04/09/2015 4:40PM

Mohawk: Saturday 4/11 Analysis

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Race 4 - $50,000 Guaranteed Pick Four Pool

EARLY $1 PICK 4:

1,3,4,5,6/3,4,5/2,3,4,6/3 = $60

 

LATE $1 PICK 4: 5,6,7/2,3/1,6/1,3,6,9 = $48

MEET STATS: 0 - 0 / $0.00

Best Bet: DRIVINGTHEDRAGON N (3rd)

Spot Play: SI SEMALU (8th)

Race 1

(2) WILD AND CRAZY GUY has two impressive wins in his last four races and two breaks in the other two starts. He looks great here if he can stay flat which is obviously not guaranteed; your call. (3) EXEMPLAR is another with both talent and gait issues. Tread lightly in the opener; too many question marks. (4) JAYPORT SUNRISE is one that at least appears sure-gaited and has good tactical speed. He's a good alternative to the top two.

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Race 2

(5) BOURBON BAY has been nearly flawless in the past couple of months and looks solid here in the 2nd division of the 1st leg of the Don Mills with few contenders to worry about. The one that does look most dangerous is (1) SHEER FLEX, who raced against some tough ones at The Meadowlands and is certainly capable of turning the tables. (2) SEAWIND PASCALE looks most likely of the balance to complete the triactor.

Race 3

(6) DRIVINGTHEDRAGON N makes her North American debut for trainer Auciello who also owns. Based on her record and late speed in the qualifier she looks formidable but also may be overbet. (2) DIANNA SANTANNA has hit her best stride and took a good mark here at Mohawk last year; top contender. (3) MYSTIQUE could be used on the bottom of the tickets.

Race 4

(5) RAMBLINGAMBLINMAN may get the best trip in a very contentious dash to start the pick 4. This looks like the leg to spread deep. (4) EVENIN OF PLEASURE is a Mohawk specialist and had a perfect tightener at Woodbine; beware. (1) PISTON BROKE took the winter off and looks ready to roll in company that he fits. He may still need a race, however.

Race 5

(3) BROADWAY PRINCE steps up off a powerful win but the trainer hands the reins to Zeron; top call. (4) SOUTHWIND WARSAW moves into Moreau's barn and is a must-use on pick 4 tickets on that factor alone. (5) RECKON IM READY dropped, popped and was claimed now debuts for Puddy who has been warming up a bit lately; using.

Race 6

(4) TEAM CAPTAIN hasn't lived up to the promise of his breeding yet, but he has also been patiently handled. The price inflates tonight and he may fall into a great trip chasing some battlers in this stakes final. (2) LEGION OF BOOM has been very impressive all year and looks like the one to beat. (3) PANTHEON HANOVER went a big trip two back then was kept in with pace last week. He could upset here at a monster price.

Race 7

(3) SLIP INTO GLIDE is peaking to the point where he has almost hit last year's dominant form; top call here. (2) WATKINS drops from the Preferred after missing a week and is the one to overhaul. (1) ZEUS LIGHTNING had a decent comeback race. Notice the 18 slices in 42 tries last season.

Race 8

(5) SI SEMALU comes back fast off a good mile at London Tuesday where he was compromised by interference while the winner was getting away. He is good enough to beat these and thrived here last summer; top call. (6) REGAL SON raced well from the 12-hole last week and was a good third off the shelf. He's a top contender but will also take a ton of cash at the windows. (7) LETS ROCK TOGETHER was an easy winner in his debut for Menary. He fits well despite the slight class raise.

Race 9

(2) APPRENTICE HANOVER fired off a huge last 1/4 to just miss last week and has always liked Mohawk. He'll be tough here. (3) SPINFINITI continues to impress and McNair drives him with great confidence. He'll be a better price tonight and merits Pick 4 inclusion. (7) NICKLE BAG has been sharp all year and has already surpassed $100K in earnings. Look for him to launch off cover here.

Race 10

(6) ARTISTIC MADISON has been a win machine in the NW3 class. This slight step up shouldn't discourage her; top call. (1) KISS ME NOT went a big first-over trip last week en route to victory. She is the main danger. (2) RUSSIAN KISSES has been very consistent out of town for a long time and now gets the acid test.

Race 11

(1) COUGAR HALL drops and moves inside. He should be formidable here. (6) MODERN EXHIBIT stayed in last week but had pace late; he is sharp and could upset. (9) JOSHUA MY BOY got hung out to dry in the 12-horse field last week. He can be far more dangerous here if Henry launches him off the gate. (3) BOOMBOOM BALLYKEEL has always done well here and comes in with a good enough qualifier to suggest he could threaten immediately. (4) FOREVER JUST won well at a lower class but is more likely for a minor share

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