05/26/2016 3:36PM

Mohawk: Saturday 5/28 Analysis


Race 1 - $30,000 Guaranteed Pick Five Pool

Race 4 - $50,000 Guaranteed Pick Four Pool


20-CENT PICK 5: 2,3/5,6,7,8/5/5,6,10/2,3 = $9.60

EARLY PICK 4: 5,6,10/2,3/1,7,10/4,7,8,9 = $72

LATE PICK 4: 4,7/4,5,7/4,5,6,7/3,7 = $48

MEET STATS: 97 - 292 / $561.20  BEST BETS: 17 - 28 / $63.10

SPOT PLAYS: 5 - 28 / $32.80


Spot Play: MCKINNEY (11th)

Race 1

(3) SOLAR SISTER beat some classy mares in the Chip Noble in her second start if the year and should handle these if the 3-week break since doesn't affect her negatively. (2) MS MAC N CHEESE should be able to carve out a good trip here and could vault past them late. (5) MUCH ADOO tripped out to win in this class last time but may not get the same beneficial journey here with two speedsters to her inside. (1) WRANGLER MAGIC makes her seasonal debut following a productive sophomore campaign but this isn't the easiest spot and she will likely need one or two before reaching her best form.

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Race 2

(8) LITTLE RED CHEV won several races here last year and took a life's mark. Her current form is sketchy, but if she is ready to go off the May 20 qualifier, she could wire these at a price. The tote board may provide some clues with this mare. (5) MICHAELS TURN has raced decently in his last two a class higher and should be ready for a top performance vs. easier here. (7) I JASMIN has faced some good ones recently and this class should be better for her; using. (6) HUBBY NUMBER ONE is capable of better and should be up close early here which improves his chances. He isn't out of this.

Race 3

(5) NVESTMENT BLUECHIP is one of the best local sophomore colt pacers and he looks like he has found a good spot to start his three-year-old campaign here; top call.. (7) NOCTURNAL BLUECHIP paced his back 1/2 in 53 flat in his seasonal debut and looks like the main threat. He should be much closer early here.  (1) YORK SEELSTER has really improved the past couple of weeks and is a decent bet to complete the trifecta. (2) MACH CODE should take a minor share off a following trip.

Race 4

(5) PIERCE HANOVER paced his own back 1/2 in 54 3/5 in defeat last week and should be a top threat here on or near the pace throughout. (6) CARACCI HANOVER is one-for-one in Moreau's barn and could offer a decent price here moving up in class; using. (10) THUNDER STEELER ripped off a rapid qualifier preparing for this, loves Mohawk and will be very dangerous if he can clear early. (8) SHADOW PLACE is on the improve and is worthy of exotics consideration at a price.

Race 5

(2) CAPRICE HILL was very impressive winning her elim last week and looks best here. (3) CELEBRITY EVENTSY - the other elimination winner - has dangerous front-end speed and a driver that knows how to ration it. Use both of these in the Pick 4 and 5 and move on. (9) JANGONE went a big uncovered trip last week and can share, even starting from out there. (7) DANISH DARBY was a decent second to the choice last week and should pepper the pace early but will be hard-pressed to stick around for more than a minor share.

Race 6

(1) JINS SHARK raced okay in the nation's fastest mile so far this year and could trip out here this time at a square price; slight nod. (10) ROCKIN IN HEAVEN was sensational here two back before trying the big boys in the Confederation Cup. He is a big threat here, post 10 and all. (7) WAZZUP WAZZUP is at the top of his game right now and can threaten here from close range. (4) MOHAWK WARRIOR finished just ahead of the choice last time and is another in with a chance here.

Race 7

(4) ADVERSITY broke while leading on a wet track last time now gets to drop in class and should be tough vs. these. (7) CAULFIELD takes a big class drop for his third start of the year and should be heard from here. (9) WARAWEE PROTON has never been better and shouldn't be counted out despite facing better here. (8) BUDDY HALLY made a couple of moves last week despite missing three weeks and wouldn't be the worst longshot stab here.

Race 8

(4) L A DELIGHT extended her win streak to 12 last week in her sophomore debut and should be even better this week with that race under her belt; top call. (7) THATSOVERYVERYNICE was a strong second to the choice and once again looks like the main threat. (2) GOOD WILL HANOVER made two moves to win going away and is an exacta factor here. (4) LAY LADY LAY raced well from the 10-hole last week and should make the tri or super in this field.

Race 9

(7) BILBO HANOVER meets a group he can handle if put into the race early enough here. Expect Hudon to send him for position early. (5) ERLE DALE N takes a big drop and adds Lasix but the three weeks of inactivity are cause for concern here. (4) REAL ROCKER drops and should be put into play earlier which gives him a shot here. (9) DEETZY will be passing most of these late and closing for a piece.

Race 10

Three horses in here all class drop and all won the last time they raced in this class. Of those I will side with (7) UF BETTORS HANOVER who could get the best trip stalking the early leaders. (6) CASIMIR OVERDRIVE beat better two back and is the main danger. (4) SHIPPEN OUT is the third of the trio that fits this class and should improve on the drop. (5) JENKINS CREEK has been racing well for several weeks and can better this placing with a decent trip.

Race 11

(3) MCKINNEY gets class relief here and could trip out in the pocket following the rival lined up to his left. (7) HIS BOY ELROY was hung out forever last time and paid the price. He should go better here. (6) TIGHTEN UP is yet another that drops in class that should improve sharply here. (4) DUC DORLEANS got back on track with a much better performance last time and can make the ticket here, too. (8) SUNNY BEACH DAY typically does well in this class and will likely close from far back for a minor share.

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