04/23/2015 3:50PM

Mohawk: Saturday 4/25 Analysis


Race 4 - $50,000 Guaranteed Pick Four Pool


2,5,6,7/5/2,3,5/1,3,4,9 = $48


LATE $1 PICK 4: 3,4,7/5,8/9/1,3,4,6,8,9 = $36

MEET STATS: 25 - 84 / $105.50  BEST BETS: 6 - 8 / $19.60 SPOT PLAYS: 0 - 6 / $0.00

Best Bet: WEST SIDE STORY (5th)


Race 1

(7) PAPER BACKED LINDY stormed home to just miss vs. better and looks best here. Beware taking too short a price as he is prone to breaking. (3) BROADWAY PRINCE wasn't that far behind the choice last time first time with Waples at the controls. Maybe he gets more aggressive tonight. (6) HAVA KADABRA showed some grit last week making several moves and scoring vs. easier. He's worth a look.

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Race 2

(3) SHAMBALLA - a virtual win machine at this track last summer - served notice he is ready to roll again with a :53 flat back half in his qualifier; top call despite the break. (1) APPRENTICE HANOVER shakes the classy Modern Legend here and is the one to beat. (5) NICKLE BAG has been racing tough every week for months; tough to dismiss him.

Race 3

(6) ETRUSCAN HANOVER loomed up boldly last week then stalled which seemed a problem for many in the outer lanes in the stretch that night. He can take this but should be inspected on the track before wagering. (3) EXEMPLAR scored at a ridiculously high price and may be even tougher tonight now that he is back in form. (1) BOURBON BAY, the likely favorite, may be required to make several moves starting from the rail and suffer a similar fate as last week as a result.

Race 4

(5) CHAMPAGNE SHOWER closed strongly again last week but was too far back early. Maybe with the move to the middle of the gate J Mac trips this one out in a wide-open affair. (6) WILDCAT HANNA was unlucky to get nipped by a rail-skimmer last week and is another of many capable of taking this. (7) NINE LIVES HANOVER closed strongly but ran out of racetrack late. She's in top form now; using.

Race 5

Two returning to action from breaks look best here and of those we'll call (5) WEST SIDE STORY to win in his return to his homeland. He has certainly beaten better than most of these many times right here at Mohawk. (4) CANTABS FORTUNE - last seen racing in the Breeders Crown 3YO Filly Trot Final - tuned up well and looks like the main foe to the choice. (8) BODY BALANCE made two moves to win from the 10-hole last week and looks like the best of the rest.

Race 6

(5) AMERICAN ROCK has been iron-tough in every WEG start and there is no reason to expect anything different at this point; top call. (2) GOOD FRIDAY THREE has shown great promise in his first two starts now steps into the deep end of the pool; he may be up to it. (3) THE WAYFARING MAN faced some top competition down south in the fall and wasn't disgraced. He could make an immediate impact here.

Race 7

(9) ROETHBLISSBERGER showed good speed early and late in his qualifier and Puddy may have him cranked up enough to beat these at a square price. (4) SUNNY BEACH DAY raced very well last week but was beaten by one that worked out a golden pocket trip; using. (3) REAL ROCKER stayed in and got into some traffic trouble. He's capable of better.

Race 8

(7) ASLAN returns from a trek south where he faced much better and performed admirably. Macdonald should be able to work out a winning trip from the 7-hole. (3) CAPTIVE AUDIENCE was done in by having to pace a sub-:27 third 1/4 in the Preferred last week. He's the one to beat. (4) PISTON BROKE hung a bit last week but may have been pacing on the worst part of the track in the lane. He is capable.

Race 9

(5) BET YA is as tough as they come, racing and producing either on the lead or first-up every week - call to repeat. (8) ARTISTIC MADISON roared home to fall just short to the choice. The far outside post does her no favors, however. (3) DRIVINGTHEDRAGON N steps up to face much better and likely suffers her first loss on Canadian soil here.

Race 10

(9) ROCK N ROLL XAMPLE drops back into a class where she should be very competitive. The break in her last race following a two-week break is concerning, though; call on top but mixed signals. (5) MISS COCO LUCK made two moves to beat easier in a much-improved effort; using. (1) MACHNBYRD PRINCESS has missed three weeks but can be competitive here if that break doesn't hurt.

Race 11

(8) BOOMBOOM BALLYKEEL worked out a sweet trip and converted last week. The only condition he meets for this race is: Also Eligible - 4 Year Olds and he should be tough here, too. (6) PUSH BACK is consistently competitive in this class and should be there in the money again. (9) TWOMICKEYTRIP looked home free then drifted out several lanes while tiring late. He may revert to a deep closing style here and vault past several late. (4) SOMEWHERE FANCY qualified nicely and was facing better when last seen; contender. (3) IDEAL JET powered home late to win last week and could better this placing.

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