04/07/2016 1:58PM

Mohawk: Saturday 4/9 Analysis

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By Garnet Barnsdale

Race 1 - $30,000 Guaranteed Pick Five Pool

Race 4 - $50,000 Guaranteed Pick Four Pool

 

20-CENT PICK 5: 1,3,4/1,3,6/6/6,8,9/7,8 = $10.80

EARLY PICK 4: 6,8,9/7,8/1,3,4,6/6,8 = $48

LATE PICK 4: 6,8/3,4/1,3,4,7/1,2,4 = $48

FINAL WOODBINE MEET STATS: 334 - 1058 / $1749.10  BEST BETS: 54 - 99 / $196.20

SPOT PLAYS: 22 - 98 / $225.20

Best Bet: MUSICAL RHYTHM (3rd)

Spot Play: ELECTRIC WESTERN (6th)

Race 1

(1) SOUTHWIND GEISHA was a sharp winner last week and she raced great at Mohawk last year. She is peaking now and is capable of producing an explosive burst down the Mohawk stretch; top call. (3) ROCK HER WORLD looks like she was privately sold since her sharp win on April 1. She's the one to beat. (4) POP GOES THE WEASEL has raced well in every WEG start and is sure to be a factor again here.

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Race 2

(1) BOOMBOOM BALLYKEEL is the best he has ever been in his career right now and should be able to work out a good trip in this short field; slight nod. (3) NICKLE BAG moved too late last week. He is capable of getting back on track with a more aggressive steer. (6) NIRVANA SEELSTER is likely to set the pace again. He will be extra-dangerous if he can steal a breather.

Race 3

(6) MUSICAL RHYTHM returns to action and faces much easier than he beat on March 7 here in the Don Mills Series. It's hard to imagine him losing in any leg if he stays flat. (8) HILLSONATOR hasn't missed the exacta in 9 starts this year and looks next best. (1) GRANA PADANNO likes Mohawk and should take a minor share here.          

Race 4

(8) RISE UP NOW faces much easier here and should be tough in this class. (9) SHADOW PLAY was an impressive winner first time on the circuit on April 2 and must be considered a threat right back here. (6) PROVEN DESIRE is capable of launching a dangerous late assault but needs to be kept close enough turning home.

Race 5

(7) ADVERSITY took his life's mark here last year and drops to a level where he should be very dangerous. (8) SLIP INTO GLIDE also drops to face his easiest competition this year and looks like the other one you need on Pick 4/5 tickets. (6) DOMITIAN HALL has been racing well for Vanderkemp and can take a share racing close up here.

Race 6

(1) ELECTRIC WESTERN comes off two starts where he had the dreadful Woodbine 1-hole now draws the rail at Mohawk where it is a more favorable spot. He can take this group off a covered trip at a price. (3) NEWBIE made two moves to win last week and has to be considered in his current sharp form (6) IMKEEPNTHISGUY goes for three straight here and is another to consider for multi-race wagers in a contentious dash.

Race 7

(6) SHIPPEN OUT goes for Puddy off the claim and finds a field loaded with early speed. He is one of several closers with a good shot here. (8) BETTER ART steps up off a big win and will likely look for cover here and close late. (1) CASIMIR OVERDRIVE is another that can take advantage of the expected slowing late pace.

Race 8

(3) THE CATAMOUNT KID was an unlucky loser last week and is coming into the Youthful final ready to produce a top performance. Notice his 1:52 1/5 mark taken here last year when he was two. He has more speed to offer. (4) FLAHERTY was asked for nothing from an outer post last week after winning a leg of the first round. He is sure to be sent hard this time. (1) EASY LOVER HANOVER has an impressive win streak going but this will be his toughest test to date.

Race 9

(3) SOMEWHERE FANCY comes in off a monster qualifier on a heavy track rated four seconds slow. He is capable of producing big speed when ready and might be a good price here; slight nod in a tough race. (7) WAZZUP WAZZUP drops from the top class and will no doubt be sent by Waples for position early. (4) IDOLE DUHARAS was 2nd to a classy veteran last time and that one goes in the top class tonight. He is tough to leave out because he is so consistent.

Race 10

(1) TRACK MASTER D takes a big class plunge here and will be tough to beat in the finale. (4) UFDRAGONS ROCKET has raced well in the top class at Flamboro and can likely transfer that good form vs. these. (2) BILBO HANOVER returns for Brealey who is quite capable of getting one to fire off the bench; using. (5) CHAMPAGNE PHIL has a better chance to share here starting from the middle of the gate. (3) SING FOR ME GEORGE was expected to do better last time. Perhaps the change in venue will perk him up a bit here.

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