05/07/2015 3:52PM

Mohawk: Saturday 5/9 Analysis

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Race 4 - $50,000 Guaranteed Pick Four Pool

EARLY $1 PICK 4:

3,5,8/6,7,8/1,2,3/3,9 = $54

 

LATE $1 PICK 4: 1,2,4/1,5,8/4,6,8/2 = $27

MEET STATS: 57 - 170 / $320.40  BEST BETS: 9 - 15 / $29.30

SPOT PLAYS: 2 - 13 / $32.60

Best Bet: CLOSING CREDITS (8th)

Spot Play: CAPTIVE AUDIENCE (4th)

Race 1

(3) MICHAELS TURN had his unbeaten skein stopped last week but trotted a game mile and is holding his form well; top call. (8) MUSCLE BABY DOLL was a top-class local filly last year and looks ready to go in this debut based on the late speed she has been showing in her qualifiers. She obviously has bigger fish to fry but could contend here right away. (6) THERESADEMONINME went a big first-up trip but just failed to last. He has upset possibilities.

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Race 2

(5) MAPLELEA will be hard to hold off here in this short field when she unleashes her devastating late kick turning home. (1) CAST NO SHADOW almost pulled that feat off last week and is the main foe here. (2) MOONLIT DANCE raced a big mile up front but was overtaken by the top two late. She could turn the tables with the right trip here.

Race 3

(4) TRACK MASTER D converted a good trip into a lifetime-best win last week in his first start for Moreau. These are tougher but with the speed he showed last week he may be up to it. (7) PUSH BACK also comes off a life's best effort and has held his form well for several weeks. (6) ATOMIC MILLION AM has been a win machine and will likely take big action on his return to the WEG circuit. We'll try to beat him this week.

Race 4

(8) CAPTIVE AUDIENCE has faced better in every start this year so far and likely gets put into the race early vs. these and produces a wake-up effort. (5) MUSSELSFROMBRUSSELS also drops and is another logical contender to consider for early pick 4 tickets. (3) WAZZUP WAZZUP won in a similar class two back then was a non-factor vs. better from the 10-hole; another one to consider on the drop.

Race 5

(8) SANTO DOMINGO looks like a different horse in his past two starts with his newfound late speed. Look for him powering up late here. (6) BUDDY HALLY was on too much cover in a slow pace last week, had plenty of trot late but couldn't close on the accelerating leaders. He has a better shot here. (7) RECKON IM READY goes for the potent Adams barn off the claim here and is one to consider at a price.

Race 6

Both (3) THE WAYFARING MAN and (1) STAR COVER produced lifetime best efforts in victory last week in the second leg of this series. They look like the main players in this final and we'll favor the former, but only slightly. (2) ARQUE HANOVER was kept in during his season's debut but finished fast. He obviously has more to offer and has upset potential.

Race 7

(6) WEST SIDE STORY broke late in his season's debut costing him any chance at the win. He since qualified well; another chance. (9) WINDSONG GEANT powered up first-over and was just nailed late in his best effort in months. He's the one to beat. (3) BURNIN MONEY got stung first-over and tired late. He is better off a helmet and should be closing hard late here.

Race 8

(2) CLOSING CREDITS powered by his rivals in the final eighth like they were standing still last time. His rally was pace-aided but he looked really good doing it; call to repeat. (1) BIG TURN ON was part of the early pace battle in that dash and actually reclaimed the lead briefly in the lane; the main threat. (4) NAKED CITY paced his last 3/4 in 1:22 2/5 last week when a late-closing 2nd. He is another possibility for late pick 4 tickets.

Race 9

(1) CODE ONE HANOVER was winning the Gold Superfinal for 2YO fillies when last fall when last seen on this track. She looks ready to do some damage and faces a field with limited contenders here. (5) YOUR MY SECRET powered up for a big win first-over and is the obvious one to beat. (8) ANGEL SHES NOT showed dramatic improvement first time out for Auciello and should not be underestimated here.

Race 10

(8) STATE TREASURER got fried in an all-out speed duel in the mid-stages last week. Look for Christoforou to trip him out here on cover this time. (4) NICKLE BAG roared home in 52 3/5 to get up late at a huge price. He gets post relief here and is dangerous. (6) LUCAN HANOVER exits the Levy Series and most of these should be easier company for him.

Race 11

(2) BURNING SHORE has raced well both times for Gallucci with Lasix. Expect McNair to roll this one early. (8) CAMS TUX got stung first-over in the same mile and will likely revert to a deeper closing style here for a share. (1) CRUIZIN KC comes in from Pompano where he was getting checks in the top class. He has missed some time, however; mixed signals here. (4) REAL ROCKER has sneaky good form and could upset if he can secure a pocket trip early. (3) HES A SENSATION gapped cover last week but nabbed a minor share which is typical for him lately.

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