05/12/2016 3:45PM

Mohawk: Saturday 5/14 Analysis


Race 1 - $30,000 Guaranteed Pick Five Pool

Race 4 - $50,000 Guaranteed Pick Four Pool


20-CENT PICK 5: 1,2,6,8/1,2,7/1,2/1,5,6,10/6 = $19.20

EARLY PICK 4: 1,5,6,10/6/2,3,6,7/2,5 = $32

LATE PICK 4: 2,7/1,2,3,5/2,5,7/4,6 = $48

MEET STATS: 73 - 206 / $461.30  BEST BETS: 12 - 20 / $51.20

SPOT PLAYS: 5 - 20 / $32.80


Spot Play: DONNA PARTY (1st)

Race 1

(8) DONNA PARTY has improved greatly for trainer Weller and may be a decent price stepping up here; slight nod. (6) JUSTABIT MEAN wasn't far behind the choice last time and should be close here. (1) THATLL BE FRANNY took her life's mark here last year and will likely look to set the pace here. She can hang in for a share. (2) ONYOURMARKNATAVA drops to a class where she should be competitive and merits Pick 5 consideration.

[DRF HARNESS LIVE: Real-time insights from the DRF Harness team this Saturday at 7:00 p.m.]

Race 2

(2) BAROCKEY was nailed late last time despite pacing a fast final 1/4. Dropping again, she can lead this group all the way. (7) GREYSTONE LADYLIKE was first up in the same dash but couldn't close into a 55 flat back 1/2. With a different trip she could win this. (1) VICTORIA SEMALU won several times here last year and shouldn't be taken lightly. (3) WILDCAT BEAUTY should share in this class but tends to be win shy.

Race 3

(1) SHADES OF BAY exits a key race as several that were behind him last time have come back to win or race well; call to repeat. (2) BETTING LINE was one of the top rookie pacers last year and is sure to take a lot of action in this sophomore debut. He will have to be caught. (5) HIS BOY ELROY raced tough last week and was only caught late. He should come late here for a share. (7) THE WAYFARING MAN races well at Mohawk typically and is one to consider for tri and super plays.

Race 4

(1) SPORTSMANSHIP gets class relief here and can mow these down late if he doesn't get too far back early. (5) THORN IN YOUR SIDE was a game winner on Monday night and should be tough here on the quick return. (6) SUGARSAM raced well Monday night and should contend here too. (10) DEETZY will likely be winding up from far back turning home and can pass many of these late.

Race 5

(6) WARAWEE PROTON powered up to take a new life's mark in an impressive effort last week. He can take another here. (5) ENTRANCED was a decent third to one that would rate highly vs. these. He can take a big share here. (2) JUSTASMALLTOWNGIRL has been following along and making the ticket and that pattern should continue here. (1) STAN THE MAN raced better last time and could be reaching his peak now.

Race 6

(6) TOPCORNERTERROR goes for Auciello off the claim here and will try to take these all the way on the front. (3) INTENDED STYLE was claimed out of an uncharacteristic poor effort. He should rebound here for leading trainer Moreau. (2) BEIBER HANOVER should get a good trip near the front and could pounce late. (7) VITAL SIGN had a decent comeback race and the short field helps his closing style here.

Race 7

(2) WILL TAKE CHARGE miscued early last time and lost all chance. If he stays flat here he should be tough to beat. (5) MUSCLES FOR LIFE was an easy winner in his sophomore debut and is the main danger to the choice. (6) RENEGADE MAGIC couldn't close into an accelerating pace last time but should make the board here and a fast early pace could lead to her upsetting. (4) FLEET BUMBLEBEE raced much better Monday night and can take a minor share here.

Race 8

(2) NICKLE BAG has never been better and has some options starting from the inside here. (7) STATE TREASURER should be close to peak form here and will provide a tough challenge for the choice. (5) SHAMBALLA comes off his best campaign but typically takes a race or two to reach his best form. (4) REVEREND HANOVER is another that will likely mix it up in an interesting Preferred field.

Race 9

(1) CASIMIR OVERDRIVE suffered interference when the pocket-sitter made a sudden break last week. He still raced well for third and could trip out for his second win of the year here. (2) MAGNUM J looks ready to produce a good effort off the shelf here based on his qualifying lines. (5) TIGHTEN UP should enter the fray late here and take a share. (3) PERFECT VISTA has developed an effective closing style the past few starts and is another to consider for the late Pick 4.

Race 10

(2) ARTHUR BLUE CHIP was hung out a long way last week which led to his demise. He drops again here and will likely look for the front early. (5) SOMEWHERE FANCY raced well last week to be second to a strong winner that will start in this Sunday's Confederation Cup. Consider him for your Pick 4 bets. (7) BILBO HANOVER has been closing fast but missing the board recently. If he is close enough at the 3/4's he could score an upset here. (6) GRIN FOR MONEY drops in class here and could better this placing with a good trip.

Race 11

(6) PIERCE HANOVER paced a 26 flat third 1/4 on his way to a big win in his 4-year-old debut last time. Anything close to that effort makes him tough to beat here. (4) DUC DORLEANS closed mildly vs. a strong winner and would be dangerous here if he leaves out quicker. (7) RISE UP NOW set all the pace but couldn't hang on late. He may be better off a tracking trip which is what he is likely to get here. (8) PROVEN DESIRE drops and should make the ticket vs. this group. (3) ALEXAS JACKPOT has been racing well at Pompano but missing 4 weeks eliminates him from win consideration for me.

[DRF HARNESS: Check out our complete lineup of Harness past performances and discount packages]