using. (1) ROCKIN WIZARD shouldn't get hung out to dry like he did last week. He is another serious threat that should be racing near the front. (3) WHATASHOWINONTARIO was a strong 2nd in the top class at Georgian on Tuesday night. He is obviously sharp and dangerous.

Race 15

(6) JIMMY BE GOOD gets a better post to work from here and his chances are dependent on being close enough to strike turning for home. He should be right there vs. these. (7) ROCKIN FINISH drops, but he never seems to get bet. Another upset win from him is possible here. (4) IDEAL JET is as good now as he has been in a long time and he retains driver Roy. I think you have to use him in the late Pick 4. (8) WAZZUP WAZZUP steps up off a sharp win and he can string a few good ones together. He is another that you must consider for multi-race bets here in what should be a spread leg. (2) DARCEE N raced great last week, but he is still winless this year and I prefer to try to beat him in this spot.

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