05/21/2015 2:44PM

Mohawk: Saturday 5/23 Analysis

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Race 4 - $50,000 Guaranteed Pick Four Pool

EARLY $1 PICK 4:

3,7/3,6,7,8/1,10/1,2,8 = $48

 

LATE $1 PICK 4: 1,7/1,3,4/1/1,2,5,7 = $24

MEET STATS: 86 - 257 / $476.80 BEST BETS: 13 - 23 / $45.80

SPOT PLAYS: 4 - 20 / $40.80

Best Bet: ROCK ME AMASTREOUS (10th)

Spot Play: THERESADEMONINME (5th)

Race 1

2015 'O Brien Award-winning trotting filly (1) STUBBORN BELLE makes her sophomore debut here and it's unlikely any in this group can even warm her up; top call at a tiny price. (4) BATTLE IMAGE has shown high speed both early and late in her miles which is the mark of a good racehorse; exacta factor. (11) SUMMERS JEWEL was 8 of 9 in the money last year and is sent out by a hot barn. Toss her in tri bets.

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Race 2

(2) DANIELLE HALL was the 'O Brien runner-up to the choice last year and she too looks ready to roll here; likely completes a chalky double. (6) SECOND SISTER has a tightener in which she closed nicely from way back; don't underestimate. (3) JUANITAS FURY also has had a race over the track and is a top-class filly in her own right.

Race 3

(2) DUDES THE MAN threw down a :26 third 1/4 in his season's debut vs. lesser at Vernon and gets the call as a giant killer here off that impressive mile. (7) REVEREND HANOVER was too far back in his opener to make an impact. With much bigger fish to fry next month it's hard to predict how aggressively he will be driven here. (6) PIERCE HANOVER had a workmanlike season's debut win and he continues to show good late speed. He's in the mix here.

Race 4

(3) SOUTHWIND MISCHIEF was mired behind excess cover in her 3YO debut last week and fired home quickly despite being too far out of it to hit the board. Look for a more aggressive steer here from Christoforou. (7) TESSA SEELSTER beat a good one in her most recent qualifier and could be much faster this year; using at a price. (6) WRANGLER MAGIC, one of the top OSS fillies last year, also qualified well and is another to consider for early pick 4 tickets.

Race 5

(7) THERESADEMONINME was beaten by one that absolutely blew by the field down the lane but this one showed some grit stickhandling through traffic to just miss the place; top call here. (6) MAGIC MADNESS couldn't reach a winner that bottomed out the field last week. She has been sharp for a long time and is a contender here. (8) YOURE MAJESTIC was given an easy trip first out but rallied well for third in a quick dash. She too is a contender.

Race 6

(1) BUSINESS AS USUAL was very impressive in her 3YO debut - when she made her move on the turn, two directly in front of her did the same thing and she still had enough to get by both of them. She should be even tougher here from the rail. (10) SOLAR SISTER worked out a winning trip from the 10-hole last week and wouldn't be a total shock if she pulled off the same feat here. (6) DELIGHTFUL HILL showed dramatic improvement in her second start and should share here.

Race 7

(1) SING FOR ME GEORGE loves Mohawk and should get lots of pace to chase here in his season debut; price play. (8) MELMERBY BEACH is another that does his best work over this oval as witnessed by his recent 1:49 2/5 score. He's the obvious danger. (2) LUCAN HANOVER faces his easiest company this year and has to be a threat here.

Race 8

(7) GRANDE SEELSTER was just in behind a wicked pace at Flamboro Sunday night now takes a big drop returning to Mohawk. Look for JD to send hard here. (1) PRINCE CLYDE almost knocked off a big chalk last time and is the obvious danger. (2) CANBEC KINGKAZIMIR is likely for another minor share here as has been his custom this season.

Race 9

(4) RUBIS PRESCOTT takes a class plunge here and should take these from on or close to the pace. (3) KISS ME OR NOT also drops and should produce a wake-up effort. (1) WILDCAT BEAUTY has returned from a break in top form and should be heard from again here.

Race 10

(1) ROCK ME AMASTREOS has really turned things around on Lasix with two impressive wins. The class rise isn't that steep here; catch him to greet the cashier. (8) BURNING SHORE wasn't beaten that far by the choice last week and can get a good chunk of this purse. (5) BILBO HANOVER likely closes for a minor award, same as almost always.

Race 11

(1) THINKING OUT LOUD made more than $500K the hard way last year taking on the best all year long. He looks to get a quick start to 2015 here drawing the rail off two good qualifiers. (7) VEGAS VACATION, the 2013 Little Brown Jug winner, missed all of 2014 but served notice he is ready beating the choice on May 15. He may need one in this company to show his best off that layoff, though. (2) POLAK A has been very good racing against the best down south and is in with a shot here.

Race 12

(3) BOOMBOOM BALLYKEEL had trouble keeping up to a very good winner but now drops and may be able to work out a winning pocket trip at a square price here. (5) MR DENNIS also drops and is the likely pacesetter for as far as he goes. (1) CALGARY SEELSTER got too far back and couldn't close into a rapid final 1/4. He should get a better trip and result here. (2) ALEXIE MATTOSIE takes a big drop and must be considered for all slots. (4) HUNCH MAN scorched his opponents at Flamboro last Sunday now faces better but also can be a threat here.

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